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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: there's a typo on the NYT/elsewhere giving Underwood (D) a few thousand additional votes in Kane Co. Her #IL14 lead per official county sites adds up to 1,137 votes (not 6,490). However, it also looks like there's an outstanding pro-Underwood trove in Lake Co. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Democrats can also stop pretending that Dana Balter (D) has any chance of beating #NY24 Rep. John Katko (R), where I've also seen enough. Katko's up by 55,102 votes (20.7 points), and while there are plenty of absentees that will narrow the gap, it's not going to be enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: #IL14 Rep. Lauren Underwood (D) now up 6,490 votes over Jim Oberweis (R). I've pretty much seen enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Credit where due. — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Mackowiak @MattMackowiak

Trump will win TX by 5-7%. https://t.co/nVAFi4F4qw

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @MattFriedmanNJ: And here it is https://t.co/kxDfJzWGF0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The unluckiest candidate of the cycle might be Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R), who ran for #IA02 in 2008, 2010 and 2014 and lost each time. This year, the popular Dem retired and she got run for an open Trump-won district. Even so, she currently trails Rita Hart (D) by 161 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's harder to argue the GOP coalition is demographically "dying out" after Tuesday's results. As with past waves of immigrants throughout U.S. history, Hispanic voters are beginning to vote a little closer to the rest of the country - and it's one possible path forward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @cstewartiii: It looks like 53,640 mail ballots were returned in PA after 11/3. 50% were by registered Dems, 31% by registered Reps. A… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: latest Philadelphia count adds... Biden 2,748 (90%) Trump 272 (9%) Biden's statewide PA lead climbs past 45k. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump’s breakthrough with Hispanic voters wasn’t limited to Miami or the Rio Grande. It also showed up in big cities like Houston, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman

In Houston's Harris County, Biden finished slightly ahead of Clinton, but the internal movement was clear. He impro… https://t.co/rP98hiefrb

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Today, Lancaster Co., PA reported its 4.3k provisional ballots and Biden won 45% of them - better than his 41% share among the other 274k voters. What does Lancaster have a lot of? Non-white Ds. A good omen for Biden's chances to stretch his lead w/ provisionals in Philly, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although on its face this seems good for Trump, Pinal was one of the best remaining tranches he had in AZ. It's tough to see where Trump makes up 17k deficit now. — PolitiTweet.org

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer

combo drop just came in. Pinal: 13,571 Apache: 3,301 breakdown of 13,417 added to contest Biden: 4,491 (33%) Trump:… https://t.co/t8adGGKa6G

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nationally, @LarrySabato is right, this wasn't really that close. The Biden/Harris ticket is on track to win the highest vote share of any winning ticket since 1988, with the exception of the Obama/Biden ticket in 2008. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden's AZ lead back up over 20k after winning latest Maricopa batch of 7k ballots 55%-44%. I'd consider Biden a pretty heavy favorite in AZ now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Maricopa only adds about 7k ballots tonight, but they're Biden+11--assuming I did this right. Obviously that's the wrong di… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By the time all is finalized, likely the gap between the popular vote & the EC tipping point will be *wider* than in '16 (when it was 2.9 points). — PolitiTweet.org

Andrew Prokop @awprokop

As of today Wisconsin is the tipping point state of 2020. MI: Biden +2.65 NV: Biden +2.4 PA: Biden +0.64 (expected… https://t.co/7AUpZb1Mm5

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is there a special lineup of cable news channels I could get without incessant scammy Medicare add-on ads? I'd pay extra. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden lead in AZ back over 19k w/ latest Apache Co. ballots. — PolitiTweet.org

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer

Apache county posted 3,038 ballots to the Presidential contest. Breakdown: Biden: 1,895 (62%) Trump:1,100 (36%) B… https://t.co/HeTEq2T8DZ

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Sen. Lindsey Graham on @FoxNews just now, implying fraud: "Statistically, Biden got more votes than Obama in a few areas of the country, and only in a few areas. How could that be?" Hmm...I can think of a few reasons... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Preliminary shift from 2016 to 2020 by county, so far. Will change, of course, but a few things stand out: --NY (absentees s… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Have to give credit to the Biden campaign, who remained focused on the core of AZ/MI/PA/WI even as national polls widened, and never seriously bought into the hype that IA or OH are still relevant to deciding the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Let’s try this again (surely this will work?): It’s Very Enjoyable Suddenly Everyone’s Endless Nagging Ended, No One Uploading GIFs Harassingly — PolitiTweet.org

Negrodamus 🧙🏾‍♂️ @jumoffit

@Redistrict You never said “I’ve seen enough” though and that was the greatest disappointment l

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s very enjoyable. Suddenly, everyone’s endless nagging...ended, no one uploading GIFs harassingly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @IsaacDovere: Statement from George W. Bush: “Though we have political differences, I know Joe Biden to be a good man, who has won his… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Biden’s GA lead has climbed past 10k w/ assorted county updates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Suck it, Silver! [SNL Connery laugh] — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Finally ready to solve. “I’ve keen energy” — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Redistrict Any guesses on the answer to this puzzle? I'm stumped. https://t.co/DZ1wLt4WLK

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just catching up on my inbox, and got this yesterday from my high school AP government teacher. Thanks for teaching me everything I know, Mr. Krieger!! https://t.co/cixCbXqeKD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden has to hope these provisionals (esp. from Pima Co.) will provide some cushion against remaining Maricopa, Pinal, Cochise etc. non-provisionals. — PolitiTweet.org

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer

This is the outstanding ballot estimates from the counties on https://t.co/0rt8yNpR0w. 3rd column will be tabulat… https://t.co/47DfjeN4i7

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*sets alarm* — PolitiTweet.org

Meet the Press @MeetThePress

THIS SUNDAY: NBC News Contributor and House Editor for The Cook Political Report, David Wasserman joins the #MTP ro… https://t.co/roYIvCVZS4

Posted Nov. 8, 2020 Hibernated