Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Iowa election types: can one of her votes be invalidated, or too late? What's voting method at these sites? https://t.co/pjfF3udMS1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

VA's highest reg gains vs. '12: 1. Harrisonburg (D) +17% 2. Loudoun (D) +14% 3. Richmond (D) +14% 4. New Kent (R) +11% 5. Radford (D) +10% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meanwhile, VA's largest AA-majority jurisdiction, Portsmouth, is only at 33% of its '12 absentee vote total - the lowest in the state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

VA's most heavily Latino jurisdiction, Manassas Park, is already at 81% of its '12 absentee vote total - the highest in the state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL: the two counties w/ highest Hispanic share, Miami-Dade & Osceola, are also well above state avg at 75% & 74% respectively. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, all 8 FL counties w/ the highest share of votes cast vs. all '12 early votes are very favorable counties for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL early voting turnout not bad for Trump (2/2): 5. Baker (R) 89% of '12 total 6. Brevard (R) 81% 7. Collier (R) 79% 8. Santa Rosa (R) 75% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL early voting turnout #s not bad for Trump (1/2): 1. Lee (R) 116% of '12 total 2. Manatee (R) 108% 3. Sumter (R) 96% 4. Hernando (R) 96% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top GOP-trending FL counties vs. '12, by party registration: 1. Holmes 2. Dixie 3. Gulf 4. Washington 5. Union — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top Dem-trending FL counties vs. '12, by party registration: 1. Osceola 2. Orange 3. Miami-Dade 4. Seminole 5. Broward — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL's top jumps in total registrants vs. '12: 1. Sumter (R) +25% 2. Walton (R) +22% 3. Osceola (D) +20% 4. Nassau (R) +19% 5. Polk (R) +16% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL's top net jumps in Hispanic registrants vs. '12: 1. Miami-Dade +75k 2. Broward +44k 3. Orange +40k 4. Hillsborough +37k 5. Osceola +23k — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Broward County, FL: white registrants fell 42k vs. '12, Hispanics rose 44k, blacks rose 21k, others rose 17k. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Miami-Dade Co. *alone* added more Hispanic voters (75,847) since '12 than Obama's statewide margin of victory (74,307). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In '04, Osceola Co. (Kissimmee) registrants were 57% white & voted for GWB. Now registrants are just 39% white, 45% Hispanic. HRC rout. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL's largest drops in white % of registrants vs. '12: 1. Osceola (-6%) 2. Broward (-5%) 3. Hendry (-5%) 4. Palm Beach (-4%) 5. Polk (-4%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

2016: the first presidential election ever in which a majority of Orange County, FL (Orlando)'s registered voters are non-white. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Since '12, FL has added a net 325,485 white voters & 603,842 non-white voters. Keep in mind, Obama's FL margin was 74,309 in '12. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At bookclosing, FL has added a net 929,327 voters since '12. Non-whites have accounted for 65% of that growth (39% H, 11% AA, 15% Other). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Florida's registered voters, now final: 2016: White 64.2, Hispanic 15.7, Black 13.4 2012: White 66.5, Hispanic 13.9, Black… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @cam_joseph: Go home 2016, you’re drunk. https://t.co/ej94b7oOPI — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One consistent aspect of the hyper-polarized 2016 election: we've constantly overrated the impact of every "bombshell" on the polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, none of the counts updated for today or ballots currently in the mail. True total likely closer to 20% of total electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

About 17.9 million Americans have already voted, per @ElectProject. That's ~13% of expected electorate. https://t.co/I5R3peTZ98 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This meshes well w/ our county upsides model: https://t.co/bqqK1aTQTO cc: @aedwardslevy https://t.co/s5i7yPtDAz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@electionsmith For comparison's sake, what was racial composition of 2012 electorate? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Required reading by @JoshuaGreen: Inside the Trump Bunker, With 12 Days to Go https://t.co/pfkM5BJyiH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, the only locality in VA w/ higher growth in early vote vs. '12 is heavily D Lexington, home of W&L. Now at 72%… https://t.co/rYD6te2KzS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ElectProject I think you've got your VA numbers switched around - total advance ballots looks like it should be 241,175, not 381,683 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Has potential to further complicate already fraught race for #KS03 Rep. Kevin Yoder (R), who's in our Lean R column… https://t.co/4ubvhubWP0 — PolitiTweet.org