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Showing page 46 of 496.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Even though some Missouri GOP legislators are pushing for a 7R-1D gerrymander, they likely don’t have the votes necessary for anything other than 6R-2D. That would be a win for Dems. — PolitiTweet.org
St. Louis Post-Dispatch @stltoday
On eve of 2022 session, resignations, death taking toll on Republican majority in Missouri https://t.co/qYxsz90y3e by @KurtEricksonPD
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
#IL01 Rep. Bobby Rush (D), the only person to ever beat Barack Obama in an election, reportedly becoming the 24th House Dem to forgo reelection in 2022. — PolitiTweet.org
Mary Ann Ahern @MaryAnnAhernNBC
NEW: Multiple sources say @RepBobbyRush will NOT run for re-election. #Congress #IL1stDistrict https://t.co/yvaGHC8Sxe
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@BrianJCohen Amsterdam is still in #NY20 in this hypothetical. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Interestingly, the new #MI10 that national Rs are trying to convince John James (R) to run in voted for Trump by 0.9% in '20, but James failed to carry it by 0.7% ('20) and 6.9% ('18) in his two Senate bids. If a strong D were to run here, it'd be in a more competitive column. https://t.co/RsV94uYMae — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @npfandos: New York's redistricting commission, which is headed for a partisan split later this morning, has released two final, dueling… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@lxeagle17 No doubt. That's why I wouldn't just apply his 19 pt overperformance from '20 to '22 and call him the favorite. All I'm saying is, I don't think it'd 100% doom him. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FWIW, this is roughly what I'd consider the "maximal" realistic Dem gerrymander of NY: 23D-3R w/ 23 Biden 10+ seats and 3 Trump 18+ seats. But, as in MD, no guarantee every Dem incumbent/legislator would be on board - so they could ultimately pursue something less aggressive. https://t.co/MZ0sqI0CqV — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Katko didn't just win a Biden +9 seat in 2020. He won reelection by ten points after Dems spent ~$9 million against him in #NY24. I think a Biden +17 seat would be doable for him, esp. in a GOP-leaning year. — PolitiTweet.org
"Tendency to be too honorable" @NUMANHU58113522
@KeystoneObsrvr @Redistrict Right No GOP member is winning a Biden +17% seat
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I'm not sure why NY Dem legislators would settle for this map when they could draw a 23D-3R gerrymander w/ all 23 Dem seats at Biden +10 or more. Still a long way to go here - and any real Dem chance at holding the majority probably hinges on it. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just got the shapefile uploaded. Dem commissioners' "Plan A" features 5 Trump districts, 3 Biden +3 or less districts and a Biden +17 Syracuse seat that Katko (R) could still win. So, perhaps even 17D-9R - a Dem loss of two and GOP gain of one - if 2022 is a "red wave." — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This is a pretty mild gerrymander that could result in anything from 19D-7R to 22D-4R depending on the year. It also has little chance of being enacted, b/c it's unlikely NY's commission is going to agree on lines (or that NY's Dem legislature would sign off on them). — PolitiTweet.org
Zach Williams @ZachReports
Here are the new congressional lines proposed by Democratic members of the Independent Redistricting Commission https://t.co/4bkaxB7arN
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NC redistricting trial now underway (livestream link below), w/ plaintiffs arguing GOP-drawn maps are partisan outliers. Huge stakes: just as in OH, control of 2-3 congressional seats on the line. https://t.co/Y0OmWPx8Mj — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mcpli: A federal court in Alabama hears arguments this week on a motion to block use of the state’s redrawn congressional map on ground… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: Here are 3 things to watch next year: 1) independents; 2) Biden job approve; 3) enthusiasm gap. Right now, Biden/Ds standi… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Georgia becomes the 26th state to complete a new congressional map, and it would convert the delegation from 8R-6D to 9R-5D by pitting Reps. Lucy McBath (D) and Carolyn Bourdeaux (D) against each other. This is, of course, pending a Dem-backed lawsuit. — PolitiTweet.org
Mark Niesse @markniesse
Breaking: Gov. Brian Kemp signed new Georgia political maps into law Thursday, finalizing Republican efforts to sol… https://t.co/7Woo7SWdE4
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The biggest surprise in this proposal: it doesn't even shore up Wagner that much. It looks like it takes #MO02 from Trump +0.1 to Trump +4.5, which would leave her in jeopardy in the next decade. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It still looks like the most likely Missouri outcome is a 6R-2D map that shores up #MO02 Rep. Ann Wagner (R), rather than an aggressive 7R-1D gerrymander targeting #MO05 Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D). — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Rosenbaum @jrosenbaum
Here is the @danshaul113 map. He told me that #MO1 will extend into the Webster Groves/Kirkwood/Shrewbury area, BTW: https://t.co/35iUIKFirw
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fact: in the 9 states where commissions/courts have finalized new maps, the number of close Biden/Trump seats (+5 or less) has dropped from 18 to 16 (-11%). But in the 16 states where partisan politicians have finalized new maps, close seats have plummeted from 19 to 7 (-63%). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Three important caveats: - 19 states still aren't included on this chart because they haven't finalized lines - Some included states, like NC/OH, could still be struck down/altered by courts - this chart doesn't show two "safe flips" from Dem to GOP: #GA06 & #NC07. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: Michigan's map just got a radical makeover. Who's at risk? Our analysis of the state of play in all 13 seats is live for subscribers. https://t.co/296nJ9Z4Rk — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@dicktofel The 19 states that haven't finalized new maps yet aren't included in this chart, so it doesn't tell the full House story. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@brent_peabody @CookPolitical Thx, will be fixed shortly. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@MarkMaxwellTV And, Springfield Dems kneecapped their own #IL17 candidates' chances of winning next fall by drawing the district four points sub-optimally. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NEW: @CookPolitical's 2022 House ratings for new districts, now that we're past the halfway point of redistricting. Still a long way to go, but Republicans clear favorites for control. https://t.co/mAdCOtLpRZ https://t.co/2VN5sKWCzd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Perhaps the most laughable claim of 2021 redistricting: NC Republicans insisting they didn't use partisan data to draw maps. If they didn't use partisan data, I didn't use the English language to write this tweet. — PolitiTweet.org
Rep. Destin Hall @DestinHall
History was made today as the state House and Senate redistricting committees voluntarily agreed not to use partisa… https://t.co/73IOlmZiSI
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @ElectionBabe: Redistricting is like divorce. The best way to tell if it was fairly adjudicated is if neither side is happy with the fin… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
As long as we're talking "prettymanders," here's a map CO Dems might have drawn had voters not passed redistricting reform: a safe 7D-1R plan that would eliminate Rep. Lauren Boebert's (R) seat (left). Instead, the commission drew a not-much-better-looking 4D-3R-1C plan (right). https://t.co/0gfYahe42s — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mattyglesias: Where I’m at with Covid is that reasonable people can disagree as to how much coercion should be used to save lives, but… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RyanP_Brown: Congressman Upton still undecided on whether to run again in 2022. If he did, he’d have to win a primary against another s… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: I broadly agree with this, though I'd add one additional twist on how to think about redistricting by seat: whether we're c… — PolitiTweet.org