Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 399 of 496.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Odds of Trump winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote now up to 11.1% at @FiveThirtyEight: https://t.co/RR3nWMzHio — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Let's say Trump wins IA/OH/FL/NC/NH but loses CO/NV/VA and is at 263 EVs. His most plausible "blue wall" breakthrough state is: — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jodyavirgan @jonfavs There are states (like NV) where news is genuinely good for Dems. But campaign take (shocker)… https://t.co/hsTOhk5UWw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Some of that is pop growth. But for comparison, FL's statewide early ballots at 52% of '12 total votes cast. Miami-Dade at 57%, Leon 39%. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In Sumter, FL (The Villages), early ballots cast so far are already at 88% of the *entire* number of votes cast there in 2012 (67% Romney). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top FL early votes so far vs. '12 *totals,* continued: 6. Brevard (R) +7% 7. Miami-Dade (D) +5% 8. Flagler (R) +4% 9. Osceola (D) +1% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top FL early vote increases vs. '12 *totals:* 1. Lee (R) +42% 2. Manatee (R) +40% 3. Sumter (R) +22% 4. Baker (R) +21% 5. Hernando (R) +15% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL: 9 counties have already surpassed their '12 advance vote totals. Two, Miami-Dade & Osceola, heavily Hispanic. Other 7 heavily R. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL quirk: even though Dems lead GOP in unreturned VBM ballots, the gap keeps growing each day more sent in. Now 82k. https://t.co/XfccrMbHPg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @crampell: Should Trump accept the election outcome regardless of whether he wins? Only 4 in 10 Trump supporters say yes https://t.co/FL… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Between Marquette & Quinnipiac, Dems breathing a big sigh of relief today. https://t.co/9Nq6kYJSAa — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical rating: #MN08 Rep. Rick Nolan (D) moves to Toss Up, but may still be very narrow favorite. https://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical Rating: #AKAL Rep. Don Young, longest-serving R in Congress, moves from Likely R to Lean R. https://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical House ratings: where the 40 competitive races stand in the final week... https://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not a bad round of polls here for Clinton. https://t.co/vAwBz7utM0 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jimpiasecki93 never have. all I've ever said is it has an excellent chance to be the tipping point state. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A few days late, but Schuylkill County (Pottsville, PA) is a big Trump surge zone in our model. https://t.co/tZ4JhOws8a — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
TX: Travis, El Paso & Williamson counties have become the first 3 of state's 15 largest to surpass their '12 early vote totals. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Kiss of death? #CA49 https://t.co/GHLfmMKOEB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In addition, much of Clinton's WI lead built on Trump underperformance in Milwaukee burbs. Easy to imagine many R's there coming home late. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lots of nervous Dems awaiting Marquette poll. WI is a) whiter b) more working class than other states assumed to be in Clinton's firewall. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@JohnAnzo I can vouch for this cc: @ZacMcCrary — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The flip side: Portsmouth, VA remains the lowest at just 40% of '12 absentees cast. Also happens to be VA's largest AA-majority city. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Over weekend, Manassas Park, VA became 1st locality to surpass its total '12 absentees cast. It's also got highest % of Latino voters in VA. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @FoxReports: This @rachaelmbade profile of a Republican literally laughing his way to possible defeat is incredible https://t.co/k0UO0ov… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Agree it's almost inconceivable AA share wouldn't go up from '14, but at this pt need to either make EV progress or… https://t.co/DdXZNfyCTH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@steph_bello I don't agree it's *totally* out of Trump's reach. Still has good chance of being tipping point state. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I agree, since they were 21% in '14. But if AA share of early vote is down to 21% from 27% in '12, what do you see… https://t.co/7zSaHRQiS5 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL: 72k more GOPers than Dems have returned VBM ballots, 80k more Dems than GOPers still haven't sent theirs in. https://t.co/XfccrMbHPg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you believe Trump needs 1) huge surge in WWC vote 2) GOP voters coming home & 3) weak AA enthusiasm...so far there's evidence of 2 & 3. — PolitiTweet.org
