Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: seven more House rating changes at @CookPolitical, including five in Democrats' direction. Full analysis ($): https://t.co/ZPxcWHnNOU https://t.co/MFMRuAeTT2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @AGTheodoridis: I'm loving this "Swingometer" from @CookPolitical and @NBCNews created by my friend Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) and col… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A poll question I think is fairly useless: “How enthusiastic are you about your vote for [Trump/Biden]?” Much more instructive: “How enthusiastic are you about voting?” — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Philly suburbs get a lot of ink, but don’t overlook another key region where attitudes are clearly shifting against Rs: the Harrisburg suburbs. Dauphin/Cumberland/York are home to the only PA congressional race @CookPolitical rates a Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Biden really is ahead by 9% in PA, it’s not a scenario where late deciders or “naked ballots” would meaningfully affect the outcome. But no matter the outcome, 80k-100k mail ballots tossed on a technicality would still be a foreseeable train wreck. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ABC’s PA margin? Same 9% as NYT/Siena. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seven more House ratings changes coming to @CookPolitical tomorrow morning. Stay tuned... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kathrynw5: Newspaper endorsements are A) irrelevant and ineffective these days and B) only undermine confidence in the media because re… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nathanlgonzales: Opinion: It's Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates Me from 4 years ago in @rollcall https://t.co/8eUFHrD… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Total in-person early votes cast so far in... Prince William Co., VA (pop. 470k): 17k Fairfax Co., VA (pop. 1.1 million): 6k ...all because Fairfax can't get its act together to speed up the line. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChrisFistonich @Nate_Cohn It's actually pretty easy to see where the change is coming from: https://t.co/PZoE8uhucr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Inbox: Rep. Angie Craig (D) files lawsuit in federal court to overturn state's cancellation of 11/3 election for #MN02 following the Legalize Marijuana Now nominee's death. https://t.co/JiXF7msJUE — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Biden leads Trump in Pennsylvania, 49 to 40 percent among likely voters, in a new Times/Siena poll https://t.co/86O9lsPzjG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@kevin_cracknell @Nate_Cohn In your view, what explains Biden's impressive jump to 22% (vs. Clinton's 16.6% in Potter in '16) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

You found a Biden voter in Potter Co.? Wow — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@joelgoldstein75 @AdamBassWCCS I’ve seen enough: accurate — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In conversations w/ Dem campaign folks past few weeks, their biggest challenge now is identifying effective late uses for all the $$. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Updated rough personal rankings of the most flippable Trump '16 turf for Biden: 1. #NE02 2. Michigan 3. Arizona 4. Wisconsin 5. Pennsylvania 6. Florida 7. #ME02 8. North Carolina 9. Georgia 10. Iowa 11. Ohio 12. Texas — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@kkondik Totally agree that newspaper endorsements can still be valuable for lower-level offices that don't get a lot of news/TV coverage. But at the presidential level, it just strikes most voters as media taking the mask off. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@AdamBassWCCS lol i'm not even sure what this is in response to — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If I had to guess whether Biden wins a higher % in #NE02 (which Trump won in '16) or MN (which Clinton won), I'd still lean #NE02. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kkondik: as someone who used to be responsible for endorsements (long time ago), I think they probably are more valuable (to readers) t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

You’d think four years after daily newspaper endorsements ran 12-to-1 for the losing side, there’d be some reflection on why voters’ faith in the objectivity of major news institutions is at/near historic lows. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now let’s see if the NYT lets its reporting speak for itself instead of delegitimizing itself by telling voters who to vote for. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NE02 is by far the most urban prize Trump carried in ‘16 (AZ being a close second). The difference between those and MI/PA/WI/OH/IA - there just aren’t rural areas for Trump to grow to offset suburban losses. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Between this and private surveys, I don’t really view #NE02’s lone Electoral vote as competitive. It’s Biden’s. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is Ohio highly competitive? Yes. Is there any plausible scenario where it's at the Electoral College tipping point? Still no. https://t.co/RAud6tHKVu https://t.co/DOg9hE3bMD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@davidgoldiner earth to readers: read more carefully — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At this rate, there’s still time for 5-7 more major bombshells to not upend the race between now and November. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@LeeMiringoff @maristpoll Your data shows the opposite of what you're saying: the likeliest voters in your poll are college+ whites. If turnout goes up, there's far more room for turnout growth among non-college whites. In 2016, 872k eligible WI non-college whites didn't vote vs. 182k college+ whites. — PolitiTweet.org