Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 397 of 496.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FINAL TX early vote increases vs. '12: 1. Travis (D) +60% 2. El Paso (D) +56% 3. Williamson (R) +54% 4. Cameron (D) +47% 5. Denton (R) +41% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@PatrickRuffini Yep. This is essentially our @FiveThirtyEight "Vote Swap" scenario map. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SeanTrende: If it becomes a 270-268 Clinton win, this guy becomes the most interesting man in America. https://t.co/Nyc8lz1lxB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @geoffreyvs: Obama's 2012 Fairfax County margin was 2/3 of his statewide edge in Virginia https://t.co/Z43SIJupfT — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sounds easy enough for Clinton, but problem is Trump set to receive higher white % -- esp in Upper Midwest.… https://t.co/jxPbQnh5wy — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And, Clinton camp/PrioritiesUSA was curiously dark on MI/WI airwaves until final week (via AdAge/Kantar/CMAG). Now… https://t.co/fGYWKheBaF — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ralston calls it, rightly IMO. NV a potential top-to-bottom R disaster. https://t.co/4XoWP3iwU2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just a reminder to Dems that all of their positive news in NV/CO/VA isn't transferable to MI/NH/PA/WI. Those become all the more critical. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Anyone catch whether @CNN ever disclosed how many of its 860 NV interviews were completed in Spanish? @jennagiesta? https://t.co/xznOpgrzUQ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
However, the polling/early vote dissonance in CO could be a lot like story in NV. And if that's true, the true tipp… https://t.co/qLuKEHzjQE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you were to arbitrarily move NV five states to the left on @FiveThirtyEight's "Winding Path," the new tipping po… https://t.co/HMMPSKHsql — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bottom line: in diverse states like NV, when more people vote, Democrats win. And tons of ppl are voting - including new Latinos in droves. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
That's incredibly unlikely, given that in '12 Dems outvoted GOP on Election Day 121k to 109k, and Trump has far inferior ground org. 8/8. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, only 311k Nevadans voted on Election Day. Let's be generous and say it's 400k this time. Trump would need to win them by 10%. 7/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In this scenario, the early vote tally would be Clinton 379,929 to Trump 340,787, meaning Trump would start out Election Day 39k down. 6/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And, let's say NV's Other registrants split 45%-45%, which is probably generous to Trump given their higher young/non-white share. 5/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Now let's say Clinton/Trump each win their own party's registrants 90%-5%-5% - prob best case scenario for Trump given national trend... 4/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NV statewide, Dems have built a 323k to 277k early vote lead, about as big as '12. 166k Others have voted early as well. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Let's do the math. Dems added another ~12k to their Clark lead yesterday, their biggest day yet. Thru early voting period, lead is 73k. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI while you were asleep, there was a Friday night massacre of Trump's NV prospects...at a Hispanic supermarket.… https://t.co/keStx5iDNE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL: out of 5.7 million ballots returned so far, Dems take 8k lead (were down 3k yesterday). https://t.co/XfccrMbHPg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RalstonReports: Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Very cool stuff here. https://t.co/UyhNVV68P6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There are clearly now several states where following demographics > following polls. But you'll never dissuade some… https://t.co/dMyqm2uRwB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Might now be fair to ask what overall chances of winning @FiveThirtyEight would assign if model arbitrarily moved N… https://t.co/Ucvk4mAZRP — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For those not following, there is a Friday night massacre of Trump's NV prospects underway... https://t.co/g0dIRCxH0Q — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
That's because the new voter reg data is even worse for GOP in Santa Barbara/#CA24. https://t.co/vgWIAhqWZV — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top TX early vote increases vs. '12, thru Day 11: 1. Travis (D) +66% 2. El Paso (D) +62% 3. Williamson (R) +59% 4. Cameron (D) +51% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This was kind of predictable as one of Hillary's weaker nights in the sample rolled off. Things seem to have stabil… https://t.co/E42Hp9VQ4g — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In GOP Rep. Jeff Denham's #CA10, Dems have expanded voter reg lead from 3k in '12 to 9k in '16. He may be slightly better off, but watch. — PolitiTweet.org
