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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @allymutnick: NEW: A look at a recent hot redistricting battleground >> State Supreme Courts In the last 2 weeks, justices have upended… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems in New Mexico pulling no punches against #NM02 Rep. Yvette Herrell (R) - and #NM03 Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) gets boosted in the latest version. — PolitiTweet.org
Zach Solomon @zach_solomon1
The NM Senate Judiciary Committee has advanced this alternative Congressional map. District 1: Biden+14.4, Ray Luj… https://t.co/xuVpqDkrY5
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Latest in AZ: Phoenix Councilwoman Laura Pastor (D), daughter of late Rep. Ed Pastor, is pushing for map changes that would aid her own future prospects in a safe Dem Phoenix seat at the expense of Dems' chances in a competitive North Phoenix district. https://t.co/HGnyaOnAOs — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Why do Dem gerrymanders like IL/MD often look uglier on a map than GOP gerrymanders that are equally (or more) brutal/effective? Because Dems’ tendency to cluster in hyper-blue cities makes them easier/more efficient to pack. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
AZ update: two Dem-held districts in Northern AZ and Tucson are on track to get a lot more GOP (flipping to Trump), while one Phoenix area district would narrowly flip to Biden (but still be winnable for Rs). Net advantage: GOP. — PolitiTweet.org
Jeremy Duda @jeremyduda
Two competitive congressional districts would likely get a lot better for the GOP under changes the @ArizonaIRC's c… https://t.co/D9h70qbOTY
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not saying parties "should" do anything, that's not my job. The fact I'm highlighting is that blue states have embraced redistricting reform more than red ones. As a result, Dems now have fewer opportunities to offset aggressive GOP gerrymanders with their own. — PolitiTweet.org
Kelly Burton @kellycward
There are so many problems with this: 1) It assumes parties should gerrymander 2) It assumes Dems want to gerryma… https://t.co/lwqHhE2D2f
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Keep up w/ @CookPolitical's ratings & PVI values for 2022 districts w/ our interactive map. As @baseballot notes, it's now possible to drive coast to coast through newly drawn congressional districts. https://t.co/nXvGjPsFl7 https://t.co/YdwhVOYE7V — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: analysis & ratings for the new map in Maryland, where Dems chose not to be maximally aggressive. New rating for #MD01 Rep. Andy Harris (R): Lean R. https://t.co/T2JxiakrHI — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New from me at @CookPolitical: analysis of the latest remap developments in CA, NM, NC and PA (subscribers only). https://t.co/9hT8ljDNal — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Maryland becomes the 20th state to complete a new congressional map. Democrats have made Rep. Andy Harris's (R) #MD01 more competitive, but they stopped well short of a maximal 8D-0R gerrymander. Initial @CookPolitical rating for the new #MD01: Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org
Danielle E. Gaines @DanielleEGaines
And now Senate Democrats vote in favor of an override, enacting the congressional redistricting plan by a vote of 32-14.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you think redistricting is easy, tune into live video of CA's commission. Mapping w/ often-competing criteria is slow, painstaking work. But CA's 14 citizens (5D, 5R, 4 neither) are making progress where other more partisan/politician-driven processes have failed. — PolitiTweet.org
sara sadhwani @sarasadhwani
We will continue the sausage making at 11am today. Overarching goal: meeting our first constitutional requirement o… https://t.co/ts4zWNeByB
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
When I say "could have seized," I mean "might have otherwise seized" had voters/legislatures not approved commissions recently in CO/VA, a decade ago in CA and many decades ago in NJ/WA. The current situation was not entirely foreseeable then. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
They also got commissions in AZ and MI and anti-gerrymandering statues in FL/OH, but that only partially offsets Dems' disadvantage from voters approving commissions in blue states (CA, CO, VA etc.). — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Prokop @awprokop
Gerrymandering is where the de facto alliance between the Democrats and nominally nonpartisan (but functionally lib… https://t.co/QHYVj3EZkL
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NickRiccardi: @mattyglesias fwiw the CA, NJ and WA commissions' existence are not due to Dems. CO and VA (partly) yes — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
