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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: #OH12 special election (8/7) to fill GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi's vacant seat moves from Lean R to Tos… https://t.co/amcEtkaXF7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: #OH12 special election (8/7) to fill GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi's vacant seat moves from Lean R to Toss Up. https://t.co/QasdL9L9j7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2018 Hibernated Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@StuPolitics Yes, was referring to possibility of 45+ seat gain and huge, young Dem freshman class more than 290+ seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: If the Dems are doing so great, why don't they have a bigger lead on the generic ballot? Here's my attempt to explain it.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Barnes_Law @CookPolitical An R+13 PVI means a GOP candidate should get 63% in a neutral environment. Lesko got 52%… https://t.co/5U7uAELYje — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's a lot of talk about what could get in Dems' way between now and Nov., but less about how much worse things… https://t.co/42GNywdIdQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Jonatha99037619 Emerson was quite wrong that Dems were headed for a "surprise upset in the desert." The EV never s… https://t.co/xrmdMRs3ph — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Next big problem for Rs: #OH12 special on 8/7. 1/3 of the vote is Franklin Co. (Columbus) & Trump lost that area by… https://t.co/Ib5oZ1vSLZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not an unreasonable guess as to how registrants broke down. FWIW, I still believe the 21% R early vote edge was a m… https://t.co/GgJU7aoSIb — PolitiTweet.org

Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs

Based on the early vote breakdown by party ID for #AZ08, a guess might be the following to get a GOP edge of 52.9-4… https://t.co/igNlefrLGI

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lesko (R)'s margin is now smaller than Joe Arpaio (R)'s was when he carried #AZ08 by 5.0% while losing Maricopa Cou… https://t.co/5LtLbyt60q — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New batch of #AZ08 drop-off ballots counted today: Tipirneni (D) 4,453 Lesko (R) 4,109 That brings Lesko's margin… https://t.co/UfiirtZ4pt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 26, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If the only data point you had to go on was last night's #AZ08 result, you'd think a 30-40 seat Dem House gain in Nov. would be way low. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you discard #ALSEN as a special case, Dems' House overperformances have been remarkably consistent: all in the 6… https://t.co/G0yTPLrd01 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To win the House, Dems need an average overperformance of 4% vs. @CookPolitical PVI. Here's their overperformance i… https://t.co/rQp9g3LnwV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New batch of 9k #AZ08 votes just in: Tipirneni (D) 4,588 Lesko (R) 4,408 It's all about margin now. Down to 5.2%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One seat that should newly worry House GOP is Rep. Dave Schweikert (R)'s #AZ06, which voted for Trump by just 9.9% (vs. 20.7% in #AZ08). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: First batch of same day: Tiperneni (D) 1,073 55% Lesko (R) 878 45% Remember Tiperneni needs 63% of what's left. We thin… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are 147 GOP-held House seats less Republican than #AZ08. It's time to start rethinking how many of those are truly safe in November. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In '16, Joe Arpaio (R) carried #AZ08 by 5.0% despite losing his job by 11% county-wide. It's possible Debbie Lesko… https://t.co/YQK1VQFFzY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In a special with relatively unremarkable candidates in an R+13 seat, Dems appear to have hit at least 47%. Only 92… https://t.co/NdrYVgC0Ns — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems are still extremely unlikely to capture #AZ08 tonight. But Hiral Tipirneni (D)'s 47%+ showing is absolutely co… https://t.co/Y3SZrX2duM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The average Dem overperformance vs. Cook PVI in the 7 special elections so far: 9%. Tipirneni currently overperform… https://t.co/YcMAlLQccO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Early votes in #AZ08 (likely 3/4 of all ballots): Debbie Lesko (R) 82,294 (53%) Hiral Tipirneni (D) 73,188 (47%)… https://t.co/10Qw5fx8mJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Lesko leads 53%-47% in early ballots. #AZ08 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: Our hour long national nightmare is almost over. Thanks all for being here on what is probably going to be the most bo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, the very 1st data batch *should* be enough to project #AZ08 result. https://t.co/vQEZY9vNzI — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bonier @tbonier

A tip for following AZ08 results from home: most of the votes were cast before election day, and should be counted… https://t.co/H5UzmE6qCp

Posted April 25, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @databyler: If you want to know why Arizona is less red than it's been in the past, look at that big blue expanding blob in the middle o… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 25, 2018 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: TX Gov. Greg Abbott proclaims 6/30 special election to fill resigned Rep. Blake Farenthold (R)'s #TX27. TX spe… https://t.co/Le0gLqyoSG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Good thread. The mail component is the fundamental point I think we've both tried to stress. And it wouldn't surpri… https://t.co/CHqx3C4JTb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The mere fact that it's a mail election, however, does cut against the possibility of a particularly strong Democra… https://t.co/EiXaXGi7FE

Posted April 24, 2018 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: PA-18 special vote history data is in. Some preliminary cuts: The electorate was D+4 by party registration, 48 to 44, appx t… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Retweet Hibernated