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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If this happens (as we hinted in @CookPolitical yesterday), #PA06 could become a true lost cause for GOP. https://t.co/TXJdYcEyqC — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Read @Amyewalter's latest: Deja Vu All Over Again. Health Care Takes Center Stage in 2018 Campaigns https://t.co/L3Y6jGq5IO — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If he wins the Dem primary, he might attract some Rs & repel many Ds. If he loses the primary to a very liberal can… https://t.co/w898Do4C6i — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's an example: Dems should have a golden opportunity to pick up Rep. Charlie Dent (R)'s open seat in #PA07 (D+1… https://t.co/2589kYFobs — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At the moment, there are all kinds of fancy models flying around projecting out the relationship b/t national polls… https://t.co/9SLnMmQyWp — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The only path left for GOP to keep its House majority involves some combo of these two things: a) Generic ballot d… https://t.co/gJItAvvRP9 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@SeanTrende So are parts of VA. But we didn't see Dems massively overperform in HoD races in the far southwest of VA, for example. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
True of congressional specials, of which we don't have a very large data set. Also true that the most staggering De… https://t.co/0yxD5eRSjp — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's not any correlation between turnout and how well Democrats are doing in special elections. They're overperf… https://t.co/fM1uqssf7m
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Taken together, off-year results suggest: a) Dems enjoy an intensity gap that looks like '10/'14 in reverse b) Dem… https://t.co/m9z4a3GY3K — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
But congressional specials have been powerful indicators too: they've been federal, high $$ fights w/ generally awf… https://t.co/YtGsyxWu7F — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
IMHO, the most telling off-year results for 11/18 purposes have been VA's HoD races, which featured: a) GOP incumb… https://t.co/m0UPoO4g9z — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 @SeanTrende @Barnes_Law @henryolsenEPPC @ForecasterEnten @Nate_Cohn @djjohnso @Peoples_Pundit… https://t.co/3u0hKn4oJb — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 @SeanTrende @Barnes_Law @henryolsenEPPC @ForecasterEnten @Nate_Cohn @djjohnso @Peoples_Pundit… https://t.co/UHjiHPVwkg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: Sean Casten (D) takes lead over Kelly Mazeski (D) by 616 votes in #IL06 primary. Looking like it'll be Ca… https://t.co/etjVO5Swsc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This could be a mild setback for Dems' chances of defeating Rep. Peter Roskam (R) in #IL06, a CD that voted for Cli… https://t.co/w4T7wv5lZd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
DuPage Co. appears to have taken a break from counting, but there could easily be another 5-10k votes left to count… https://t.co/PtA7cide78 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If both #IL03 Newman (D) and #IL06 Mazeski (D) lose their primaries, it would be a rough night in the Chicago burbs… https://t.co/bCw8238xnZ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Mazeski (D) lead over Casten (D) falls to just 260 votes w/ 91 DuPage precincts left to count. Casten increasingly… https://t.co/yGPN00WdRf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Mazeski (D) lead down to 683 votes w/ 103 DuPage precincts left to go in #IL06. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another 14 DuPage Co. precincts cut Mazeski (D) lead from 760 to 724 in #IL06. Still 120 precincts left to count. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another 28 DuPage Co. precincts cut Mazeski (D)'s lead over Casten (D) from 976 to 760 votes in #IL06. Still anothe… https://t.co/ysbUenzZD5 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To be clear, I'm not saying Mazeski (D) or Casten (D) is more electable than the other, but #IL06 Rep. Peter Roskam… https://t.co/xtvPsVUEVt — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In #IL06, Kelly Mazeski (D) clinging to 976 vote lead (2.4%) over Sean Casten (D) with 162 precincts in DuPage Co.… https://t.co/2D9OgVEnH9 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RepBrendanBoyle: It’s important if you ever run for office and lose that on election night you congratulate your opponent, thank your v… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In #IL06, Sean Casten (D) closing gap vs. Kelly Mazeski (D) quickly w/ strong performance in Downers Grove, his hom… https://t.co/ijU8YiyiAw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
P.S. please stop writing about Lipinski's general election opponent, who is so irrelevant to the 11/6 #IL03 race th… https://t.co/TGudul604M — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Projection: Rep. Dan Lipinski (D) turns back primary challenge from Marie Newman (D) in #IL03, virtually assuring him another term.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Projection: Rep. Dan Lipinski (D) turns back primary challenge from Marie Newman (D) in #IL03, virtually assuring him another term. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (D) wins nomination against Rep. Rodney Davis (R) in downstate #IL13. For now,… https://t.co/e31YCiNQwM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rauner (R) & Lipinski (D) both looking like they'll barely hang on. #ILGOV #IL03 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lipinski's 4,090 vote margin in the city of Chicago is making all the difference in the #IL03 primary at the moment… https://t.co/SukT8BC3Y7 — PolitiTweet.org
