Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Augusta Co., VA (Shenandoah Valley): 2017: Gillespie (R) 17,217, Northam (D) 6,030 2021: Youngkin (R) 26,086, McAuliffe (D) 7,176 Youngkin juiced base GOP turnout in rural counties to a degree McAuliffe couldn't match in urban VA. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Endorse. I'd rather be Murphy than Ciattarelli, but we're just flying blind on VBM in a lot of counties. #NJGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's amazing how narrowly Dems appear to have averted an outright GOP majority in the VA House of Delegates. By my count, Dems are currently leading by 2% or less in *five* races. If those wins hold, 50D-50R tie. #VAHOD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: pending late-arriving mail ballots, provisionals & possible recounts, Republicans pick up five seats in the Virginia House of Delegates for a 50D-50R tie. There is no tie-breaking provision for control of the chamber. #VAHOD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow: Dems hanging on by a thread in Virginia Beach. Per VB's site, #HD85 Del. Alex Askew (D) now *ahead* 15,452 to 15,358. #HD21 Del. Kelly Convirs-Fowler (D) still ahead 15,674 to 15,296. If that holds, and if Rs' lead in #HD91 holds, we're looking at a 50/50 tie in #VAHOD. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems get another jolt of good news in Virginia Beach's #HD21, where Del. Kelly Convirs-Fowler (D) appears to lead 15,674 to 15,296 w/ all precincts reporting. #VAHOD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Deleted an earlier tweet b/c it appears there was a reporting error on Virginia Beach's election site. Latest count has Del. Alex Askew (D) trailing Karen Greenhalgh (R) 15,041 to 14,978 - 63 votes (!). Control of Virginia's HoD still in doubt... #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: major plot twist. It appears there was an error on the Virginia Beach site . They just updated the count on their site. Greenhalgh (R) now ahead by just 15,041 to 14,978 (!), w/ one Dem-leaning precinct left. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Karen Greenhalgh (R) defeats Del. Alex Askew (D) in Virginia Beach's #HD85, per the updated results on VB's site. At a minimum, Republicans win a 50/50 tie in the #VAHoD. They'll take an outright majority if their lead holds in #HD91 (the R is ahead by 279 votes). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Democrats get another pair of suburban #VAHoD victories, this time in Prince William County: #HD31 Guzman (D) and #HD51 OPEN (D). House of Delegates control down to four uncalled races. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The theory that "high turnout will save McAuliffe b/c Virginia is a blue state" was never much more than wishcasting on this site. There was record-shattering turnout today, and Youngkin won. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The VA House of Delegates is down to just six uncalled races: #HD21 Convirs-Fowler (D) #HD31 Guzman (D) #HD51 OPEN (D) #HD83 Askew (D) #HD91 Mugler (D) #HD93 Mullin (D) Republicans need to win 2/6 for a 51R-49D majority. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems get a pair of important victories in Henrico Co., where Dels. Schuyler VanValkenburg (D) in #HD72 and Rodney Willett (D) in #HD73 have eked out wins. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #HD91, A.C. Cordoza (R) is leading Del. Martha Mugler (D) 13,790 to 13,511 w/ all precincts reporting, per @vpapupdates. If that holds, Republicans would only need one more pickup for an outright majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans have now picked up #HD12 Hurst (D), #HD28 Cole (D), #HD75 Tyler (D), #HD83 Guy (D), per @notlarrysabato. They need two more pickups to win an outright 51R-49D majority, and right now they're slight favorites to get there. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Needless to say, tonight's results are consistent w/ a political environment in which Republicans would comfortably take back both the House and Senate in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, per @ChazNuttycombe and @notlarrysabato, Republicans have scored pickups in #HD12, #HD75 and #HD83. They need two more pickups to retake the majority, and they have five great opportunities remaining (#HD21, #HD28, #HD72, #HD73, #HD85). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It looks like Del. Wendy Gooditis (D) will barely hang on to win reelection 51%-49% in closely contested #HD10. Results bleaker for Dems in other House of Delegates races... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Mike Carey (R) defeats Allison Russo (D) in the #OH15 special election (this is a Trump +14 seat, so no surprise here). Dems will counter Carey's addition to the House with Shontel Brown (D)'s special election win in #OH11 (Biden +60). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The real barnburner of the night is for the safe Dem #FL20 vacancy created by Rep. Alcee Hastings (D)'s death: Dale Holness (D): 11,295 (23.9%) Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D): 11,217 (23.7%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just about the only places we're seeing McAuliffe (D) exceed his vote targets are inside the Beltway. It's not enough to win, but it is enough to keep Youngkin (R)'s eventual margin quite narrow, maybe 2-3%. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Jason Miyares (R) defeats Atty Gen. Mark Herring (D). #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Winsome Sears (R) defeats Hala Ayala (D) in the Virginia lieutenant governor's race. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To my eye, we're on track for a 2-5 pt. Youngkin win. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Terry McAuliffe (D) is now 1-for-3 in Virginia gubernatorial races. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Glenn Youngkin (R) defeats Terry McAuliffe (D) in the Virginia governor's race. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Loudoun Co.: McAuliffe lead up to 55%-44% w/ mail ballots now reporting. Per my benchmarks, McAuliffe needed to win it by 14%. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Culpeper: Youngkin needed to win it by 30%, per my benchmarks. He wins it by 34%. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Danville (Southside VA): McAuliffe needed to win it by 10%, per my benchmarks. McAuliffe wins it by only 7%. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Radford (college town in SWVA): McAuliffe needed to win it by 0.3%, per my benchmarks. Youngkin wins it by 9%. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org