Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*had D votes flipped R in 7 states, not 6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also interesting: had 97,615 R votes flipped D in just six states (AK, FL, GA, IA, NH, SD), Ds would hold 30/50 governorships. Conversely, had 98,559 D votes flipped R in just six states (CT, KY, ME, MT, NV, NC, WI), Rs would hold 33/50. Gov races more competitive than federal. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems encouraged so far by spike in black % of early vote in Louisiana vs. initial round. Would be a different story from Mississippi. We’ll see on 11/16. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The amount of credit-taking from certain mega-wealthy Dem presidential hopefuls for flipping control of the House in 2018 & Virginia's houses in 2019 is getting absurd. In both years, the billionaire responsible for Dems winning control was Donald Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A terrific job opportunity for anyone pursuing nonpartisan political analysis & chance to learn from one of the best in the business, @nathanlgonzales. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: NEW: We teamed up with @KFF to examine voter attitudes and experiences in key 2020 battlegrounds states. https://t.co/Lg… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Are there more voters in the suburban Philly counties Dems flipped on Tuesday? Absolutely. But what lots of Dems overlook is that there are also lots of blue-collar pockets of these counties (esp. Bucks, Delaware) that are culturally pretty great for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

North Carolina (26th), Pennsylvania (28th), Wisconsin (32nd) and Michigan (42nd) all rank in the bottom half of states in growth of the non-white share of the electorate over the past four years, per latest Census data. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only Electoral College prize that's gotten *whiter* in the past four years, per latest Census data: the District of Columbia (+1.0%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top 10 declines in the white share of all voting age citizens over past four years, per latest Census data: 1. NV -4.6% 2. RI -4.1% 3. CA -3.2% 4. TX -3.1% 5. AZ -3.0% 6. FL -3.0% 7. MA -3.0% 8. NM -2.7% 9. MD -2.6% 10. NJ -2.6% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top 10 states for largest raw net gain of *non-white* voting age citizens in last four years, per latest Census data: 1. CA +1,431,396 2. TX +1,188,457 3. FL +879,350 4. GA +346,650 5. NY +336,183 6. AZ +300,036 7. NC +249,466 8. WA +203,425 9. NJ +191,123 10. VA +190,305 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The top 5 states for largest raw net gain of *white* voting age citizens in last four years, per latest Census data: 1. Florida +286,674 2. North Carolina +177,486 3. Colorado +173,469 4. Texas +158,148 5. Washington +151,468 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Texas has added a net 1.19 million non-white voting age citizens and 158,000 white voting age citizens in the past four years, per latest Census data. Dems could cut into Trump's 2016 margin there by 800k and still not win a single additional Electoral vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

California has added a net 1.43 million non-white voting age citizens and *lost* a net 259,000 white voting age citizens in the past four years, per latest Census data. This is all utterly useless to Democrats in the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: The @CookPolitical and @kff teamed up for deep dive into the former "Blue Wall" states. Some topline findings: 1) Trump is… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The question too many of us are avoiding: how many people think the president, who questioned the legitimacy of an election he narrowly won, would accept/abide by the results of an election he narrowly loses? imho that's in more doubt than impeachment's outcome. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Nonvoters do not seem poised to save the Democrats in the six key battleground states, based on an analysis of more than 600… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For those saying, “but no one lives in those counties that flipped red!”... In 2016, Trump won Westmoreland, Washington & Luzerne counties by a combined 108,154 votes. His PA margin of victory: 44,292. And there’s still plenty of room for Dems to fall w/ the wrong nominee. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting: GOP actually flipped more county commissions than Democrats in Pennsylvania last night. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My takeaways from last night for @NBCNews: https://t.co/rYcEEhRoHP — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One of the best feelings you can have as a nonpartisan analyst on election nights is to be called a "partisan hack," etc. left and right... ...and then realize it's coming equally from the left and right. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fair warning: from now on I'll be muting anyone who refers to VA as a "swing state" in prez elections or who refers to places like Henrico or Loudoun as "bellwether counties." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Andy Beshear (D) did great for a Dem virtually everywhere in #KYGOV, but the one region most responsible for Matt Bevin (R)'s defeat was...Northern Kentucky. Here's pro-Dem margin shift from 2015: Boone Co.: +21.1% Kenton Co.: +19.9% Campbell Co: +18.5% Statewide: +9.4% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The major challenge for Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) in the 11/16 #LAGOV runoff: African-American turnout. It was really weak in Mississippi (esp. compared to last fall's Senate race) despite considerable Dem effort, which has to be a major concern. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Kentucky, turnout yesterday (in terms of raw votes cast) went up *51%* from 2015's hard-fought race. In Mississippi, it went up only 20% from 2015's uncompetitive race. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: I don't necessarily mean this as a slight against people who thought this since they were pretty bad scandals IMO, but I… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems' takeover of the VA Senate (+2 seats) reflects VA's incremental shift to blue, especially in Northern VA & the Richmond suburbs. Dems' takeover of the VA House (+5-6 seats) reflects both that shift (+2) AND the power of a new court-ordered map in Tidewater (+3-4). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a D+8 district, so @CookPolitical will be keeping in Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans lost control of the VA Senate, but it could've been a lot worse: they managed to win all four of the closest races, by margins ranging from 0.9% to 4.4%. That's the difference between 21D-19R and 25D-15R. #VALEG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you had shown me Tate Reeves (R)'s final raw vote total at the beginning of the night, I would've guessed Jim Hood (D) would win #MSGOV. Instead, Reeves (R) will win by ~5%. Turnout was that weak. — PolitiTweet.org