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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes. Notably, #NE02 Rep. Don Bacon (R) moves from Likely R to Toss Up and #MI03 OPEN (R) moves from Toss Up to Lean D as Dems show signs of life. Full analysis: https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 https://t.co/pXM6QIFUbn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes. Notably, Rep. Don Bacon (R) moves from Likely R to Toss Up and #MI03 OPEN (R) moves from Toss Up to Lean D as Dems show signs of life. Full analysis: https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 https://t.co/lpx5aoKJHQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022 Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes: #NE02 Don Bacon (R) - Likely R to Toss Up https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looking closely at the patterns in #WA03, pro-conspiracy Joe Kent (R) might actually be a slight favorite over Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R), but it’s going to be tight. Most #WA03 Dems probably don’t realize that by voting for a Dem instead of JHB, they aided Kent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Andy Ogles (R) wins the #TN05 GOP primary. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) not out of the woods yet. #WA03 — PolitiTweet.org

Phil Gardner @gardnerphil

With 3 of the 5 counties reporting today in (Clark, Cowlitz, Skamania), JHB's lead over Kent falls to 2,815. Down 1… https://t.co/ZYemVPnoYe

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In case you still thought Rep. Liz Cheney's goal is to win renomination to #WYAL on 8/16, here's the ad she just launched in a GOP primary in a 70% Trump state. https://t.co/ncTyubOoCl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although Kansas sent a loud message, the final margins in upcoming special elections in #MN01 (@CookPolitical PVI R+9), #AKAL (R+8) and #NY19 (R+2) will be much more instructive of the post-Dobbs environment for the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Endorse, w/ caveat that R candidates with out-of-the-mainstream abortion positions (no exceptions) could pay a significant penalty. — PolitiTweet.org

Natalie Jackson @nataliemj10

Narratives that also aren't necessarily accurate are that Kansas means Republicans are in trouble in the fall. Ple… https://t.co/muiOPUi1Dx

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, total vote share for all Dems/left-leaning candidates adds up to 58%. In other words, looks like a fairly typical WA election. — PolitiTweet.org

Amy Walter @amyewalter

Another bit of good news for D’s out of WA state where Sen. Patty Murray at 54% in all-party primary. Lots of votes… https://t.co/9pE1h7N1PH

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump-endorsed Kari Lake (R) has taken the lead over Gov. Ducey-backed Karrin Taylor Robson (R) by 11,324 votes (1.8 pts) in the #AZGOV GOP primary w/ more EDay ballots counted, and it doesn't look like she's giving it back. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Shri Thanedar (D) defeats state Sen. Adam Hollier (D) in the #MI13 Dem primary, meaning for the first time since 1954 there won’t be a Black member of Congress from Detroit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Blake Masters (R) wins the #AZSEN GOP primary and will face Sen. Mark Kelly (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: Gibbs starts at a huge cash deficit to Hillary Scholten (D) and could have a tough time unifying the GOP, considering Rep. Peter Meijer is on track for 46% in the primary and those are far from automatic Gibbs votes in November. Plus, the new #MI03 is Biden +8. — PolitiTweet.org

Riley Beggin @rbeggin

Gibbs seen here talking to former President Donald Trump. "I'll see you soon. I'm very proud of you, John," Trump… https://t.co/GQNDRfUaHV

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, the "No" vote in Kansas is on track to hit over 90% of Biden's 2020 vote total in the state. The "Yes" side is on track to hit just over 50% of Trump's vote total (to be clear, lots of Trump voters were "No" today, but just a huge Dem turnout). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meijer is the second pro-impeachment Republican to lose a primary (four others opted to retire). With no realistic primary path for #WYAL Rep. Liz Cheney (R), there will be at most 3/10 pro-impeachment Rs remaining in the House in 2023. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Trump-endorsed John Gibbs (R) defeats pro-impeachment Rep. Peter Meijer (R) in the #MI03 GOP primary and will face Hillary Scholten (D) in November. Rating change: @CookPolitical will be moving #MI03 from Toss Up to Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: John Gibbs (R) lead over Rep. Peter Meijer (R) now up to 1,195 votes (1.8 pts) w/ a big margin in Byron Twp. Gibbs is the strong favorite now. #MI03 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: pro-election conspiracy theory state Rep. Mark Finchem (R) wins the GOP primary for #AZSOS and will likely face Adrian Fontes (D) in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Shorter AZ GOP primary: Blake Masters' (R) 34% looks like it could be good enough to win the #AZSEN primary, while Kari Lake's (R) 40% doesn't look like it will cut it in #AZGOV. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Juan Ciscomani (R) wins the #AZ06 GOP primary and will face Kirsten Engel (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Eli Crane (R) wins the #AZ02 GOP primary and will face Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Trump-endorsed John Gibbs (R) retakes the lead over GOP Rep. Peter Meijer (R) by 653 votes in the #MI03 GOP primary with a strong performance in Grandville. I'm not sure Meijer will make that up... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on initial returns, it's also a strong bet pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) will advance in #WA03's top-two primary. As long as she does, she's safe in November (against either a D or R). Both Newhouse and Herrera Beutler aided by split pro-Trump opposition. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on initial returns, it's a strong bet pro-impeachment Rep. Dan Newhouse (R) will advance in #WA04's top-two primary. As long as he does, he's safe in November (against either a D or R). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. David Schweikert (R) survives the #AZ01 GOP primary and will face Jevin Hodge (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We'll never know, but it's possible last-minute DCCC meddling in #MI03 actually backfired by making it clear to GOP primary voters which R Dems preferred to face in November (Gibbs would have been an underdog in this Biden +8 seat). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Eric Burlison (R) wins the #MO07 GOP primary. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, Paul Junge (R) wins the #MI08 GOP primary and will face Rep. Dan Kildee (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: pro-impeachment Rep. Peter Meijer (R) takes the lead over Trump-endorsed John Gibbs (R) w/ more Grand Rapids suburbs reporting, 50.5%-49.5%. Still a lot of votes left to count in #MI03, but Meijer looking like a slight favorite. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022