Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough in #NY02, where Jackie Gordon (D) has no realistic path to overtaking Andrew Garbarino (R)'s 42k vote lead for Rep. Peter King (R)'s open seat. House count is now 221D, 209R and we're down to just five uncertain races: #CA21, #CA25, #IA02, #NJ07 and #NY22. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the few Upstate NY counties that have reported final results, Biden is posting some impressive gains vs. Clinton '16. It's a pretty good bet Trump will end up losing New York by more than the 22.5 points he lost it four years ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JJAtkinson1776 Those plus FL are the only that have certified, as far as I know. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JJAtkinson1776 which ones? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Florida has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 5,668,731 (51.2%) Biden 5,297,045 (47.9%) That's a 2.2 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 17.5% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's time to start calling baseless conspiracies what they are: libelous attacks on the 500,000+ heroic poll workers & election administrators in every corner of the U.S. who pulled off a successful election amid record-shattering turnout and a global pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @murphymike: Just recorded a new @HacksOnTap with @davidaxelrod and wizard analyst David Wasserman aka @Redistrict. Lots of good chin m… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With what's left outstanding, Biden is on pace to cross 80 million votes before Trump crosses 74 million. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This means that the Electoral College/Popular Vote gap will have *widened* since 2016. Biden is on track to win the popular vote by ~4.5 points, while winning the state that provided him with his 270th electoral vote - Wisconsin - by just 0.6 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're up to 155.1 million votes counted, and I'd estimate there are 3-4 million ballots left to count (mostly in NY and to a lesser extent CA/others). Biden is poised to win over 70% of what's left, pushing his popular vote lead to ~4.5%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Georgia is the first state where we have fully updated vote history data, and it shows the Black share of the electorate fal… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2016, the states with the most Trump voters were: 1. Texas: 4.68 million 2. Florida: 4.61 million 3. California: 4.48 million In 2020, California is on track to vault into first place. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Biden/Harris just became the first presidential ticket in U.S. history to surpass 79 million votes. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @carloslcurbelo: “Republicans have lived in fear of such Trump attacks over the past four years — and there are no signs that dynamic wi… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Largest anti-Trump swings in the U.S., '16-'20 (so far): 1. Nebraska's 2nd CD -9.1% 2. Vermont -9.0% 3. Colorado -8.6% 4. Maine's 1st CD -7.9% 5. Delaware -7.6% 6. New Hampshire -7.0% 7. Connecticut -6.4% 8. Maryland -6.1% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Philadelphia just reported almost 8k newly counted ballots... Biden 6,628 (85%) Trump 1,140 (14%) Biden's statewide PA lead now up to 72,379 votes (1.1%), more than double the automatic recount threshold. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nationally, this represents a 1.6 point anti-Trump margin swing vs. 2016 and a 13.4% increase in votes cast - and several million votes remain to be counted. https://t.co/9dMmSHpCwA? https://t.co/Hp0CCspqyn — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: the U.S. just surpassed *155 million* votes counted and Biden's popular vote lead is up to 5.68 million (3.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

North Dakota has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 235,595 (65.1%) Biden 114,902 (31.8%) That's a 2.4 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 5.1% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you estimate the remaining absentees by allocating them in proportion to the patterns in other counties, we're on track for #NY22 to be decided by less than 500 votes either way. This would be a huge, much-needed hold for House Dems/Pelosi. Stay tuned. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These are really good numbers for #NY22 Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D). Tenney (R) lead down to 4,612 and falling... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If these are in fact affidavit ballots, it's a really good number for #NY22 Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More good news for Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) in #NJ07, as Tom Kean (R) wins the latest batch of Union Co. votes by just 1,199 to 1,079 (53%). Kean has needed ~60% of the remaining votes to catch up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans have also won 5 of the 18 races @CookPolitical rated as Lean D (28%), and 2 of the 18 races we rated as Likely D (11%). In the 2018 "blue wave," Dems won 2 of the 29 races we rated as Lean R (7%), and 2 of the 29 races we rated as Likely R (7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*Five remain — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's been almost two weeks since Election Day, and Democrats still haven't won a *single one* of the 27 House races in @CookPolitical's Toss Up column. Four remain too close to call: #CA21, #CA25, #IA02, #NY02 and #NY22. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In another triumph for House Rs, #UT04 Rep. Ben McAdams (D) just conceded to Burgess Owens (R), per @DeseretNews. https://t.co/13lpcgqaW1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's how I'd rate the 7 uncalled House races: #CA21 - Lean R #CA25 - Toss Up (likely <1k either way) #IA02 - Lean R (recount) #NJ07 - Lean D #NY02 - Lean R #NY22 - Toss Up (likely <1k either way) #UT04 - Likely R If the toss ups were to split, House count would be 223D-212R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Newly counted votes added so far today in #NJ07: Morris Co.: Kean 857, Malinowski 600 Union Co.: Kean 383, Malinowski 391 Overall, Kean (R) needed about 60% of what's left to win, so this is good news for Malinowski (D), who's up 4,712 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Per source familiar, Oneida Co. (Utica area) just counted 981 more mail votes for Brindisi, 318 for Tenney, cutting Tenney's overall lead to 6,316 w/ thousands left to count. — PolitiTweet.org