Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If I were to model Chenango Co.'s outstanding vote based on the results in other counties, Brindisi (D) would gain 3,387 votes to Tenney (R)'s 1,674, giving Tenney a ~255 vote win. But we'll find out tomorrow. It's just razor-close. #NY22 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also, #NY22 sources tell me there are 5,165 ballots left to count in Chenango Co. (incl. 280 provisionals) and 32 provisionals left in Oneida, and that's it. Bottom line: Brindisi (D) would need to win what's left by a margin of ~38% to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: I've been made aware of a newly counted batch of Madison Co. challenged ballots that broke 91-14 Brindisi, as well as a slight update to Broome Co.'s election day totals. My latest #NY22 tally: Tenney (R) 153,922 (+1,968) Brindisi (D) 151,954 It's a jump ball. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D) w/ a solid 70%-30% split out of Oneida Co. today, now trails Claudia Tenney (R) by just 2,089 votes by my count. #NY22 will be decided by ~4800 Chenango Co. absentees tomorrow, and likely to be decided by <500 votes either way. Wow. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Michigan's largest pro-Trump margin swings by county, '16-'20: 1. Montcalm 3.9% 2. Ogemaw 3.5% 3. Lake 3.3% 4. Schoolcraft 3.0% 5. Clare 3.0% 6. Gratiot 2.7% 7. Osceola 2.7% 8. Arenac 2.4% 9. Gladwin 2.0% 10. Mecosta 1.9% 11. Tuscola 1.8% 12. Hillsdale 1.3% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: as more Michigan counties have certified and reported to the Secretary of State, Biden's margin of victory (154,187) is now more than 14 times Trump's 2016 margin there (10,704 votes). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Michigan's largest anti-Trump margin swings by county, '16-'20: 1. Grand Traverse 9.5% 2. Kent 9.3% 3. Ottawa 9.1% 4. Leelanau 8.4% 5. Emmet 8.3% 6. Keweenaw 7.8% 7. Charlevoix 7.1% 8. Livingston 7.0% 9. Marquette 6.9% 10. Clinton 6.2% 11. Kalamazoo 6.0% 12. Oakland 6.0% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) has picked up 3 votes in the #IA02 recount, expanding her lead over Rita Hart (D) from 47 votes to 50. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thread from a South FL Dem who lost reelection amid huge Latino defections to Trump 👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Ben McAdams (D) ran a good race in #UT04, but couldn't overcome the extraordinary growth in Utah Co.: 2018 Utah Co.: 23,432 R, 8,516 D 2018 rest of #UT04: 110,838 R, 126,448 D 2020 Utah Co. (+77%): 40,595 R, 16,003 D 2020 rest of #UT04 (+26%): 139,093 R, 159,920 D — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Absolutely. And it's a solid bet Biden will hit 81 million. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is grossly misleading. The recording error during the DeKalb hand count doesn't impact the overall GA margin, because the tally was recorded correctly in the original count. But of course, this post has 8k RTs and 17k likes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@kylegriffin1 @nick_field90 @NBCNews Not yet. He's at 50.953388% with 79.25 million votes. https://t.co/9dMmSHpCwA? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is why states employ risk-limiting audits: to prevent the kind of situation that unfolded in 2016, when human error in Dallas Co., IA led 5,842 votes to go uncounted in final certification. https://t.co/FoBhLToqnG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Come for my opening fiddle solo and stay for the in-depth discussion of what went wrong for Dems down-ballot... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The House count stands at 221D-209R, and here are my informal ratings of the five outstanding races following today’s developments: #CA21 - Likely R #CA25 - Lean R #IA02 - Lean R (recount) #NJ07 - Likely D #NY22 - Toss Up — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Monroe Co., NY (Rochester) just reported its absentees... Biden 77,533 (76%) Trump 22,295 (22%) Biden's national popular vote lead just climbed to 5.81 million (3.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: if current leads hold in California's uncalled House races, Republicans will have flipped back 4 of the 7 seats Democrats captured in 2018's "blue wave." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @michpoligal: Another vote, this time unanimous, from Wayne County Board of Canvassers to certify the results, but also direct @JocelynB… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The Biden/Harris ticket also just set a new all-time record of 604,175 votes won in Philadelphia, surpassing the previous record of 595,980 set by Obama/Biden '08. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Philadelphia just finished counting what might be one of its final batches of votes... Biden 10,170 (86%) Trump 1,540 (13%) Biden's statewide PA lead climbs to 81,597 (1.2%), almost double Trump's '16 margin of 44,292 (0.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Times change: when I was growing up in Montgomery, NJ, it voted for Bob Dole and George W. Bush. In 2016, it gave Donald Trump just 34%. In 2018, it gave #NJ07 Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) 63%, and it might provide him with his margin of victory in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Union Co. reports 1,216 more votes in #NJ07 and they break... Malinowski (D) 730 (60%) Kean (R) 486 (40%) That should just about do it. Kean needs over two thirds of what's left, and he hasn't really gotten that anywhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: Biden's current margin of victory in Michigan is more than 13 times Trump's margin of victory there in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kaitlancollins: President Trump fires DHS official Chris Krebs after the agency he ran released a statement rejecting Trump's claims of… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Terrible news for Dems in #CA25, where the biggest outstanding batches of votes in LA/Ventura counties have extended Rep. Mike Garcia (R)'s lead to 422 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This split is just above the threshold Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D) needs from the final 13k-17k ballots to be on track to eventually take the lead. Will it hold? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Biden is ahead in MI by almost 150K votes and there has been zero evidence of fraud here or elsewhere. This kind of move do… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NJ07, more good news for Rep. Tom Malinowski (D). Morris County counted almost 600 ballots today: Kean (R) 299 (52%) Malinowski (D) 281 (48%) Kean has needed over 60% of the remaining vote to overtake Malinowski's lead, which stands at 4,574. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This isn't the margin Dems were hoping for out of the remaining Broome Co. affidavits. #NY22 is going to come down to remaining Oneida/Chenango absentees, and it's going to be extremely close. — PolitiTweet.org