Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not very often. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The flip side: by purging Portsmouth/Dover/Durham from #NH01, Republicans would cede Rep. Annie Kuster (D) a safe Dem seat. Her #NH02 would move from Biden +9 to Biden +17. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Republicans' proposed map in New Hampshire would flip Rep. Chris Pappas (D)'s #NH01 from Biden +6 to Trump +2, severely endangering his hold on the seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@aseitzwald Keep in mind, though, that Dems started out w/ 257 seats heading into 2010. They start out w/ 222 heading into 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If there's a silver lining for Dems in getting swept in VA yesterday, it's the opportunity for a clean slate/new generation to rise. Tbh, I don't think McAuliffe was the most electable candidate Dems could have nominated (and same might have applied for Herring in 2025). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In VA, GOP House of Delegates candidates outperformed the '20 Biden/Trump margin in their districts by a median of 12.3 pts. If that swing were superimposed nationally, Rs would pick up 51 House seats. That's how awful the political environment is for Dems right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To put yesterday in context: in NJ, GOP legislative candidates outperformed the '20 Biden/Trump margin in their districts by a median of 10.8 pts. If that swing were superimposed nationally, Rs would pick up 44 House seats in 2022 (before even factoring in redistricting). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only NJ/VA Dem legislative gain of the night was in NJ's #LD16, where Andrew Zwicker (D) appears to have defeated Mike Pappas (R) for state senate (as an aside, this is the district where I grew up). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: last night's down-ballot results spell 2022 distress for Democrats. https://t.co/T9PGuBxk82 https://t.co/BqYVEJm3hQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: McAuliffe is nearly 200,000 votes ahead of Northam's tally in 2017, despite likely d-->R defections. Murphy is already matc… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Virginia not looking quite as blue as New England today... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Next time you need a reminder this site isn't based in reality, read the replies/QTs to this.👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only competitive district on this map would be GOP Rep. Steve Chabot (R)'s #OH01, where Cincinnati is required to be kept whole per Ohio's new rules. But if the 2022 environment is anything like we saw last night, Rs would stand a decent chance of keeping it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If enacted, this map would end #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur's (D) career by flipping her seat red. It would also flip Rep. Tim Ryan's (D) open #OH13 red and eliminate retiring Rep. Anthony Gonzalez's (R) #OH16. Pretty much the last remaining obstacle is the OH Supreme Court. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other news, Ohio Republicans appear to be pursuing a brutal 13R-2D gerrymander (up from 12R-4D today). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The area that cost Dems the VA House of Delegates: the I-95 corridor south of Richmond, where Republicans won four races by 5 pts or less - including two plurality Black seats. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BabeRuthsChris @GottaLaff @gspunky245 @DecisionDeskHQ Not true, though they did call LG first. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The news keeps getting worse for Dems in VA, where the correction of a reporting error appears to have flipped another House of Delegates seat to the GOP. Republicans now on track for 52R-48D, pending provisionals/recounts. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Had the Lakewood Vaad endorsed Ciattarelli (R) instead of Murphy (D), we could be looking at a very different #NJGOV race right now. Results in Lakewood, NJ: 2020: Trump (R): 30,648, Biden (D): 6,397 2021: Ciattarelli (R): 11,644, Murphy (D): 7,112 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @wildstein: In Tinton Falls, 97-year-old Vito Perillo has won re-election to a second term as mayor. He'll be 101 when his term is over. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even though Murphy (D) eked out a statewide win, Dems' collapse in blue-collar parts of South Jersey is breathtaking - including State Senate President Steve Sweeney (D) currently trailing a truck driver who spent $153. #NJGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Gov. Phil Murphy (D) defeats Jack Ciattarelli (R) in the New Jersey governor's race. #NJGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve almost seen enough in #NJGOV. But I’m going to bed. See you in the morning. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'd still rather be Murphy (D) than Ciattarelli (R) given the likely nature of what's still out in Mercer, Somerset, Essex and elsewhere, but still a lot of uncertainty here. #NJGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fairfax Co. just reported another ~33k early in-person votes and they break ~22k-11k for the Dem ticket. That should be enough to push Youngkin (R)'s winning margin below 2 pts and Miyares (R)'s margin under 1 pt. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As if tonight couldn't get worse for Dems, Republicans appear to have taken control of the VA House of Delegates by a single seat. #VAHoD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: GOP now appears to win #HD63, a seat that was previously on track to stay Dem before Chesterfield just reported in-person early votes (VBM still to come). This could give Republicans an outright majority in the #VAHoD by a single seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Youngkin (R)'s margin in #VAGOV now on track to be a bit shy of 2 pts, considering at least 31k early in-person votes appear to be outstanding in Fairfax Co. And, Miyares's (R) margin in the AG race on track to dip below 1 pt. Herring (D) came close to saving Dems from a sweep. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Among the losers in Virginia: poll unskewers — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The relatively flat (by comparison) Charlottesville turnout was indeed an Election Day clue: 2017: Northam (D) 13,943, Gillespie (R) 2,315 2021: McAuliffe (D) 14,191, Youngkin (R) 2,746 — PolitiTweet.org