Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems have thwarted GOP gerrymanders in NC, OH, PA and WI this cycle by winning key statewide contests (judicial/gov). If sole power rested w/ legislatures, there’d be almost no constraints b/c they could perpetuate their own rule via - you guessed it - gerrymandering. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BruneElections https://t.co/2Xtk28s1MQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BruneElections And for that matter the 4th...but easy enough to resolve w/ minor adjustments — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Of the five remaining states, Ohio has by far the most potential to alter the national picture. If the OH Supreme Court invalidates the GOP plan and orders a 8-7 Trump plan (example, left), it could hand Dems 2-3 more seats vs. the current 12R-4D gerrymander (right). https://t.co/vtgjiFwRlB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Some interesting foreshadowing (not causal) of future electoral trends in the Keystone pipeline vote of '14: Dems voting fo… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This ruling ensures the 2022 House map will be much less skewed towards Republicans than the current one (and perhaps not skewed towards Rs at all). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @scotusreporter: BREAKING: Supreme Court denies Republican requests to block court-approved congressional maps in North Carolina and Pen… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A helpful chart illustrating the surge in GOP primary voting in South Texas/RGV, another indicator of potential realignment there (contrary to some reports). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kansas's GOP gerrymander is probably the next likeliest enacted map to be revisited by a court after Ohio's. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL Republicans at risk of throwing the congressional lines to the courts by virtue of their inability to agree on how aggressively to press their advantage. https://t.co/0GXCS63zW7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: why Laredo and the Rio Grande Valley, once ironclad Dem regions, have emerged as a flashpoint in the 2022 race for House control. https://t.co/2yaX60v8bD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: New Gov ratings changes this morning at @CookPolitical: #CTGov: Solid D —> Likely D #FLGov: Lean R —> Likely R #MAGov:… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Despite this being Gov. Tony Evers’s (D) map, it’s a status quo plan that could easily result in a 6R-2D split in a state Biden carried. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @sarahnferris: Final Laredo dispatch, w/ @allymutnick Dems have never lost Henry Cuellar's South Texas seat in a general. But this y… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. #TX03 becomes the 15th open GOP seat, w/ pro-Trump former Collin Co. Judge Keith Self (R) the virtually certain winner. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

OH Supreme Court to invalidate in 3, 2, 1… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After last night, Republicans likely have a full slate of Latinas contesting three Rio Grande Valley seats: #TX15 Monica De La Cruz #TX28 Cassy Garcia (pending runoff) #TX34 Mayra Flores Rs already favored in #TX15, but all three could be in play in a total Dem collapse. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @PatrickSvitek: Confirmed by @Berenice__G: The results that have @RepCuellar at 50% overall are based on the wrong Starr County numbers.… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Turnout of RVs in #TX28 Dem primary by county... Zapata 44% Jim Hogg 30% Duval 23% Starr 15% Webb 14% Bexar 8% Guadalupe 5% Atascosa 4% Anyone know what was going on in Zapata Co. (72% Cuellar) that explains this? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The key to Cuellar living to fight another day: pro-Trump Dem primary voters along the border who responded to his anti-progressive messaging. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, there it is. Starr Co. gives Cuellar (D) a 2,148 vote margin, vaulting him ahead of Cisneros (D) 49%-46%. But with pro-Cisneros precincts left in Bexar Co., #TX28 is almost assuredly heading to a 5/24 runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: #TX03 Rep. Van Taylor (R) is down to 49.3% and appears headed for a runoff vs. former Collin Co. Judge Keith Self (26.6%) after voting to certify the 2020 election result and for a bipartisan 1/6 panel. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With more of Guadalupe Co. reporting, Cisneros (D) is back on top by 34 votes (0.1%). Bexar/Starr still on track to offset each other. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: the rest of Webb Co. (Laredo) just came in and Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) is now leading Jessica Cisneros (D) by 224 votes out of 35k cast. There's still all of Starr Co. (pro-Cuellar) and some of Bexar Co. (pro-Cisneros) to count. A #TX28 runoff now likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #TX03, pro-certification Rep. Van Taylor (R) now down to 50.5%, hovering just over threshold to avoid runoff vs. former Collin Co. Judge Keith Self (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: it's Ken Paxton (R) vs. George P. Bush (R) in the 5/24 GOP runoff for TX Attorney General. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And just like that, Zapata comes in: Cuellar 74%-22%, and Cisneros lead falls back down to 49%-46% overall. If neighboring Starr comes in similarly, it would easily put Cuellar back on top. Then again, Cisneros has some Bexar left. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Jessica Cisneros (D) has taken a 51%-44% lead over Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) w/ more San Antonio area votes reporting. But Cuellar still has huge vote reserves outstanding in Starr, Webb and Zapata. Still a very good chance of a runoff. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Henry Cuellar (D) gets a big 67%-25% margin out of Duval Co. (still some vote out there), narrowing Jessica Cisneros's (D) overall lead to 49%-46%. Starr and Zapata could put Cuellar in front, but Cisneros has Bexar Co. EDay votes left. Runoff chance rising. #TX28 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A slight clarification: #TX15 is the only TX seat that was within five points between Biden/Trump in 2020. But we also currently view #TX28 (Biden +7) as competitive in November, whether Cuellar or Cisneros emerges. — PolitiTweet.org