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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Think of #AZ08 this way: its @CookPolitical PVI score is R+13. #PA18 is R+11, AL is R+14. In other words, Hiral Tip… https://t.co/nJNeE8FQLA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Because mail ballots make up an overwhelming share of the vote in #AZ08 (maybe 80%) whereas they're tiny shares of… https://t.co/e04iZJL7FC — PolitiTweet.org

Joseph Kauffman @jkauffman23

@Redistrict I completely agree that Ds will very likely lose, but why are early voting numbers more reliable now th… https://t.co/8Spuux8cG8

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A GOP loss in #AZ08 would be genuinely shocking. That said, a good showing for Hiral Tipirneni (D) might be 43%+. T… https://t.co/wBzqtQmz3e — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Happy #AZ08 Election Day! Reminder to people hyping this as a coin flip: Rs have a 17% voter reg advantage & lead b… https://t.co/GJcAyUqUMy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: #CO05 Rep. Doug Lamborn (R) thrown off GOP primary ballot, creating yet another R open seat. But Lamborn… https://t.co/p7s3sZyYj2 — PolitiTweet.org

Rob McCallum @rwmccallum

@CoSupremeCourt just came down with an opinion in 18SA176, Kuhn v. Williams—Election Law. Therefore, the supreme c… https://t.co/frD978epBR

Posted April 23, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The real suspense in #AZ08: who is the 113 year old Dem voter? https://t.co/9uszLnAtBO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Emerson radically changes methodology *between polls* to better reflect #AZ08 early vote, finds Debbie Lesko (R) ha… https://t.co/L97EckqxXy — PolitiTweet.org

Emerson Polling @EmersonPolling

🗳️ FINAL POLL 🗳️ #Republicans pull ahead in #AZ08 but still within margin of error 📻 DETAILS: https://t.co/PHH2WAvDQW

Posted April 23, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ForecasterEnten Prof. Kimball admits in the clip that Emerson changed its methodology between polls to better inco… https://t.co/fVjyW2dnEq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That's likely just way too big a gap for Dems to make up w/ crossovers & Election Day (4/24). In fact, 39% of all R… https://t.co/ARLrJiG7b0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New #AZ08 update: 151k ballots cast (likely ~70% of total). R registrants out-voting Ds 49%-28%. Median voter age:… https://t.co/HLRSuxcray — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Former top House GOP aide 👇 https://t.co/2qcpLFrUoK — PolitiTweet.org

Michael Steel @michael_steel

This stat from @Redistrict really worries me: "Out of the 65 GOP incumbents rated as less than "Solid," 49 were fi… https://t.co/JKzSBHQsT0

Posted April 20, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Of the 199 House Rs running for reelection, only *one*: 1) took <55% in '16, 2) sits in an R+5 or less district 3)… https://t.co/yjjx1JnThM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: Who's most vulnerable to a wave? We've updated our Risk Factors for 2018 House GOP Incumbent… https://t.co/XCuRodirtW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 20, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: Special elections going Democrats' way. More House races getting pushed into their column by nonpartisan experts... an… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BradMossEsq Sample is totally wrong...64% college+ when eligible population is 28%. Median age 55 when actual so far is 67. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#AZ08's voter reg breakdown: 41% R, 24% D, 35% Other. Votes cast so far (144k): 49% R, 28% D, 23% Other. If anythin… https://t.co/uZFZAcD1OH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What's a good showing for Hiral Tipirneni (D) in #AZ08 on Tuesday? Probably 43%-47%. Really anything above ~41% in… https://t.co/Blb3qozbpH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Emerson Polling memo: "Statistical Tie in #AZ08, Dems Positioned for Surprise Upset in the Desert." Reality check:… https://t.co/DVGujQjL79 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: 7 more races move towards Democrats following latest polls/fundraising reports. Full ratings… https://t.co/fMW1CBW1s3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@afshop All years using current locations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Stay tuned to @CookPolitical this morning for 7 House rating changes in light of new FEC reports. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By contrast, there are only 5 Dem-held seats where the top R outraised the top D in the last quarter.… https://t.co/9SrdSCGmJs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New House FEC reports: there are at least 60 GOP-held seats where the leading D outraised leading R in the last qua… https://t.co/fadLdnUZkc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another red flag in the Emerson poll: 64% of their sample was college+. Share of the voting age population in #AZ08… https://t.co/ZJV9rY4DSg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The main reason I'm skeptical of Emerson poll showing dead heat in #AZ08: only 51% of their sample is 55+. With 139… https://t.co/ltMDknPRlM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Any special election for Dent's seat would be held under old #PA15 lines (R+4), not new #PA07 (D+1), potentially se… https://t.co/bF7u1whRzI — PolitiTweet.org

Carrie Dann @CarrieNBCNews

From the office of Gov. Wolf re: Dent seat: "Once Governor Wolf receives an official resignation notice with an exa… https://t.co/lyf4c1IaXE

Posted April 17, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What we know about #AZ08: 128k ballots have already been cast (likely over 60% of all votes), w/ R registrants lead… https://t.co/0pgiFESJE3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@SteveKornacki Would love to see voting enthusiasm numbers for each of these. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: Trump approve/disapprove (NBC/WSJ): Whites/no college degree: 52-44% White/college+: 36-61% --- White men/non-college… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Garrett_Archer 319k seems extremely high considering total '16 vote in #AZ08 was 333k — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2018 Hibernated