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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Beware the tendency to group all Hispanic voters into one voting bloc. Similar variances between urban/rural, men/w… https://t.co/IV0WyYHHHT — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you’re looking for places where Dems might score shocking upsets, I’d focus much more on places where Trump’s ‘1… https://t.co/scM5CkViPH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Again, I'd be cautious about Latinos at 71% interest, especially b/c NBC/WSJ measured it at 47% less than a month a… https://t.co/5tQ8obX306 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Hard to overstate how much different this midterm electorate will look vs. 2014/2010, which were utterly dominated… https://t.co/IQZ27RQQ4X — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Latest NBC/WSJ data: Republicans have narrowed Dems' enthusiasm gap from 10% earlier this year to 4% in mid-October… https://t.co/RUoNwLUDbZ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New NBC/WSJ poll shows Trump job approval rating w/ college+ women at 27%-70% (!) vs. non-college men at 64%-32%.… https://t.co/pL7rNONXXs — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @ElectProject: @monkeycageblog has become its namesake, a blog lacking vetting of the claims put forth. Quite sad, really, since it used… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Wave elections can also be realigning elections. If Rs take over #MN08 & keep #KY06 but Dems still net ~30 seats &… https://t.co/K4nOOzgiEZ — PolitiTweet.org
Paul Kane @pkcapitol
@marceelias @Redistrict @WaPoSean And Marc continues to ignore all the other things that I point out about how DCCC… https://t.co/QI9wmOOlmD
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Even though mine is the 1st quote in this story, I disagree w/ this headline. Any scenario where House Dems win 23+… https://t.co/kcvPdnwBRc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's October 21st. Is it really possible there hasn't been a publicly released #MTSEN poll this month? https://t.co/eYzZEVKrIv — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you really want to get into the weeds (edible petals?) on this -> https://t.co/U2Ij56iNLz — PolitiTweet.org
Grant Gregory @GrantrGregory
A thread on @WholeFoods and elections: @Redistrict recently wrote that Dems will perform the best in areas that are… https://t.co/PZmCi57EMz
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just ran the numbers: of the 46 GOP-held House seats in the deepest trouble (Toss Up or Lean/Likely D at… https://t.co/l9medEVVtf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Blue Wave in a nutshell: Democrats are doing really, really well anywhere that’s within like a 20 minute drive from a Whole Foods Market.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Trivia: I was running the data, and because of the way Salt Lake City’s districts are divided to dilute Dem votes,… https://t.co/DC9ogRdRGE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Strange things happen in wave elections... https://t.co/m0UV0UXszB — PolitiTweet.org
Rosalind Helderman @PostRoz
Last year, this Dem unexpectedly beat the Va. House's 3rd highest ranking Republican. Now, he's opting to get ahead… https://t.co/VyZ3bUv4Ra
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tbh, a huge problem for House Rs is that they still hold a lot of Whole Foods districts where Trump’s numbers suck:… https://t.co/wIFlUUKXwp — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Btw I’ll be on @MSNBC w/ @kwelkernbc momentarily to discuss my latest visits to Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Blue Wave in a nutshell: Democrats are doing really, really well anywhere that’s within like a 20 minute drive from a Whole Foods Market. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
An excellent overview of the uncertainty Dems’ unprecedented $ advantage creates for modeling the House. https://t.co/hsgHMNjiRE — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
So, had a column up this morning about a hot topic in election forecasting: How to think about Democrats' massive f… https://t.co/bsS1mP323E
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NateSilver538: One point that I think people miss: the Dems' fundraising numbers are pretty good but not **that** good. It's that Dems'… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Three big reasons Dems remain the clear favorites for House control: 1) A historic number of GOP open seats 2) Rep… https://t.co/qOMZVtu15G — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
My latest for @NBCNews: the 75 districts - and nine types of races - that will decide the fate of the House. https://t.co/QbyQp72Z1H — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Makes sense, thanks. I'd argue these two also had unusually strong challengers in '16 relative to ot… https://t.co/jXFainYsMD — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Actually "less elastic" refers to an entirely different effect: voters are much less likely to ticket-split or be s… https://t.co/6QqmqSHEeK — PolitiTweet.org
we live in a society @davidjschneider
@Redistrict Less elastic is a funny term for gerrymandered
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@d_mccarthy37 Nah this would be a 6-5 map. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's entirely premature yet irresistible to look at potential impacts of '18/'20 election outcomes on 2021 remap de… https://t.co/w6kGlrDsjJ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Randomly, I'm curious why the model shows #CO03 & #MI07 as Toss Ups, when few of us pen-and-pad pund… https://t.co/EDmljoXhiH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Oh believe me, the question of which Solid R seats should be in our Likely R column (and there are l… https://t.co/S2fTtVouQb — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 I certainly see it as a decent proxy for those things too. But sometimes $ can reflect enthusiasm fr… https://t.co/dJHY2Vcfyp — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Also think you’d agree Q3 FEC reports can be an imperfect gauges. For example, I’m not convinced McM… https://t.co/w5CW2coMVp — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Entirely fair. I’m betting on “too much” and we’ll see which way it goes. In my experience, the impo… https://t.co/Hml2MERCLl — PolitiTweet.org
