Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: The Trump campaign and GOPers know that they can't afford this election to be a referendum on Trump. But, the president him… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @sfcpoll: 31% of black adults said they knew someone who had died, compared with 9% who were white, Post-Ipsos poll finds https://t.co/P… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JHagner Hey I put it ahead of #ME02!! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change: #NY24 Rep. John Katko (R) moves from Likely R to Lean R at @CookPolitical. https://t.co/6FyK4TPeb1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My rough personal ranking of most flippable Trump '16 turf for Biden: 1. Michigan 2. Pennsylvania 3. Arizona 4. Wisconsin 5. #NE02 6. Florida 7. North Carolina 8. Georgia 9. Texas 10. Iowa 11. Ohio 12. #ME02 Anything else: likely a fantasy, though UT & AK have some quirks. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you think Trump is currently losing WV, MS, IN and SC, I’ve got a great bleach vaccine to sell you. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Do expect ads like this to make Biden voters & anti-Trump Rs feel good. Just don't expect this kind of "temperament" argument to move numbers much. Trump has already inflicted that damage himself. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @geoffreyvs: If you're gonna try to burn a pollster for an old poll because you're mad about a national survey and accompanying battlegr… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, there are six KY rural counties that have tabulated more Dem votes than were cast the 2019 primary (KY has 120 counties). McGrath is leading in all six, in a few by big margins. But we won't know anything before seeing massive Louisville/Lexington absentee batches. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Most people following this feed already know this, but most likely only 15%-20% of the total vote is counted, *not* 79%. Sure, it's a good sign for Booker that he won Louisville's in-person votes so heavily, but still a long way to go in #KYSEN. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Joe Biden opens up a considerable 9 point lead across the battleground states likeliest to decide the presidency MI: Biden+1… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If only I had your dance moves... 👏 👞 👏 👞 https://t.co/linBDDSxRP — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEW: The lack of full results in the NY and KY races this week is a bracing preview of the chaos that could come this… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the Syracuse area, Dana Balter (D) wins the Dem primary in #NY24 to face Rep. John Katko (R). Katko beat Balter 53%-47% in 2018. November @CookPolitical rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty much the only downside for Biden/Dems in the current polling is that the election isn't taking place this week. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hard to count the reasons Engel's loss in #NY16 (after 32 years) is so monumental. Just a few: 1) Pelosi loses a top ally & sitting Foreign Affairs chair 2) Desire in majority non-white districts for reflective representation 3) Dems' leftward shift on Israel — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Before we get carried away on how KY/NY/VA Dem primaries show where Dem party is headed remember that: 1) the majority make… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2018, Dem voters showed an unprecedented desire to nominate women. In 2020, we're witnessing another sea change in desire, this time towards Black candidates: Jamaal Bowman in #NY16 Mondaire Jones in #NY17 Cameron Webb in #VA05 All winning in landslides so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I should clarify, these are not official, final results. These are results from official sources (NYC/Westchester BOEs). Still tens of thousands of absentees to count and possible margin will narrow, even if the outcome is not in doubt. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The norm in recent years has been for around four House members to lose renomination each cycle. So far, 2020's casualty list: #IL03 Dan Lipinski (D) #IA04 Steve King (R) #NY16 Eliot Engel (D) #VA05 Denver Riggleman (R) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The updated #NY16 official counts (not yet reflected on NYT/other sites): Bowman 27,174 (61.7%) Engel 15,372 (34.9%) In my judgment, this Bowman lead is too large for Engel to overcome in the absentees. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Jamaal Bowman (D) has defeated 16-term Rep. Eliot Engel (D) in the #NY16 primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump is trailing by 39% among white women w/ college degrees. Might be time to stop calling them a “swing” group. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If I were Amy McGrath (D), I wouldn't be overly optimistic about sitting on an ~8% lead w/ potentially only 12%-15% of the vote counted and none of Louisville/Lexington reporting yet. #KYSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Mondaire Jones (D) has won the Dem primary for #NY17. Jones, an AOC-backed progressive, is now virtually guaranteed to be the next member from Chappaqua. Along with Ritchie Torres (D) in #NY15, Jones is poised to be the first out Black LGBT member of Congress. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: NYC Councilman Ritchie Torres (D), 32, has won the Dem primary for #NY15, the most Democratic seat in the country. In 2013, Torres became the first out LGBT person ever elected in the Bronx. He's a potential national star. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NY12 Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D), currently clinging to a 1.6% lead over Suraj Patel (D), better hope that the outstanding absentee ballots skew older/wealthier than the Election Day vote. Those ballots likelier to be friendly to her. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: another ~2k votes added in Westchester portion of #NY16 and Jamaal Bowman (D)'s overall lead over Rep. Eliot Engel (D) just jumped from 24.6% to 25.3%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: Jamaal Bowman (D) still up 61%-36% over Rep. Eliot Engel (D) in #NY16 w/ 33k votes counted. Bowman leads in both Westchester & Bronx. I might expect total turnout to be in 60k-90k range. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Truth be told, I've almost seen enough of almost seeing enough. — PolitiTweet.org