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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not unexpected, and Murphy becomes the 22nd Dem not seeking reelection in 2022 (vs. 11 Republicans). #FL07 — PolitiTweet.org
Sarah Ferris @sarahnferris
SCOOP: Rep. Stephanie Murphy is not seeking reelection to the House next year. “It's been a real honor for me to… https://t.co/zgGPsQIqLj
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The most obvious, overriding aim of this map: create more Latino majority districts. Even though CA is losing a seat for the first time since statehood, there are 18/52 seats w/ 50%+ Latino voting age populations in this draft, up *five* from the 13/53 on the current map. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The biggest shakeup among safe Dem seats is in the Santa Clara Valley, where Reps. Anna Eshoo (D) and Jimmy Panetta (D) are being merged into one wealthy Silicon Valley/Monterey seat to create a new Latino majority seat in San Jose/Watsonville/Salinas. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Biggest losers on this draft map: #CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +2 #CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +13 #CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12 #CA42 Calvert (R) - Trump +7 to +1 #CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to +6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Biggest winners on this draft map: #CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +18 #CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to +11 #CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +2 #CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 (unchanged) #CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to +12 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NEW: California's near-final draft map looks terrific for Dems. All 42 Dem incumbents (except retiring Rep. Alan Lowenthal (D), whose Long Beach seat is folded in w/ LA Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)'s), get strong seats. Meanwhile, *five* of 11 GOP seats get more vulnerable. https://t.co/EUAtN2SRsI — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @wildstein: 🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING: Rep. Albio Sires will not seek re-election to Congress in 2022. Robert J. Menendez, the son of U.S. Senator B… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: She may also be a Dem running in a new, much more Democratic-friendly CD (ie, where she’d have to win a competitive D prima… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Youngkin’s actual margin of victory: 63,688 votes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another way to think about Youngkin's narrow #VAGOV path: if you were to take the most pro-GOP showing of Romney '1… https://t.co/AvhBGi4W4G
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @BitecoferStan: https://t.co/lNhc9OeKKa — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
"It’s clear to me that Republicans will test the electoral process once again, considering there were virtually no repercussions the last time they did it." A clear-eyed assessment by @nathanlgonzales everyone in the public affairs community should read. https://t.co/GknPE4yt7t — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @KSoltisAnderson: As Omicron makes COVID-19 spread much, much more rapidly, Americans are increasingly "worn out" by our response to the… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Overall, Dems have to be pleased with the way maps are taking shape in the commission states of AZ (a bit unexpected) and MI. By contrast, just about every stakeholder is wondering wtf the CA commission is drawing. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New Mexico becomes the 20th state to approve a new congressional map, and it's probably the most optimal Dem gerrymander yet (maybe a tie w/ Oregon). — PolitiTweet.org
Greg Giroux @greggiroux
New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) signed into law a Democratic congressional map that coverts Republic… https://t.co/eQZhJvmazn
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If Rs end up winning 3/4 or even 4/4 seats on Nevada's Dem-drawn map, it'll be cited as an epic dummymander. But tbh, I think it's the play Rs would have made in Las Vegas had roles been reversed. High risk/reward. — PolitiTweet.org
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
“I totally got fucked by the Legislature on my district,” (@repdinatitus) said. “I’m sorry to say it like that, but… https://t.co/9C2nXasAk3
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ok, now the CA commission has jumped the shark. Meet the new "ribbon of shame," running from the border of SF down to San Luis Obispo (h/t @udrawthelines). https://t.co/iegdD8RDB8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
After watching the CA commission spend precious hours wrestling over tiny corners of the state at the expense of debating revisions in other larger areas, I think there's a pretty good case for creating separate CD/LD commissions, like Colorado does. Too big a state/task. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A mistake I'm seeing a lot of major TV/other outlets make in framing this exhaustive @AP review: failing to note that most of the 473 instances of suspicious votes were *caught* by officials and extra ballots weren't counted. The system works. https://t.co/KKd6fEkkT3 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To be clear, although Neuberg has sided w/ the Dems on this vote (btw, she sided w/ GOP on legislative maps), it's neither a dream Dem map nor a dream GOP map. It *is* a mild improvement for Rs over the current map. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Because the chair, Erika Neuberg, remains insistent that the deep-red Prescott area be added to the northern AZ district (#AZ02 in this draft), Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D) is likely still doomed However, Dems would have upside in Maricopa, esp. vs. Rep. David Schweikert (R). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: AZ's tie-breaking commission chair sides 3-2 w/ Dems to use this draft as a starting point for final negotiations on the congressional map. As opposed to the R-backed plan (which likely would've been 6R-3D), this is 4R-2D-3C (w/ #AZ01, #AZ04 and #AZ06 pretty competitive). https://t.co/exMVttJrhX — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Big fork in the road for AZ redistricting today... — PolitiTweet.org
Jeremy Duda @jeremyduda
Today's meeting of the @ArizonaIRC has begun. It's a big day. The IRC will choose one map to use as its new startin… https://t.co/3GKmDVwweg
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Safe Dem seat, but the 20th House Dem to announce they're not seeking reelection. I'd expect plenty more once lines are complete in CA. — PolitiTweet.org
Rep. Alan Lowenthal @RepLowenthal
After serving the 47th District of California for almost 10 years in Washington, D.C., I have decided not to run fo… https://t.co/ML5N3BSxYo
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
How rough a situation are WI Dems in? Even Gov. Tony Evers (D) is relenting to support a congressional map that would likely result in a 6R-2D split out of a state Biden carried. https://t.co/e3CCR37UNJ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Interesting: SC's House redistricting committee releases a draft map that would narrow the margin in Rep. Nancy Mace's (R) #SC01 from Trump +6 to Trump +1, making her Charleston seat more competitive (SC Senate draft would make it Trump +9). https://t.co/S9V5nWjJ6K — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Multiple people telling me suburban Richmond Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) is gauging support for a run in a likely new Northern Virginia-based #VA07. If she faces a primary against several PWC-based Dems, she could take advantage of a divided field. If just one, tougher. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @smerconish: What happens when there are fewer swing districts? @Redistrict joins me @CNN in 9pm hour to discuss - tweet me your thought… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A few weeks back, this was my rough prior for how CA's commission might approach the congressional remap. Needless to say, they've come up w/ far more exotic lines (to put it politely) than the ones below. https://t.co/GcKMAlE0uf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jbouie: really interesting data and analysis on trump’s gains with hispanic voters https://t.co/afKujxqV68 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A bit wrenching to watch the CA commission tie itself into knots over how to draw Modesto, when there are perfectly logical ways to stack districts in the Central Valley while respecting VRA considerations. https://t.co/vfvd4SPlfs — PolitiTweet.org