Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @politico: The Supreme Court has voted to strike down Roe v. Wade, according to an initial draft majority opinion written by Justice Sam… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: NEW: A warning sign for Ds in the June 14 #TX34 special >> Mayra Flores (R) is up 5 points on Dan Sanchez (D) in a new GOP… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @alykatzz: How New York broke redistricting, in gory detail from @npfandos. Quite a whodunnit. https://t.co/17CmEpHGdw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

31st House Dem not seeking reelection in 2022 (#HI02 is Biden +30). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Florida, New York and Ohio all have extremely similar anti-gerrymandering language enshrined in state constitutions, passed by voters. But only New York is on track to enforce its reforms - and that’s the difference powering GOP gains in 2022 redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Despite this revelation, don't look for NJ's Dem-friendly map to be revisited now that filing is closed and the 6/7 primary is well underway. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: A sign of how good House Rs think the environment is for them >> CLF is booking air time in seats Joe Biden won by double… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How huge a deal is the NY ruling? A neutral plan drawn by a court-appointed special master (hypothetical, left) could give Republicans 3-5 more winnable seats than the 22D-4R Dem gerrymander that was just struck down (right). https://t.co/jEXzQIPgVH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems' only legal hope to rescue NY gerrymander: — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden states on track for court/commission maps: AZ, CA, CO, CT, HI, MI, MN, NJ, NY, PA, VA, WA, WI (181 districts) Trump states on track for court/commission maps: ID, IA, KS, MT, NC (26 districts) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

States on track for GOP gerrymanders: AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KY, LA, OH, OK, SC, TN, TX, UT (152 districts) States on track for Dem gerrymanders: IL, MD, MA, NV, NM, OR, RI (49 districts) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Shorter 2022 redistricting: it's permissible to brazenly gerrymander in some states (mostly red), but not others (mostly blue). As long as that's true, you're not going to end up with a "fair" or "equitable" national House map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Full analysis now up at @CookPolitical: https://t.co/FZM61sRI1n — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: the NY ruling likely costs Dems at least three seats they otherwise would have captured under the gerrymander, a devastating result you can't message your way out of. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mcpli: Meanwhile, at the trial court in Steuben County, there will be a hearing 5/6 with the court's neutral expert where interested pa… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty much the story (if the DeSantis-mander holds). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In a 4-3 ruling, NY's top court has turned Dems' 2022 House outlook from terrible to potentially horrific. A court-appointed special master will draw a remedial map, perhaps costing Dems three NY seats they otherwise would have gained & making Rs clear redistricting winners. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: NY's top court throws out Dems' congressional map and delays June 28 primary, depriving them of their most critical gerrymander of the 2022 cycle. https://t.co/yNlPes1FVN https://t.co/9nRJjGRHyy — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We’re down to two possible outcomes of 2022 redistricting: a partisan wash or a modest GOP gain, depending on the final ruling on Dems’ NY congressional map. Predictions from a few months ago of a much less skewed House map now look premature. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: NEW: @Redistrict's latest analysis on the new Florida maps is now live for subscribers: https://t.co/bFx8tstuXm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No surprise here, as Kansas's GOP gerrymander was the likeliest map in the country to be struck down. Ruling likely to be upheld on appeal, given top state court's makeup. Good news for #KS03 Rep. Sharice Davids (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No one can be 100% sure what NY's top court will decide this week. Yes, all seven judges are Dem appointees. But, this is first decade w/ 1) new anti-gerrymandering constitutional criteria and 2) a single-party gerrymander. A good primer by @JeffWice. https://t.co/zSpJTWwpvt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If FL’s GOP gerrymander is upheld and the NY’s Dem gerrymander is struck down (still dubious), Rs would be the modest yet clear winners of 2022 redistricting. And it would be b/c most blue states enforced anti-gerrymandering reforms while red states (esp. FL/OH/UT) defied them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: FL becomes the 41st state to adopt a congressional map (not counting NY, where Dems' gerrymander is on hold pending appeal). Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has signed into law a gerrymander that shuold stretch the state's 16R-11D breakdown to 20R-8D. Next stop: courts. https://t.co/RaTYJG7MLV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In addition, this "bombshell" is likely to have about the same newsworthiness/impact in the Republican conference/ecosystem as incriminating leaked audio of a Dem House leader would have on that side if it were revealed on Hannity. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The idea leaked audio will hurt McCarthy's speaker chances is silly for the same reason that's been true for years: scores of House GOPers have long believed Trump was/is unfit for office but must say the opposite publicly to survive, and sympathize with McCarthy. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: McCarthy publicly called out Trump on 1/6, GOP members knew what McCarthy was saying in private about dumping Trump (and ma… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Unlike DeSantis, Sununu pressuring his legislature keep districts *more* competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Certain to be appealed to NY’s highest court. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is the best court outcome I think opponents of the DeSantis map can realistically hope for. It's possible to draw a ~37% Black #FL05 entirely within Duval Co. that doesn't dilute the votes of Jacksonville's Black community. But, still doesn't meet VRA Gingles test. — PolitiTweet.org