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Showing page 247 of 496.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's still remarkable how static Trump's approval has been throughout impeachment inquiry launch, Syria, etc. That 43% might be considered "high" and 41% "low" says a lot. https://t.co/J9h2RQJA9b — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lol — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
If you want to know how Michigan would vote if it was as well educated as Massachusetts, there's a new Emerson Coll… https://t.co/D95h3T27C6
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tbh I'm not sure Klobuchar would poll any better than the top tier candidates right now in the six core battlegrounds NYT polled, but name ID would be a more believable excuse for her than for Warren et. al. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The general weakness of the Dem top tier in the EC battleground is one reason why I think Klobuchar (or another lower-tier candidate) could get a serious second look before Iowa. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: I'd add that most of the people supporting Biden, but not Warren, do have an opinion of Warren and her ratings are unfavorab… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Regardless, it should be chilling for Dems to realize that Trump's threshold for victory in the popular vote (maybe ~47%) is much lower than Dems' threshold (maybe ~51%). And, it should be another reason to put less stock in national polls to tell us who will win. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I'm extremely skeptical Trump could lose the popular vote by 7-8% and win the Electoral College, but 4-5% is very plausible: https://t.co/IR6Ovxhwdu — PolitiTweet.org
b-boy bouiebaisse @jbouie
if the national polls and the state polls are roughly correct then trump could lose the popular vote by something l… https://t.co/V9RCzqGK2K
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Would be a surprise if tomorrow night's takeaway were anything other than "Republicans sweep red states, Dems sweep Virginia...yep, everything's still really polarized." — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Will be interesting to see if this math starts to more deeply affect risk tolerance of Dem primary voters, many of whom are NYT subscribers (esp. liberal/white/high-college, aka Warren's base). Arguably it's already begun. https://t.co/ZJpN7QNqV8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If I were to add a few more states beyond the "core six" that could matter, I'd add ME, MN & NH in the north and GA & TX in the Sun Belt. But demographically, there's no longer a plausible scenario in which IA/OH or CO/VA provide decisive Electoral votes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
National polls will help tell us who has momentum next fall, but they're less useful than ever in telling us who will *win,* considering 2020's Electoral College battleground is likely to be quite narrow. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
2020 = ArizonaFloridaMichiganNorthCarolinaPennsylvaniaWisconsinArizonaFloridaMichiganNorthCarolinaPennsylvaniaWisconsinArizonaFloridaMichiganNorthCarolinaPennsylvaniaWisconsinArizonaFloridaMichiganNorthCarolinaPennsylvaniaWisconsinArizonaFloridaMichiganNorthCarolinaPennsylvaniaWi — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Would love to see the '12 numbers on Obama '08 voters who voted for R congressional candidates in 2010. Bet they were fairly similar. — PolitiTweet.org
Ryan D. Enos @RyanDEnos
How can we explain this? "Nearly two-thirds of the Trump voters who said they voted for Democratic congressional c… https://t.co/eZmSkrgn6l
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The difficulty in defining the true EC battleground isn’t whether to include IA/OH, which are clearly to the right of the nation now. It’s if AZ/NC are competitive, GA - or possibly even TX - might not be far behind. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Why just looking at national polls (“anyone will beat Trump!”) can induce a delusional view of 2020/electability, part 1/7537382: https://t.co/lstTWPJJvX — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not that they will, but if I were Klobuchar, Booker or Yang I'd be much more optimistic about breaking through on a debate stage w/ only 8-9 candidates than 12. #winnowing — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
On the flip side, Dems’ path to winning back PA depends on the votes of NY/NJ transplants (esp. Latinx) who have sought a lower cost of living across the Delaware. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Problem for FL Dems is that the I-95 NY snowbird migration of the 80s/90s has slowed (and many have since “exited” the electorate) while the I-75 Midwest/Gulf Coast pipeline has remained at max flow. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Redistrict It's called Boca.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just as Trump’s vote actually matters now in FL, his math for holding AZ absolutely depends on the votes of conservative retirees who have fled blue states like CA & IL. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NY Dems can “good riddance” Trump all they want, but a more productive course of action would be to relocate a million more NYC residents to Florida. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A question I’d love data on but probably never will: what %s of voters today a) have had a vindictive ex b) know someone who identifies as bisexual or polyamorous? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The reality is, had Katie Hill not resigned, she probably would’ve been fine politically in #CA25. Nothing that’s surfaced would’ve changed our rating. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
No — PolitiTweet.org
Roll Call @rollcall
Democrats say that if Andy Beshear wins, or even comes close, it will show that Kentucky could be in play in a nati… https://t.co/VaLtxnmYwF
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Minnesota voted for Hillary Clinton but #MN07 voted for Donald Trump by 30% in 2016. Says a lot about the district, not much about the state. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Wayne @aawayne
NEWS: Rep. Collin Peterson, the most senior Minnesota *Democrat* in the House, votes against the impeachment inquir… https://t.co/K8plVW7Wpv
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @PatrickRuffini: Democrats in the Trumpiest districts voting for impeachment Brindisi (NY-22, T+16) Horn (OK-5, T+13) Cunningham (SC-1,… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @kirk_bado: The dust as settled on the vote codifying House impeachment procedures and the 2 Dem holdouts held out. Reps. Collin Peter… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @markzbarabak: Knight is weighing a comeback bid for his old seat. One imagines this would be an issue in the campaign. https://t.co/Een… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Only downside: Baby Shark here to stay — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I don't know what's more ridiculous: that two of my teams (UVA hoops and Nats) won it all in 2019, or the totally unreal/inexplicable ways each of them did it. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Pleasure to meet a fellow NJ election map geek! — PolitiTweet.org
Ben Kestenbaum @BenJKest
Had a great time having lunch with @Redistrict https://t.co/YiUYMHcbhF
