Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Correction to first tweet: at most 17, if Brindisi (D) prevails in #NY22. Would still be less than half of the 35 in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden/R districts (9): #CA21 Valadao #CA25 Garcia #CA39 Kim #CA48 Steel #FL27 Salazar #NE02 Bacon #NY24 Katko #PA01 Fitzpatrick #TX24 Van Duyne Trump/D districts (7/8?): #IL17 Bustos #IA03 Axne #ME02 Golden #MI08 Slotkin #NJ03 Kim #NY22 Brindisi (?) #PA08 Cartwright #WI03 Kind — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on a variety of number-crunching sources, esp. @DKElections, it looks like there were at most 16 districts out of 435 that split their tickets between president/House in '20 - likely an all-time low. For perspective, there were 83 such districts in '08 and 35 in '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

An important point that kinda got lost in the post-election craziness: the likelihood the Census won't have apportionment counts ready until at least Jan. 26 negates any opportunity for the Trump admin to alter data (remove undocumented residents, etc.) https://t.co/RmxB8Hixfg — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty amazing Republicans won all four of these CA districts w/ 51% of the vote or less, despite Biden winning three of the four by double digit margins. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Under these hypothetical lines, Trump would've carried 26/39 seats by ~15%+ in '20 despite winning TX by just 5.6%. Dems' only recourse might be a VRA claim in federal court, but Rs would point to the addition of a new Hispanic majority seat to counter those claims. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Finally, on the border: Rs would target Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D) by converting #TX15 (narrow Biden win) into a double-digit Trump seat. Rs would also shore up new Rep. Tony Gonzales (R) by making #TX23 a double-digit Trump seat - all while keeping both seats 60%+ Hispanic. https://t.co/sCD38PLrpM — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Next, instead of dividing Austin six ways, Rs would create a new overwhelmingly blue Travis Co. seat (#TX37 here). The tradeoff? It would protect surrounding R districts against heavy D vote growth along the I-35 corridor for the next decade. https://t.co/xj0ymXL7zw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First, Rs would "pack" the districts held by Houston Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) #TX07 and Dallas Rep. Collin Allred (D) #TX32 w/ Dems, converting Fletcher's seat into a Hispanic majority seat. That would ease the creation of two new safe suburban R seats, #TX38 and #TX39. https://t.co/bi3cmWV10l — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Texas is set to gain three seats, and Republicans will likely try to expand their current 23R-13D edge to a 26R-13D edge - all while adding at least one new Hispanic majority seat and a new Dem seat in Austin. Here's how... https://t.co/4I2nhANKd1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In hindsight, Trump probably could have lost by ~6 million votes nationally and still prevailed in the Electoral College. https://t.co/IR6Ovxhwdu — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: in 2016, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.9 million and came within 77,744 votes of winning the presidency. In 2020, Donald Trump lost the popular vote by 7.1 million and came within 65,009 votes of winning reelection. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ForecasterEnten: Post-election there was this talk that Trump only really gained with Hispanics in S. FL and S. TX. Now, we know he mad… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: One of the strangest parts about the Texas suit is that it originates in Texas. If there's any state GOP that ought to intui… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That's all, folks (except for minor amendments to certified results states sometimes post). Thanks for using our tracker! https://t.co/ssRNOmfxuh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All 50 states and D.C. have now certified their 2020 election results: Biden 81,282,376 (51.3%) Trump 74,222,576 (46.9%) That's a 2.4 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 15.9% increase in votes cast. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hawaii has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 366,130 (63.7%) Trump 196,864 (34.3%) That's a 2.7 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 33.9% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Idaho has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 554,119 (63.9%) Biden 287,021 (33.1%) That's a 1.0 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 25.6% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

California has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 11,110,250 (63.5%) Trump 6,006,429 (34.3%) That's a 0.9 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 23.4% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only county in America that voted for Obama by >20% (21.0%) in '12 and for Trump by >20% (20.5%) in '16 was Howard Co., IA. This time? It voted for Trump by 27.4%. https://t.co/TxFYMyExUf — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

When will we update the @CookPolitical tracker with final certifications? Whenever CA, HI and ID post official, certified numbers on their sites. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's a terrific map & graphic from @GrantrGregory illustrating the unprecedented Whole Foods/Cracker Barrel divide. https://t.co/efckkIdqxw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@BrianWandell @GrassrootsSpeak Throughout Appalachia (not just KY, but WV/NC/PA and others), places w/ overwhelming ancestral D registration advantages have routinely trended heavily R for years. If you actually visit these places (as I have), it checks out. She has no idea what she's talking about. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@GrassrootsSpeak Lol. This is one of the most moronic, false threads I’ve ever read - up there with the president’s claims. If you spent more than five minutes studying KY’s politics, you’d realize this is total BS. You deserve to be shamed for spreading garbage. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@GrassrootsSpeak Lol. This is one of the most moronic, false threads I’ve ever read - up there with the president’s claims. If you spent more than five minutes studying KY’s politics, you’d realize this is total BS. You deserve to be shamed for spreading garbage. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Colorado has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 1,804,352 (55.4%) Trump 1,364,607 (41.9%) That's an 8.6 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 17.1% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough BS conspiracy threads in the past month to last a lifetime. 👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One place where low on-campus turnout helped Biden? Lynchburg, VA, which flipped from Trump +9 to Biden +3. In the precinct that includes Liberty Univ.: 2016: Trump 2,739 (86%), Clinton 140 (4%) 2020: Trump 1,197 (88%), Biden 117 (9%) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, Miami-Dade, FL ranks 15th at a +22.3 pro-Trump swing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest pro-Trump swings ('16-'20) among U.S. counties: 1. Starr, TX +55.2 2. Maverick, TX +46.3 3. Kenedy, TX +40.0 4. Jim Hogg, TX +39.0 5. Zapata, TX +38.3 6. Duval, TX +32.6 7. Brooks, TX +32.0 8. Reeves, TX +30.9 9 Webb, TX +28.3 10. Edwards, TX +26.7 — PolitiTweet.org