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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Some unexpected drama in #NJ07, where Tom Kean (R) has pulled within 9,708 votes of Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) and late-counted ballots have broken heavily R. I still think it's probable Malinowski narrowly hangs on, but the AP may have called the race too soon. — PolitiTweet.org

David Wildstein @wildstein

New: NJ-7 congressional race gets even tighter, with Malinowski margin now at 9,708. https://t.co/6tOtSvUlEJ

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another possibility: Hawaii is simply a working-class, overwhelmingly non-white state where a small segment of voters in real economic distress responded to Trump's COVID message similarly to Hispanic voters in South TX and South FL. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hawaii is on track for both the nation's: 1) largest raw vote increase vs. 2016 (33.8% so far) 2) biggest pro-Trump swing vs. 2016 (-32.2 pts to -29.5 pts) If anything, the move to universal mail ballots might have *helped* Trump by drawing out relatively disengaged voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One state that saw a modest but interesting pro-Trump margin swing since 2016: Hawaii. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. No path back for Trump in AZ. — PolitiTweet.org

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer

Maricopa county has posted 13,143 ballots. Breakdown: Biden: 5,826 (44.3%) Trump: 7,019 (53.4%) Biden leads Trump… https://t.co/kDaO4cSPVQ

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Something I'm having trouble quantifying: at what popular vote margin will Biden have followed through on his primary vow to "beat Donald Trump like a drum?" — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@SeanTrende Here's a map with 14 Clinton/Biden districts and 3 Trump/Trump districts, and it's not even that unsightly. https://t.co/DoD8xmWBaz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's a 14D-3R Illinois map Dems could draw, potentially eliminating Reps. Rodney Davis (R) and Adam Kinzinger (R)… https://t.co/T9oeTorwOW

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's a 14D-3R Illinois map Dems could draw, potentially eliminating Reps. Rodney Davis (R) and Adam Kinzinger (R). https://t.co/QIBNKEYsQl — PolitiTweet.org

Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende

IL Dems could try to eliminate one of the downstate R districts, but then it becomes tricky to protect Bustos -- th… https://t.co/vJ3fFe8Lff

Posted Nov. 12, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So of the MI/PA/WI trio, it looks like Biden's weakest win will be in Wisconsin after all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, this is pretty much curtains for Trump in AZ. — PolitiTweet.org

The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer

Pima county tabulated 4,589 ballots to the presidential contest. Breakdown: Biden: 2,346 (51%) Trump: 2,129 (46.4%)… https://t.co/mP95LArvS0

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Latest ~17k Salt Lake Co. vote batch brings bad news for House Dems: #UT04 Rep. Ben McAdams (D) barely cut into Burgess Owens's (R) lead, which stands at 1,697. A lot breaking the GOP's way in these uncalled House races. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It wasn't the readers taking things out of context. Do better in the future. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tbh, I've seen enough. If you want the straight local scoop on what's happening in Pittsburgh, follow @DKaplanWTAE and keep contacting @KDKA until they clean up their act. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, this is still journalistic malpractice. You're (seemingly intentionally) misleading your readers/viewers by failing to note in the headline that these ballots had been postmarked by Nov. 3rd. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is straight-up awful journalism by Pittsburgh's CBS affiliate, and they deserve public shaming. If you read past the headline, these ballots were postmarked by Nov. 3rd. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: #IL14 Rep. Lauren Underwood (D) lead rises to 4,288 votes vs. Jim Oberweis (R), 200,037 to 195,749. I'd already seen enough, but it's well out of recount territory now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SeanTrende: This may be the most amazingly catastrophic branding of the decade. https://t.co/yKW1xR9tpd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At this point, we're well out of automatic recount territory (0.74% > 0.5%) and Biden's lead is only going to continue to grow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Biden's lead in Pennsylvania just surpassed 50k votes w/ additional Allegheny Co. ballots counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is the first presidential election since 1988 in which Virginia's result hasn't been in the single digits. Biden is currently beating Trump in VA by 10.1 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We've had six states certify their election results so far, and they've all had margin swings against Trump of 2.6 points or more since 2016 (high: 9.0 points in Vermont). That's consistent with Biden eventually winning the popular vote by about 5 points (he's up 3.4 now). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Vermont has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 242,820 (66.1%) Trump 112,704 (30.7%) That's a 9.0 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 16.6% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

South Dakota has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 261,043 (61.8%) Biden 150,471 (35.6%) That's a 3.6 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 14.2% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

South Carolina has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 1,385,103 (55.1%) Biden 1,091,541 (43.4%) That's a 2.6 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 19.5% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Oklahoma has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 1,020,280 (65.4%) Biden 503,890 (32.3%) That's a 3.3 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 7.4% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

(adding WY to start a state certification thread) https://t.co/Afmz7fX117 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wyoming is the second state to certify its 2020 election results: Trump 193,559 (69.9%) Biden 73,491 (26.6%) Tha… https://t.co/sPI1uXFAKO

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@molly_knight do you know if I can attach this to the Delaware tweet or should I delete and this and start over? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wyoming is the second state to certify its 2020 election results: Trump 193,559 (69.9%) Biden 73,491 (26.6%) That's a 2.9 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 8.2% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The first state to certify its 2020 election results? Delaware: Biden 296,268 (58.7%) Trump 200,603 (39.8%) That's a 7.6 point margin swing against Trump and a 14.2 percent increase in votes cast vs. 2016. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@WinWithJMC CT was erroneously listed on our back end as certified. It has not been certified. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2020 Hibernated