Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEW: Republicans have closed the Democratic voter registration advantage in PA by almost 200k since 2016. As Trump he… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Re-upping b/c the pile-on is deserved in this case. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BGrueskin: A small South Dakota town put the Confederate flag on its police cars and uniforms in 2009. Now, a Black man who's lived t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@CyndyMonty65 @CookPolitical @DrCameronWebb It's not, it's in Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

ICYMI from @CookPolitical's new House overview: Dems poised to expand their majority, perhaps by 5-15 seats, as GOP races to avert a Trump-driven catastrophe. https://t.co/9HvHFZ6iU6 https://t.co/GRmIZsdvAi — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JacobRubashkin: I'd imagine you can also pour a ton of money into direct voter contact/education and try to ensure that as few voters a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

https://t.co/GroNHDBb9G — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ElectionBabe But few other counties in FL that will 1) give us a clear look at the extent to which Trump's erosion w/ seniors is real and 2) report such an insanely overwhelming percentage of their ballots up front. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What do you do as a Dem w/ $86 million in SC? It's pretty obvious: you pull a @clairecmc and try to lower your threshold for victory to ~48%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Long before COVID-19 or the economic collapse that followed in its wake, Pres. Trump gambled his re-election prospects on t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn well there's a good chance we'll have that data in hand by 11/1 (and the registration data much sooner), so perhaps we can revisit this conversation then — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even at the height of Clinton's lead after Access Hollywood, she was up just 6.9% at @FiveThirtyEight: 45.8% to 38.9%. That's a pretty far cry from 52.2%. Clinton's 2016 lead just isn't in the same ballpark as Biden's today. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2016, @FiveThirtyEight's final polling average was Clinton 45.7%, Trump 41.8%. Today, it's Biden 52.2%, Trump 41.9%. But beyond deficit, even more damning for Trump is the 5.9% undecided/3rd party share - less than half of 12.5% share four years ago. Far fewer late deciders. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ElectProject: Really cautious that another *very* plausible explanation for the early voting patterns we're seeing is that Trump suppor… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, I’d set the over/under at 90 points — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DanFosterType: Clinton took DC 93 to 4, actually. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Enormous voting mode gap in new ABC/WaPo poll: Early in-person/mail (58%): Biden 70%-26% Election Day (40%): Trump 64%-32% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JTHVerhovek: NEW @ABC/@washingtonpost national poll (Likely voters, MoE 4%) Biden: 54% (+12) Trump: 42% Among men Biden: 48% Trump: 4… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

TX voters will have a plethora of locations for in-person early voting starting 10/13. Keep in mind: the absentee share is minuscule vs. most other states b/c of TX’s strict eligibility rules. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, I can’t confirm the GOP reaction described. Quite a bit of polling denial happening these days, don’t see what would change that. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Can confirm at least one such poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Big disagree from me on this. Guess who won all four of these in 2018? Bill Nelson (D), who is no longer a senator. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn If Trump were at 60%-39% w/ 75k counted, I'd think the best he could hope for is winning Sumter like 65%-34% w/ another 20k or so EDay votes. That's not far off from what polls would suggest, and imo it would confirm a disastrous drop-off in 65+ support for the president. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JacobRubashkin: This kind of whiplash is so unsustainable. Will this decision stand? Will it be appealed? Early voting in Texas starts… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@AstorAaron Key word “somewhat” - clearly better than ‘16 Trump but not near Bush ‘04 levels — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: Yeah, there's been lots of uninformed speculation about how the networks will handle election night. With decision desks… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, both are somewhat succeeding. The problems for Trump, though, are that: 1) non-college whites are a much higher % than non-whites in several key battlegrounds 2) there's just no rolling back the clock w/ *college whites,* who are more anti-Trump than ever — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The fascinating thing to me right now is that both candidates are, to some extent, trying to roll back the clock: Trump by restoring R support among Latino/Black voters to Bush '04 levels, Biden by restoring D support among non-college whites to Obama '12 levels. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn Just curious, what would you say if we had 75k+ Sumter votes counted and it was 60%-39% Trump? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DLeonhardt: Much savvier. https://t.co/5HlyeQOZm2 — PolitiTweet.org