Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Black Voters Aren’t Turning Out For The Post-Obama Democratic Party by @PatrickRuffini https://t.co/qoprKgb0Ii — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #MTAL, Quist (D) received 94% of Clinton's vote total, while Gianforte (R) received 68% of Trump's. I think this is a problem for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's what I know: several polls showed Gianforte (R) doing better w/ E-Day voters than absentees. In the end, he did slightly worse. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To clarify, this is estimated two-party vote in a "neutral" environment via @CookPolitical PVI vs. actual two-party vote in specials. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Generic Dem/Actual Dem, 2017 House specials: #KS04: 35%/47% (+12%) #GA06: 42%/49% (+7%) #MTAL: 39%/47% (+8%) Median '18 House seat: 47%/?? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#MTAL w/ all 681 precincts fully reporting: Gianforte (R) 50.2% Quist (D) 44.1% Missoula/Glacier narrowed gap about 1% overnight. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: In Yellowstone (Billings), Gianforte won the early vote by 20 points and same-day by 10. And about 90% (!) of all votes… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

DCCC chair Rep. Lujan: "Greg Gianforte is unfit to represent MT. There’s no question in my mind Gianforte should not be sworn into office." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @alexis_levinson: Very clear as Gianforte began apology that many in crowd didn't feel it was necessary or warranted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now in #MTAL: Gianforte (R) 50.6% Quist (D) 43.6% Glacier/Missoula could narrow the gap a bit, but some good GOP areas out too. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

"Tonight Montanans are sending a wake up call to the Washington DC establishment" - Rep.-Elect Greg Gianforte #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @daveweigel: Nobody cares anymore, but Gianforte indeed got through the election w/o taking an AHCA stance — except to donors, to whom h… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Montana has a @CookPolitical PVI score of R+11. There's only one state with a PVI score of D+11: New York. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting #MTAL Q's left: 1) Does Gianforte hit an outright majority? 2) What does his victory speech look like? I'll await your GIFs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bottom line: given the absentee results, it was never going to be realistic for Quist to erase his deficit on Election Day. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's a slight bit of evidence Quist doing better in E-Day vote than absentee (at least in cities), counter to recent patterns elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For what it’s worth, the Election Day vote is indeed looking a bit better for Quist than the early… https://t.co/A2KQvnr8Er — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: What's there to say? The result has been fairly evident (with caution taken as needed) since about 10:01 pm. #gianfort… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Believe it or not, though, I think the final margin in #MTAL will bode well for Dems nationally. https://t.co/Vzy8ghGVfW — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Greg Gianforte (R) elected to Congress in #MTAL special, defeating Rob Quist (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@KSoltisAnderson .Gianforte — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Quist is doing decently in much of the west, including Kalispell/Missoula. But he's just not keeping up in Billings/Great Falls. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still, it's unlikely to compensate for Quist's weak performances elsewhere, particularly in Billings. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Flathead County just reported in 22k votes. Not bad for Quist! Gianforte leads there 55%-41%, trailing his '16 Gov. slightly. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, Gianforte is up 48%-46%-6% in #MTAL. Hmm...where have I seen that set of numbers before?... https://t.co/j58GawYdY7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on everything I'm seeing, I'd guess Gianforte ends up winning this thing in the 5%-10% range. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, that's not good for Quist either... #MTAL https://t.co/YqKldjUrPr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And there really aren't enough votes left out in Yellowstone for Quist to even get the county very close. #MTAL https://t.co/A398DS0TNn — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Do we have live precinct results? Yes, we do have live precinct results https://t.co/GiwXbcw9gH https://t.co/o9Jg9YsTwN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

138/681 precincts reporting: Quist (D) 84,573 47% Gianforte (R) 83,808 47% But almost none of MT's most rural/GOP counties in. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org