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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The Verdict: How It Played in Peoria @FiveThirtyEight https://t.co/kSoj1bcRQZ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Big thanks to @Bradley_GOP & Bradley Dems for letting me crash their joint debate watch pizza party. More joint laughter than venom & anger. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
How Will It Play in Peoria? I'll be live-blogging the debate from the Bradley University student center at https://t.co/4qAC9nE5Vu — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The odds of Trump winning White House while losing popular vote now up to 7.7% via @fivethirtyeight https://t.co/Sl0bw034Be — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @conorsen: This is a great table from @Nate_Cohn showing the impact of undecided voters in 2016 vs 2012: https://t.co/FzeTYtTV50 https:/… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SeanTrende: I caught so much hell for this article. https://t.co/HY3aCiTlfw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NateSilver538: 1. Unskewing 2. Anger 3. "Hillary's internals must have her way ahead" 4. Depression 5. Acceptance — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @skepticalsports: This is by far the best "state of the election" graphic out there and should lead instead of map, IMO: https://t.co/gB… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @DLeonhardt: It's on. https://t.co/XM01nelhUL — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Beautiful day to vote in the 2016 election. https://t.co/I39lQxz4fl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A small but important reason NC could turn into Clinton's best "roadblock" state against Trump: Jill Stein isn't on the ballot. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There's something so perfect about British journalists venturing to otherworldly Youngstown to seek meaning of 2016. https://t.co/3yoIdWhMeA — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Instead, Trump probably needs combo of turnout spike among already-registered non-college whites & dip among Af-Ams and millennials. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
49M eligible whites weren't registered to vote in '14, per Census (mostly non-college). But no evidence Trump camp/RNC registering them. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Right now, reg voters are steadily getting more diverse. Trump surge would have to come from already reg. whites https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The individual data isn't promising either. There are 47M non-college whites who didn't vote in '12 & no reg spike.… https://t.co/d4zbIdcanE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not much Trump surge evidence in PA: in past 3 months, net registrations went up 1.8% in Obama counties, just 0.8% in Romney counties. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also no evidence of a pro-Trump surge in VA. In July/Aug, 52% of net new reg came from FFX, ARL, ALX, LDN, PWC, RIC, HCO (all heavy Dem). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Between new NBC/WSJ national poll & Fox News state polls, someone's wrong. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mmurraypolitics: In two-way race, Clinton leads Trump by 7pts among both likely and reg voters, per new natl NBC/WSJ poll https://t.co/… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The biggest FL surge has been in Osceola Co., up 12% since '14. That's mostly Puerto Rican Dems. The Villages (pro-Trump), in 3rd, up 9.7% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not really seeing pro-Trump surge in FL either. Since '14, net new reg up 4.1% in counties Obama was under 40%. Up 4.7% everywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Since Trump's launch 6/14/15, whites have accounted for only 59.6% of NC's net new registrants (they're a 69.9% share of all registrants). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If there's a pro-Trump new voter surge, I'm not seeing it in NC. Since 6/14/15, net reg up 6.8% in Obama counties, 5.2% in Romney counties. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Obama won U.S. by 5 million in '12. Eligible Latinos who didn't vote? 11.5 million. Eligible NCWs who didn't vote? 47M, including 24M men. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Point being, these "missing white voters" do exist. So far, I just haven't seen much evidence in reg/other data Trump is activating them. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, Obama won PA by 310k votes. Eligible Latinos who didn't vote: 191k. Eligible non-college whites who didn't vote? 2.6 million. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, Obama won NV by 68k votes. Eligible Latinos who didn't vote: 132k. Eligible non-college whites who didn't vote? 393k. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, Obama won IA by 92k votes. Eligible Latinos who didn't vote: 26k. Eligible non-college whites who didn't vote? 505k. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, Obama won OH by 166k votes. Eligible Latinos who didn't vote: 81k. Eligible non-college whites who didn't vote? 2.2 million. — PolitiTweet.org
