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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
.Enough to offset drop in AA? maybe. But enough to overcome it plus erase Romney 2% '12 margin? That's a big ask. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If AA's drop 3-4% as share of NC electorate (we don't know yet), I have hard time believing HRC will make that up a… https://t.co/Py55P4lF1l — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Alex_Roarty: The House Democratic incumbent who faces headwinds from Trump. Great @sfpathe read https://t.co/dRipKRSzTq — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Trump's path of least resistance to 270 increasingly looking like NC-FL-OH-IA-WI-ME02. https://t.co/PkHQBgZ0Fx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI: Hillary Clinton has an African-American turnout problem. https://t.co/PFwTp9YFEP — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At the moment, the @FiveThirtyEight state by state forecast is in exact alignment w/ our "Vote Swap" scenario: https://t.co/bqqK1aTQTO — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @BowTiePolitics @jonathankappler only 14k NC AA's voting on Sunday seems like a really low number...even if only 15 counties. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Yet this is the first GOP nominee who promoted birtherism & offered to pay legal fees for guy who sucker-punched a… https://t.co/GAAZuE4j59 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also strong evidence this is taking place in NC/OH/VA https://t.co/NChNiheqvM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This this this this this by @NateSilver538 https://t.co/PwDZmZcGjx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
More evidence of the anti-Trump Latino surge & post-Obama AA ebb. https://t.co/00mhI3y1ls — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @BowTiePolitics @jonathankappler cool, thx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @BowTiePolitics @jonathankappler preferably the latter...but I'd still love to see a Sunday-only "souls… https://t.co/f6nu4SjTRX — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@bowtiepolitics @jonathankappler @Nate_cohn When do you think we'll get full reliable data on party/race breakdown of NC's Sunday in-person? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectProject @kkondik I'm kind of anti-predicting states based on early vote...esp. b/c just a fraction of overall expected vote is in. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Hillary Clinton is benefiting from record enthusiasm among Latino voters. But she also has an African-American turn… https://t.co/BsWNsRoThV — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Meet the Clinton coalition: more Latinos & college-educated whites, fewer African-Americans & millennials. https://t.co/Y6zw6jFcLh — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@electionsmith what was it overall? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In NC, couldn't the changing party reg breakdown since '12 account for some of Dems' underperformance? https://t.co/JtX3MB1BmB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @ZacMcCrary: Sounds like both HRC and Trump are focused on energizing Democratic voters. https://t.co/rqAJh1RmBz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Exactly, this too. https://t.co/wdM7NWfNKH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Yup. Dem nightmare scenario #5 still unlikely but gaining ground. https://t.co/YDrPZIlNe3 https://t.co/CufsB3ggN5 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Could McMullin win Utah w/o winning a county? Seems like he might come in 2nd to HRC in Salt Lake/Summit & 2nd to DJT everywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @TimJHanrahan: Is surge in registered voters in Texas bad news for Trump? More on the weirdly close polls there: https://t.co/34ahClUIvr… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Taniel: However, there is no scenario where a McMullin win in UT helps Clinton. The most it can do is push election to a GOP House. htt… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Recent events could make strategic voting on the part of UT's Clinton supporters a pretty meaningful prospect. https://t.co/tAoaZ8rVNc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Back to square one: forget FL/OH. Trump needs NC/PA to win. They're the most critical states in the 2016 election. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This isn't the FL early vote data a lot of Dems had hoped for. https://t.co/BYg5Tj7qLi — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Through the first week, pretty clear there are big TX enthusiasm increases vs. '12 among Latinos and college-educat… https://t.co/dQuqTfRaD4 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top TX early vote jumps vs. '12, Day 5: 1. Travis +101% 2. Williamson +82% 3. El Paso +77% 4. Collin +65% 5. Cameron +71% 6. Dallas +52% — PolitiTweet.org
