Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If McCready (D) really is ahead in an R+8 district (#NC09), I'd be quite curious what the margin is in the special for #NC03, which has a @CookPolitical PVI of R+12. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NC09 Toss Up rating at @CookPolitical still operative. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Possible fix: require that candidates must win at least one state to be eligible to receive any Electoral votes anywhere, and ban faithless electors. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fractions/remainders of EVs could be assigned using the Method of Equal Proportions, which we already use to allocate congressional seats to states after each Census. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My simple Electoral College fix: require every state to allocate its EVs in proportion to each candidate’s share of the statewide vote. Pretty much ensures the popular vote winner will prevail, without needing to federalize elections. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There was a time I thought this was the only thing that could save Jeb in ‘16, before I came to my senses and realized nothing could save Jeb. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At this point it would seem like kind of a desperation move from Beto. But I’m kinda in the same camp as @NateSilver538, I like it when politicians swear. Any candidates wanna test this out for me? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, I’ve always wondered what would happen if a candidate dropped a well-justified f-bomb on a presidential debate stage. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @PeterHamby: Abigail Spanberger on self-care https://t.co/mG9JRvLmvG https://t.co/k2rw0EzZuK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Think about how this race looked 2, 4 or 6 months ago and then realize we have 5 more months until IA. This thing is going to go through many more iterations before voters decide. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Two polling methods, two months, two theories of Trump's position heading into reelection https://t.co/JqfxQACoXO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dem demographic divides stark in new @QuinnipiacPoll: Black: Biden 46, Sanders 10, Warren 10, Harris 7 18-34: Sanders 31, Warren 25, Biden 10, Harris 6 White College+: Biden 29, Warren 25, Harris 11, Sanders 9 White College-: Biden 30, Warren 20, Sanders 19, Harris 3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Random: if a past/present member of Congress hasn’t done anything of substance in office, is it still accurate for news outlets to call him/her a “lawmaker?” — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SenhorRaposa: Wisconsin's 7th District spans much of rural northern Wisconsin. One of the big reasons why Hillary Clinton lost Wisconsi… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're moving #WI07 from Solid R to Likely R at @CookPolitical in the wake of Rep. Sean Duffy (R)'s resignation announcement, but that's probably generous to Dems. It would take an awful lot of breaks for Dems to put this Trump +20% seat in play. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the realm of potential huge pre-Super Tuesday shakeups of the Dem field, Sanders dropping out and endorsing Warren doesn't strike me as all that far-fetched. https://t.co/6ngnFDQwIV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Jared Golden (D) is a former Collins staffer, yet another reason #ME02 might be quirkiest CD in the nation (on top of ranked-choice voting & split Electoral votes). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @grace_panetta: Since the 2016 election, there’s been a lot written about Obama-Trump voters in the Upper Midwest. My latest examines th… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: Joe Biden doesn't really have an enthusiasm problem. That's sort of a bullshit media narrative that isn't backed up by t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Texodus in a nutshell: suburban GOP members getting the heck out before Trump renders their rapidly diversifying districts unwinnable. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not hard to see what’s going on here: couldn’t stay relevant as a Trump cheerleader/conspiracy theorist, decided there was a media appetite for “Trumpian who now sees error of his ways.” Whatever works... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fairly astonishing: in the past decade, white men have fallen from 60% to 39% of all House Democrats. Meanwhile, they've risen from 87% to 90% of all House Republicans. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One seat I'd watch closely is #CA16. Blue Dog Rep. Jim Costa (D) has escaped without a more progressive challenger for years in a 60% Hispanic seat, but Fresno Councilwoman Esmeralda Soria (D) is running in 2020 (top-two primary). https://t.co/kzC4S05JDo — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wait, he was running? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There aren't many House Democratic retirements yet, but I'd keep a close eye on California, where there are nine Dem incumbents who will be 75+ by Election Day 2020 (and another eleven who will be 65+). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My professional heroes? The folks who have kept ⁦@The_Almanac⁩ going strong: Rich Cohen, ⁦@CharlieCookDC⁩, ⁦@loujacobson⁩, ⁦@PotomacPeck⁩, ⁦@cam_joseph⁩, ⁦@TexasTribAbby⁩, ⁦@JessicaTaylor⁩ and so many more. A book to treasure. https://t.co/kMWhMsF0Bh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#TBT to this Feb. '17 @Nate_Cohn piece, which did a pretty good job outlining Dems' OC-fueled path to the House majority 20+ months out. https://t.co/xlqGOj5Bqc — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bonus sleeper pick: @BruneElections — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few other smart analysts who deserve more follows: @kkondik, @rarohla, @nataliemj10, @mcimaps, @ChazNuttycombe, @KyleTrygstad, @PoliticoScott, @emilymbadger. Most of the folks on these lists don’t engage in a lot of self-promotion so I’ll try it for them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@TimNBCBoston Thanks so much for this wonderful tribute Tim and being such a good friend to him over the years. -Dave (Bob’s grandson) — PolitiTweet.org