Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #ME02, despite a few towns voting for far-right Liz Caruso (R), former Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R) is now firmly in control w/ a 59%-41% lead. He's poised for a rematch vs. Rep. Jared Golden (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #SC01, Rep. Nancy Mace (R) holding a 55%-43% lead in early going vs. Trump-endorsed Katie Arrington (R). Mace's lead has been tightening w/ more EDay reporting, but still nothing from Beaufort Co., which could be Mace's best turf. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No surprise in #SC07, as Trump-endorsed Russell Fry (R) leads pro-impeachment Rep. Tom Rice (R) 46%-25% in early going. A 6/28 runoff looks likely, and Rice has already campaigned in runoff mode vs. Fry for weeks - though Fry would be the clear favorite. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far in the #TX34 special, Mayra Flores (R) leads Dan Sanchez (D) 48%-45% (50% needed to avoid a runoff). But given that Sanchez only leads by 2 pts in Cameron Co., Flores has a great path to get past 50% tonight. Would be watershed flip for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: It's primary day in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota and South Carolina. Don't miss our latest previews: @Redistrict on the… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @grace_panetta: Reminder that a big driver of the "red mirage"/"blue shift" being discussed in the Jan 6. hearing rn is a few key swing… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It looks as if Sarah Palin (R) 33%, Nick Begich (R) 17% and Al Gross (I) 15% are definitely advancing to the top four general election in #AKAL, with Mary Peltola (D) 8% currently edging out Santa Claus (I) 5% for the fourth slot. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @MattGrossmann: So far, participation in Democratic primaries is down 3% from 2018, while participation in Republican primaries is up 36… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Elaijuh: PA just announced the final recount results: Oz 419,999 votes McCormick 419,048 votes Difference: 951 votes — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With what's left out, it looks like Ryan Zinke (R) will eventually prevail over Al Olszewski (R) in the #MT01 GOP primary. But it's an unimpressive showing for the former Interior Secretary/congressman. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA42, Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia (D) and John Briscoe (R) advance to the general election, assuring Garcia a ticket to Congress. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the "old" #CA22, former Assemblywoman Connie Conway (R) wins the special election to fill the unexpired term of Rep. Devin Nunes (R). This district has been eliminated by redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A quick note that the early returns we're seeing in CA are way skewed towards Dems. We'll see their vote shares come back down to earth when more EDay and other votes are counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow: former state Sen. Al Olszewski (R) just took the lead over Trump-endorsed Ryan Zinke (R), 40.5%-40.2% in the #MT01 GOP primary. Olszewski has a big lead in his base of Flathead Co., which Zinke also claims as his residence. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Kern Co., Rep. David Valadao (R) leads Chris Mathys (R) 23%-13%. That's a good sign for his prospects of winning the second runoff slot to face Rudy Salas (D). @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA41, Rep. Ken Calvert (R) and Will Rollins (D) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA13, Adam Gray (D) and John Duarte (R) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA03, Kermit Jones (D) and Kevin Kiley (R) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are only 8,500 votes reported so far in #CA22, but pro-impeachment Rep. David Valadao (R) only leads Chris Mathys (R) 27%-20% for the second runoff slot. He's the CA Republican to watch right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA40, Rep. Young Kim (R) is on track to securing a runoff spot, as she leads pro-MAGA Greg Raths (R) 32%-20% in early returns. Asif Mahmood (D) currently at 48%. If it holds, @CookPolitical will move the race from Lean R back to Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Mike Garcia (R) and Christy Smith (D) advance to the general election in #CA27. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It appears a reporting error in Rankin Co. was just corrected, and it was a big error. As a result, Michael Cassidy (R) is back on top of Rep. Michael Guest (R) 48%-47%. Once again, runoff likely in #MS03. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First results just dropped in #CA22 top-two primary, and Rudy Salas (D) leads pro-impeachment Rep. David Valadao (R) 40%-25%. But bigger news is that two other Rs are drawing 35% in Kings Co., Valadao's home base. Need to see more counties here... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's set: #MS04 Rep. Steven Palazzo (R) has been forced into a 6/28 runoff against Jackson Co. Sheriff Mike Ezell (R). Palazzo currently leads 32%-25%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow: with a monster vote haul in his Rankin Co. home base, #MS03 Rep. Michael Guest (R) surges into a 51%-44% lead over Michael Cassidy (R). But with a quarter of the expected vote still out, a runoff still not out of the question. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's early, but Trump-endorsed former Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke (R) only leading former state Sen. Al Olszewski (R) 44%-38% in #MT01 GOP primary. Zinke still favorite to win, but unimpressive showing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With plenty of votes still outstanding in his Jackson Co. home base, Mike Ezell (R) looks well-positioned to make a runoff against Rep. Steven Palazzo (R), who's under a House ethics investigation. #MS04 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change alert: following Zach Nunn's decisive win in the GOP primary, @CookPolitical will be moving #IA03 Rep. Cindy Axne (D) from Toss Up to Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: the largest suburban county, Rankin, just reported its first votes and Guest (R) wins them 60%-38%. If that pattern holds, a runoff would be very likely. #MS03 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A lifeline for incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) in #MS03: he's winning Madison Co. in the Jackson suburbs 53%-43%. If that pattern holds, he'd have a better chance at forcing a runoff. But overall, looking good for pro-MAGA Michael Cassidy (R). — PolitiTweet.org