By our estimate, neutral/commission maps in the blue states of CA, CO, NJ, VA and WA (93 seats total) will end up costing Dems 10-15 House seats they could have seized by gerrymandering, making Republicans even stronger favorites for House control. https://t.co/B6pIvVChXf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D) would remain the favorite in a Youngkin +4 #VA10, but Rep. Elaine Luria (D) would be a slight underdog in a Youngkin +11 #VA02. — PolitiTweet.org
J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman
Last month's #VAGov results by the special masters' plan out today. Youngkin carried 6 of 11 districts while winnin… https://t.co/4kjwtOl6Xs
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@baseballot I don’t know, but she has $2.4 million on hand and it’s probably her most realistic shot at keeping a House seat. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: preliminary VA map cuts Spanberger, Luria out of their districts and could force Spanberger into the DC media market to survive. How the VA remap became a Dem self-own… https://t.co/IuFWH6J1nt — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Some major moves in Orange County today: outlook improves for Katie Porter (D) and Young Kim (R), mixed bag for Michelle Steel (R). — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Pyers @rpyers
Judging from this, it looks like Michelle Steel's district keeps most of Huntington Beach and the Little Saigon are… https://t.co/UEDIT8tomo
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reminder: had VA Dems retained the power to redraw lines, we'd probably looking at an 8D-3R gerrymander (e.g. below) that would've shored up Spanberger/Luria/Wexton *and* created a new safe seat for a Prince William Co. Dem. Instead, Rs have a good shot at 5 (maybe 6?) seats. https://t.co/kiZq1HWL38 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: a “deal” map is circulating in the PA Senate that would turn Rep. Conor Lamb (D)’s seat red in exchange for giving state Sen. Sharif Street (D) a path to primarying #PA02 Rep. Brendan Boyle (D). But I have no idea why Gov. Tom Wolf (D) or other Dems would support it. https://t.co/hsQM4gpzEL — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not wrong re: the preliminary VA map. — PolitiTweet.org
Aaron Fritschner @Fritschner
I'm still digesting and will be for a while, but the easiest way to understand the new Virginia congressional distr… https://t.co/RFE9mjca9I
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @MichaelBarone: Congressional redistricting update--and some historical perspective. In my latest Washington Examiner column. https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This GOP-selected map isn't likely to pass, and even if it were, would likely be vetoed by Gov. Tom Wolf (D). Odds still favor a court-drawn map in Pennsylvania. — PolitiTweet.org
The Redistrict Network @RedistrictNet
On Dec. 8, 2021, Chairman Grove announced a citizen map was selected as the preliminary congressional plan for… https://t.co/p5O7eeJjss
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rep. Abigail Spanbeger's (D) only realistic option could be to move up to the new #VA07, turf she doesn't currently represent. But there are two Prince William Co. Dems who just lost statewide bids & might eye the new #VA07: Jennifer Carroll Foy & Hala Ayala. https://t.co/DZrE3QyuGf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Big news: NC Supreme Court halts filing period/pushes back primary to May as lawsuits vs. GOP-drawn maps proceed. — PolitiTweet.org
Brian Murphy @MurphinNC
Breaking news from NC Supreme Court. NC filing period is halted. NC primaries are pushed back from March 8 to May 1… https://t.co/KRzHfj8dMq
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Like the current map, this map would be 7-4 Biden but 6-5 Youngkin. The main difference: #VA10 Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D) becomes a narrow Youngkin seat and Spanberger's #VA07, relocated to Prince William Co., becomes a McAuliffe seat. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This map would force Spanberger to move from the Richmond suburbs to Northern Virginia to keep a seat (the northern end of the current #VA07 is folded into Wexton's #VA10). And, Rep. Elaine Luria's (D) #VA02 gets redder by losing Norfolk. It moves from Biden +5 to +2. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
By the numbers, this might be a slightly better map for Dems than the current one (5D-4R-2C), but much better for Republicans than had Democrats retained redistricting power and drawn an 8D-3R gerrymander. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: Virginia special masters' map eliminates Abigail Spanberger's (D) current suburban Richmond #VA07 & turns it into a safe Dem seat in Northern Virginia. Rep. Elaine Luria's #VA02 would remain highly competitive, for a 6D-4R-1C split overall. https://t.co/2Q6JIutp88 — PolitiTweet.org
