Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: There have been only 3 federal elections in the last 100 years decided by fewer than 20 votes: #NHsen in 1974 (2 votes), #I… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The stakes here are pretty high in these overtime races: the majority's not at stake (as opposed to the GA runoffs), but they could make the difference between Dems/Pelosi having a majority by four seats (222) or six seats (224). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I haven't seen enough: this is far from over, and both #NY22 and #IA02 are likely to be fiercely litigated for months, given the infinitesimal margins involved. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BREAKING: sources on both Dem & GOP sides confirm that the final counts submitted by all 8 counties in #NY22 to NY Supreme Court Justice Scott DelConte will show Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D) *ahead* of Claudia Tenney (R) by either 12 or 13 votes. Wow. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Arkansas has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 760,647 (62.4%) Biden 423,932 (34.8%) That's a 0.7 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 7.8% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, I think it's a very good bet Biden's final popular vote lead will be north of 7 million. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: the U.S. just surpassed a record-shattering 157 million votes counted in the 2020 presidential election... Biden 80,186,397 (51.1%) Trump 73,931,066 (47.1%) And there are still 1-2 million votes left to count, mostly in NYC. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thanks to the lady in way-up-north Franklin Co., NY who kindly shared the county's official absentee/affidavit results: Biden 2,667 (69%) Trump 1,138 (29%) And that does it: the U.S. is up to 157,000,340 votes counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The @CookPolitical tracker is now at 156,996,535 votes counted. Hmm, which NY county should I call to put it over 157 million? https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa https://t.co/rLWhkzMzgz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The wonderful Elizabeth at the Dutchess Co., NY Board of Elections just shared the county's unofficial absentee/affidavit results w/ me over the phone: Biden 23,540 (75%) Trump 7,106 (23%) Biden's national popular vote lead is up to 6.25 million (4.0%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By the way, the unofficial totals for Ontario Co., NY: Biden 28,894 Trump 28,824 Ontario is the fifth Upstate NY county Biden has flipped blue so far (in addition to Essex, Saratoga, Rensselaer and Broome). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thanks to the nice guy at the Ontario Co., NY Board of Elections who shared their unofficial absentee/affidavit results w/ me over the phone: Biden 8,115 (70%) Trump 3,067 (27%) Biden's national popular vote lead rises to 6.24 million (4.0%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Suffolk is the only one that has given me kind of an attitude so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thanks to the wonderful Louise (D) and Courtney (R) at the Orange Co., NY Board of Elections who just shared unofficial absentee/affidavit results w/ me over the phone: Biden 22,391 (71%) Trump 8,671 (27%) Biden's national popular vote lead just rose to 6.23 million (4.0%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thanks to the wonderful lady at the Westchester Co., NY Board of Elections who just shared partial absentee returns w/ me over the phone: Biden 42,859 (83%) Trump 8,480 (16%) Biden's national popular vote lead just rose to 6.22 million (4.0%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My job is to forecast what could be ahead in each state in 2021 & beyond, whether people like it or not. If you're getting tired of these, feel free to unfollow now - b/c there are a lot more maps on the way. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@NilesGApol Here's the full map: five Black majority CVAP districts (#GA02, #GA04, #GA05, #GA06 and #GA13) and every other district is overwhelmingly GOP. https://t.co/ouA3NmafKS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After the past decade's growth, it's possible - even easy - to draw a 4th compact Black majority district in metro Atlanta, as shown below. It could also help Republicans turn every surrounding district into a Trump +30 seat, eliminating a Dem from the GA delegation. https://t.co/VIiQCG2brW — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Two things that have become increasingly apparent for a while: 1) Voters w/ low levels of social/institutional trust are both likelier to support Trump & less likely to answer polls 2) Dems now much likelier to be part of the work-from-home economy and available to answer polls — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are unconfirmed reports that Hart is on track to pick up 26 votes in Scott Co.'s recount, 9 votes in Jasper Co. and has picked up 1 vote in Clinton Co. so far. That would put Hart (D) ahead by *a single vote.* We won't know until at least Monday. Hey, every vote counts. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: last night, Rita Hart (D) netted two votes over Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) in Jefferson Co.'s recount. Here's where things stand in #IA02: Miller-Meeks (R) 196,880 Hart (D) 196,845 Still 3 counties (Scott, Jasper, Clinton) out of 24 that have yet to finalize recount. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm not sure whether this is good news for Rita Hart (D) or Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R), but 131 votes is a huge deal in a race currently on track for a *single digit* vote margin. #IA02 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In fact, I'm not aware of anywhere near this severe an underperformance for any other House *candidate* in the county, let alone an incumbent. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pennsylvania has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 3,458,229 (50.0%) Trump 3,377,674 (48.8%) That's a 1.9 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 13.1% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHpCwA — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The biggest top-of-ticket underperformance by any House incumbent in the country? Rep. Ilhan Omar (D). Results in #MN05: Biden 328,764 (80%) Trump 72,323 (18%) Omar (D) 255,920 (64%) Johnson (R) 102,878 (26%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Minnesota has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 1,717,049 (52.4%) Trump 1,484,048 (45.3%) That's a 5.6 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and an 11.3% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@HuffmanForNC These are only Maine's military & overseas ballots, and most are from civilians living abroad, not active duty military. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Sorry to disappoint all the Dems w/ military anti-Trump hot takes, but these ballots skew strongly towards civilians living abroad for whatever reason, not active duty military. They've been heavily Dem for years. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA25, one of just three remaining uncertain House races, Rep. Mike Garcia (R) is still ahead by 405 votes after the latest LA & Ventura updates. It's looking increasingly grim for Christy Smith (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To repeat: that would be a one vote margin out of 394k cast in #IA02. Suffice it to say, I have not seen enough. — PolitiTweet.org