Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: after a pro-Edwards batch of EDay votes from Henderson, Cawthorn now only has 73 precincts left to make up an 1,809 vote deficit. Edwards still the slight favorite in #NC11. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) has 88 precincts left to make up a 1,742 vote deficit to Chuck Edwards (R). It's going down to the wire in #NC11. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. State Sen. Doug Mastriano (R) wins the #PAGOV GOP primary and will face Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NC11 update: Edwards (R) just got a good EDay vote batch in Buncombe Co. (Asheville), padding his lead over Cawthorn (R). He's still the narrow favorite, in my view. Still a little less than half of EDay precincts to count. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NC11 update: Edwards's (R) lead over Cawthorn (R) has narrowed to 35%-31% and the latest batches of EDay votes from Buncombe & Henderson weren't as favorable to Edwards as I would've expected. This is going to be a very tight finish, w/ no runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) is winning 12/15 counties in #NC11. But state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) is ahead in the three populous counties that make up his state senate district, and it just might be enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Explains why Barnette (and Oz) look like non-factors in the early counting. Don't expect that to last long. #PASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, Cawthorn is doing significantly better w/ the EDay vote than the early vote. But he's not doing quite well enough to be on pace to overtake Edwards's lead. Still too early to say definitively. #NC11 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NC11 update: Edwards (R) lead over Cawthorn (R) narrows to 36%-29%, and it's going to tighten further as more EDay votes are counted. But to my eye, Edwards might be the slight favorite to toppled the incumbent. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: The first seven Election Day precincts offer some fragmentary but real hope for Madison Cawthorn, who still trails by 11 poi… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #PA17, Chris Deluzio (D) and Jeremy Shaffer (R) win their respective primaries for Rep. Conor Lamb's (D) open seat. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In open #PA12, Steve Irwin (D), who's backed by moderate retiring Rep. Mike Doyle (D), leads progressive state Rep. Summer Lee (D) 51%-31% in early votes. Still a ways to go. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) defeats Rep. Conor Lamb (D) in the #PASEN Dem primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NC01, GOP strategists have been worried about the prospect of Cawthorn-endorsed Sandy Smith (R) winning the primary after two ex-husbands alleged spousal abuse/domestic violence. But, she's currently leading her primary 35%-28% - a possible gift to Dems. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NC11 update: Edwards (R) leads Cawthorn (R) 38%-27%, but Edwards's best vote troves - the early votes in his Buncombe/Henderson/Transylvania state senate district - are entirely reporting. So this thing is going to tighten. And, it's probably not going to a runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In open #NC04, state Sen. Valerie Foushee (D) wins the Dem primary to succeed retiring Rep. David Price (D), defeating Nida Allam (D) and Clay Aiken (D). @CookPolitical November rating: Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NC11, Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) wins the Dem primary and will face either state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) or Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #KY03, state Sen. Morgan McGarvey (D) defeats state Rep. Attica Scott (D) in the race to replace retiring Rep. John Yarmuth (D). @CookPolitical November rating: Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In open #NC01, state Sen. Don Davis (D) wins the Dem primary after being endorsed by retiring Rep. G.K. Butterfield (D). On GOP side, only question is whether 2020 nominee Sandy Smith (R) will avoid a runoff. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the new suburban Raleigh #NC13, state Sen. Wiley Nickel (D) wins the Dem primary. On GOP side, only question is whether Trump-endorsed Bo Hines (R) will avoid a runoff. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NC14, state Sen. Jeff Jackson (D) wins the Dem primary for a new Charlotte area seat. @CookPolitical rating: Solid D, but this seat could be dismantled by Republicans before 2024. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NC11, state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) leads Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) 38%-27% in the early vote w/ a huge lead in Asheville. But we're going to have to wait for EDay votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Ted Budd (R) wins the GOP primary for #NCSEN and will face Cheri Beasley (D) in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Election rules matter: if NC’s primary runoff threshold were 50% or even 40%, #NC11 Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) would be the underdog for renomination. Because it’s just 30%, he enters tonight the slight favorite. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fair warning for Oregon results tonight. #OR05 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A good @markzbarabak dispatch from Oregon, where it looks increasingly likely Blue Dog Rep. Kurt Schrader (D) will lose his primary to progressive Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) today. #OR05 https://t.co/2Q0x5RO2oa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just when you thought things couldn’t get tougher for the DCCC, its chair could be locked in a nasty member vs. member primary until late August. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. Rep. Jerry Nadler (D) says he'd run in #NY12, putting him on a collision course with Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D) after all. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, on a partisan basis this proposal is quite similar to the current map (it's def more competitive, and if you squint hard enough maybe it's a tad better for Ds long-term). But it's still a far cry from the struck-down Dem gerrymander. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you break NY down by double digit Biden seats, Trump seats and single digit Biden seats (how I'd very roughly define the competitive "strike zone" this fall), you'd get: Current map: 17D-7R-3C Dems' struck map: 20D-4R-2C Special master proposal: 16D-5R-5C https://t.co/aAo8dYow3B — PolitiTweet.org