Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few positive developments for Rs in #OH12 homestretch: 1) Danny O'Connor (D) bungles Q on whether he'd vote for… https://t.co/isPc7lR7IO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Would be mildly surprised if it’s anything other than a Balderson lead within MoE. But potential for Dem intensity… https://t.co/Rwf91RbLE4 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Honestly never thought I'd make @VanityFair this way. https://t.co/BzlvERF27D — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The swing voters in #OH12: Trump Dems in Zanesville/Mansfield, Kasich Republicans in Franklin/Delaware counties. https://t.co/ftahstyMna — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, I don't think I've seen both parties try this hard to lose a VA congressional race since Chuck Robb vs. Ollie North in '94. #VA05 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To be sure, regionalism still matters a bit: a rural white voter in NH is much more likely to vote Dem than one in… https://t.co/isVviLZVON — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact check: false. Even within all of these “regions,” there’s an enormous urban/rural partisan divide.… https://t.co/o7YD9aV6mW — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ladies and gentlemen, (probably still) the frontrunner to represent #VA05 in Congress: https://t.co/DcUgimBuAe — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@NateSilver538 Exactly & that's why partisan lean/PVI a better indicator than '16 alone. Here's what I'd bet: if De… https://t.co/3XkXGyOggq — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just b/c overperformance vs. Clinton has been larger in red/rural/working-class doesn't mean Dem gains won't be con… https://t.co/TgPKrowi3A — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @IChotiner: New Q&A on the state of the race for the House, the unpredictable Senate map, and why we may need to rethink what makes an "… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

When I first got to UVA in '02 & asked @LarrySabato to be my faculty advisor, I told him I couldn't wait to take ev… https://t.co/YMC5xkJeYa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@gelliottmorris It was astounding how many ppl replied to my tweet about the NYT map/70% of Americans living in "la… https://t.co/wxTnBhnfUz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Please get me off of this beat https://t.co/H5B4qyoDzN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As I was saying, welcome to the most bizarre House race in the country. #VA05 https://t.co/q9WVGDK0zb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ByronYork: There has already been a wave this year, and it is the wave of 42 Republicans leaving the House, most since (at least) 1930.… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Team ‘self-sorting is the result of gerrymandering’ might be giving them a run for their $$ tbh https://t.co/wvdaiN5yP8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And which party is living in more of a bubble? Notice that it depends on what threshold you set. At "most neighbors… https://t.co/K7QKzN3pjQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The growth of the "bubbles" is even more dramatic at the extremes: in 2016, 39% of Trump voters & 42% of Clinton vo… https://t.co/fdmY0jsYDU — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The rise of the bubble is even more dramatic at the extremes: in 2016, 42% of Clinton's voters & 39% of Trump's lived in precincts where more than *two thirds* of their neighbors voted the same way. In 2012, just 38% of Obama voters & 32% of Romney voters did. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@mike_klain The numbers from prior years would illustrate this even more drastically, but sadly I don’t have 100% c… https://t.co/2QCORysXb1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By my math: in 2016, 72% of Trump voters & 66% of Clinton voters lived in precincts where most of their neighbors v… https://t.co/WaVjmOo29I — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not sure how many people fully appreciate how rapidly, recently & profoundly this neighborhood-level polarization h… https://t.co/0g1xPW6gKS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BrendanNyhan: The education gradient in 2016 at the precinct level is staggering https://t.co/rTP6ntS5Ud https://t.co/bYKeVy6mAM — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's simple, folks: red neighborhoods are getting redder & blue neighborhoods are getting bluer. In 2016, it accele… https://t.co/0DkE7SxdEj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It doesn't matter which map format you prefer (dot, cartogram, etc.). The essential takeaway - the disappearance of… https://t.co/dB2Bb66Rdl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And no, this rapid geopolarization isn't attributable to gerrymandering (though it's helped make partisan gerrymand… https://t.co/EYOiMPgmsb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just finished calculating: in 2016, 70% of U.S. voters lived in "landslide precincts" (20%+ margin either way), up… https://t.co/aj01wimqM9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jbarro: Hillary won precincts with median income over $250k by 27 points. Obama lost them by 12 four years earlier. I think this is why… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To be clear, 42 GOP open/vacant seats is a record since *at least* 1928, b/c my Vital Stats data only goes back to… https://t.co/GiJHMddSy1 — PolitiTweet.org