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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@NilesGApol It was @CharlieCookDC, who first used those classifications in his first report in 1984, to the best of my knowledge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: Rep. Scott Tipton (R)'s primary defeat moves #CO03 from Solid R to Likely R. https://t.co/szeYTpc1I4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For reference, this 48% figure exceeds the attrition rate of Democrats at this point in Obama's first term - 112/256 (44%) - and note that 2012 being a redistricting year contributed to plenty of Dem retirements/losses. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind: most of the Rs likeliest to speak out *against* Trump were replaced by Democrats, and most others - like Tipton in #CO03 - are being replaced by even more pro-Trump Rs. Lesson: there is no going back to a GOP “before Trump.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm so sorry to have to break this disappointing news, but this candidate ended up with only 1.3% of the vote. #OK05 https://t.co/PiIjT8yFcj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nathanlgonzales: If the President meets with her and learns more about her, there's a non-zero chances she speaks at the Republican con… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: when President Trump took office in January 2017, there were 241 Republicans in the House. Since then, 115 (48%) have either retired, resigned, been defeated or are retiring in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: retired NFL player Burgess Owens (R) wins the GOP primary to face #UT04 Rep. Ben McAdams (D). November @CookPolitical rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Why doesn't Boebert's nomination move the needle further in Dems' direction? Don't underestimate the disdain most #CO03 residents have for wealthy, liberal ski towns like Aspen & Steamboat Springs, which nominee Diane Mitsch Bush (D) represented in the state House. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's tight right now, but to me it looks likely the Medicaid expansion ballot measure will narrowly pass in Oklahoma. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even so, Boebert's favorable comments regarding the QAnon conspiracy world warrant a move of #CO03 from Solid R to Likely R at @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This Western Slope district voted for Trump 52%-40% in 2016, so it's still going to be a heavy lift for Diane Mitsch Bush (D), who lost to Tipton 52%-44% in 2018. #CO03 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Lauren Boebert (R) has defeated Rep. Scott Tipton (R) in the #CO03 primary. Tipton becomes the fifth House incumbent to lose renomination in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Boebert owns Shooters Grill, a BBQ restaurant where all staff openly carry guns. Its food service license was suspended after reopened it in defiance of state "stay at home" orders. #CO03 https://t.co/Oq2i1qi8Ci — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Whoa: five-term #CO03 Rep. Scott Tipton (R) currently trailing primary challenger Lauren Boebert (R) 56%-44% w/ over half of vote in. Could be huge upset brewing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ratemyskyperoom Thanks for considering my roman shade "art." Would it add or subtract from my score if I more prominently displayed this picture of me dressed up as @LarrySabato for Halloween, circa 2006? https://t.co/79GurOBZCY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And if Charlie Baker's vote in 2018 is more determinative of how Massachusetts will vote in 2020 than Clinton's vote in 2016, I guess Dems are in a world of trouble in MA's Senate race? — PolitiTweet.org

Neera -Wear a Mask -Tanden @neeratanden

If Beshear’s vote in 2019 is more determinative of how Kentucky will vote in 2020 than Trump’s vote in 2016, McConn… https://t.co/qlQviygycl

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the end, this will be a pretty unimpressive primary margin for a $41 million candidate who started w/ a huge name ID advantage. McGrath might be living proof there's an inflection point at which massive sums of out-of-state $$ become more harmful than helpful. #KY06 #KYSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One thing we'll never know: what the outcome would have been if McGrath (D) hadn't banked such a large lead in absentee ballots. #KYSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ok, I've finally seen enough: Amy McGrath (D) has defeated Charles Booker (D) in the #KYSEN primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BREAKING: Louisville (Jefferson Co.) just reported in absentees. New count there: Booker (D) 88,116 McGrath (D) 52,224 Booker now up 160,103 to 139,168 statewide. But a lot of McGrath-favorable rural counties left to count. #KYSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For all those asking, no I haven't seen enough in #KYSEN. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: The lack of respect a few on this platform have for the hard working every day folks counting ballots is astounding to… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BruneElections: May I present my latest masterpiece: Northwest Virginia. https://t.co/djNWLFCfoz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 28, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In June 2016, I questioned why the Clinton campaign's initial ad targets didn't include PA, MI or WI. Today, the Trump campaign's spending in IA & OH (rather than states actually poised to be decisive) strikes me as even more strategically misguided. https://t.co/3Lt9PsPcu6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: One urge the campaigns will need to resist is investing in the CLOSEST STATES right now (given that Biden is well ahead… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Has the 1) highest working class white share and 2) widest ‘16 Trump margin of anything on this list. — PolitiTweet.org

Norman Ornstein @NormOrnstein

@Redistrict Explain why ME02 is so low. Not questioning your judgment, just curious

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jor689 @aprilverch If your wife actually taught at Juilliard, maybe you’d spell it right? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn Very possible. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden only needs to win three of the first four to win. Today, he’d crush the entire top half of the list and the b… https://t.co/wPg7YRjnfv — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My rough personal ranking of most flippable Trump '16 turf for Biden: 1. Michigan 2. Pennsylvania 3. Arizona 4. Wi… https://t.co/HELNVgrF2h

Posted June 26, 2020 Hibernated