Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #TX15, the only competitive seat in the state, Army veteran Ruben Ramirez (D) and attorney John Villareal Rigney (D) currently lead for runoff slots to face Monica De La Cruz (R) in an 81% Hispanic district that was Trump +3 in 2020. @CookPolitical rating: Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Jessica Cisneros (D) is doing a few points better w/ the Election Day vote than the early vote. That's her best hope of holding off a Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) surge from the outstanding border counties. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#TX03 Rep. Van Taylor (R), who voted to certify the 2020 election, is hovering at just under 52% w/ most of the expected vote in. Still a slight chance of a runoff vs. former Collin Co. Judge Keith Self (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Jessica Cisneros (D) leads Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) 51%-45% w/ a little over half the expected vote counted, but Cuellar still has a lot of more conservative border turf that should come in really strong for him: Starr and Zapata. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

While we await more votes (and a possible runoff) in Cuellar/Cisneros, Republicans' preferred candidate Cassy Garcia (R) is far ahead of the GOP field but also likely headed to a runoff. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With minor candidate Tanya Benavides (D) taking 6.4% in early returns, there's a real chance of a May 24 runoff if neither #TX28 Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) nor Jessica Cisneros (D) break 50%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) has won Laredo's early vote 61%-36% (h/t @Forrest4Trees), which is a bit ahead of his 2020 margin there over Cisneros. This is clearly a more polarized race than 2020, and it's far from over. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A sign of life for Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) as he's winning Jim Hogg Co. (in South TX portion of #TX28) 74%-21% over Cisneros. He'll need that kind of margin in/around Laredo to counter what we're seeing from Cisneros in San Antonio. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's rare to see a district head in a *less* confrontational direction these days. But that's the case in #TX01, where a more conventional Republican, Smith County Judge Nathaniel Moran, is lapping the field to replace Rep. Louie Gohmert (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Navy SEAL-turned-cognitive scientist Morgan Luttrell (R) demolishing the field in the open, safely GOP #TX08. This is a big win for Kevin McCarthy over Ted Cruz, who backed pro-Freedom Caucus Christian Collins (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

AOC-backed former Austin Council member Greg Casar (D) demolishing the primary field so far for the open safe Dem #TX35. Looking likely he'll avoid a runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Jessica Cisneros (D) is far outpacing her 2020 primary performance vs. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) in Bexar County. Looking very grim for the incumbent so far. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are 67 districts left to draw in six states. My latest on where things stand in Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin is live at @CookPolitical. https://t.co/QDNKSf1ESY — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In particular, the Cincinnati/Warren Co. #OH01 in this map seems like a giant middle finger to the OH Supreme Court, which specifically took issue with the first configuration for its treatment of Hamilton Co. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Ohio's Republicans propose a new 10R-2D-3C map that could still result in a 13R-2D split in a favorable GOP year. To my eye, this isn't really any less of a gerrymander than the first map the OH Supreme Court struck down. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@rickhasen We don't disagree. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This was to be expected, just as most legal experts expect NY's Dem gerrymander to stand. Pretty much cements a one seat GOP gain in GA, at least for 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This was to be expected, just as most legal experts expect NY's Dem gerrymander to stand. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excited to welcome two new @CookPolitical hires: @MattKleinCPR (who first caught my attention w/ his stellar #DistrictoftheDay series) as our Research Associate and @BethFekadeCPR, our new Client Services Associate. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To intervene vs. Dem-majority state court rulings in NC & PA would seem to contradict SCOTUS's earlier (and highly disputed) rationale for rescuing the AL GOP's map: that it's too close to the election for changes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEW: One of the biggest consequences of 2022 redistricting is the erasure of competitive districts. How that's playin… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BryanRAnderson: #BREAKING: North Carolina Supreme Court denies appeals from voting groups, GOP lawmakers. Trial courts maps remain in p… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The GOP's redistricting autopsy already underway - a strange place to be given Rs remain favorites for House control this fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Today is probably Democrats' single best redistricting day yet. They have a path to keeping all their current seats in PA (which wasn't a given), and they could conceivably win three more seats vs. the GOP plan in NC if the special masters' map is adopted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A huge break for #PA08 Rep. Matt Cartwright (D). Meuser (R) could have run against him in #PA08, but will stay in the solid R #PA09. The odd one out here: Rep. Fred Keller (R), whose solid R #PA12 was axed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The NC special masters' map is pretty much exactly proportional to the state's lean (7R-6D-1C), but it makes some curious choices to get there. Most notably, it splits Black communities down the middle in Charlotte, Winston-Salem, Fayetteville and Raleigh. https://t.co/4KenQ16Tb4 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If NC Supreme Court upholds this congressional map, would be a big win for Dems: a 7R-6D-1C plan, w/ a new safe Dem #NC14 in Charlotte and a new competitive but Dem-trending #NC13 outside Raleigh. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One solid GOP district, #PA12, is eliminated from the current 9D-9R delegation. But, Rs still have great pickup opportunities in #PA07, #PA08 and #PA17 - and if they sweep them all this fall, it'd be 11R-6D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty much the best case scenario for Dems from the 4D-3R PA Supreme Court. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A minor surprise as Rep. Fred Upton (R), one of ten pro-impeachment House Rs, indicates he'll seek a 19th term after all, setting up a primary vs. Rep. Bill Huizenga (R) in the new #MI04. https://t.co/zh2rptTAFx — PolitiTweet.org