Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Was 2020 a "big sort" ebb? Here's the share of U.S. voters who cast ballots in "landslide counties" that gave one party's presidential nominee at least 60% of all major party votes... 1992: 39% 1996: 42% 2000: 45% 2004: 48% 2008: 48% 2012: 50% 2016: 61% 2020: 58% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: I’ve been hearing worry from GA GOPers about Trump’s rhetoric/antics for months, but on Sunday it hit a crescendo. All e… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@TadeuszMrozek2 See my example here... https://t.co/bBjx8eCCkZ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: Who are these people? We're glad you asked. @CookPolitical has teamed up with @The_Almanac of American Politics to publish detailed profiles of 70+ new members of the House & Senate. Available to subscribers now. https://t.co/SmuJNR2pDE https://t.co/WHU8XlZ9yK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, Garcia won by 0.1% in a district Biden carried by 10.1%. #CA25 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I get the obsession, but if we should've learned anything from November it's that comparisons of the early vote to past elections don't hold a ton of predictive value as to the eventual outcome. Wish I had more to say now, but just going to wait for tomorrow night. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Nancy Pelosi wins vote for speaker, w/ AOC among final Dems putting her over the top. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: These are some rather conservative representatives. And for that matter folks like Mitt Romney and Ben Sasse are pretty… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No matter what happens w/ the Hart challenge, it's going to be even tougher to convince 218 House members to vote to throw out the state-certified #IA02 result after Miller-Meeks is seated. https://t.co/xPpGf39Rrd — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

2020: I’ve seen enough — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NY22: all time record for December lead changes? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @WinWithJMC: RIP Congressman Elect Luke Letlow (besides being someone I've worked with/for since 2014, when he was Ralph Abraham's camp… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@guster TFW when your favorite band follows you for election season then drops you in December. So go on, if it makes you happier. You owe me a fiddle solo on Either Way next time you hit Wolftrap — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Brindisi takes the unofficial lead w/ more Oneida Co. ballots reviewed, but still a long way to go in #NY22. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Minnesota loses a seat as expected, another possibility would be for courts to merge Minneapolis & St. Paul (#MN05 & #MN04), resulting in something like the 4R-3D example below. This would make some sense b/c the Twin Cities are a lot alike and always get along just fine. https://t.co/HjMaKe7FU9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on my handful of conversations w/ House Ds, the idea of denying seating to Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) on 1/3 or overturning Iowa's certified results is going over like a lead balloon. Keep in mind, Dems would eventually need 218 votes in the House to seat Hart (D). #IA02 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A continuing mess in #NY22... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@sixpackmikey If I wanted to draw a pure Dem gerrymander, I would've drawn Rochester and Winona into #MN02 and shoved Scott & Carver counties into #MN01. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Population growth in rural MN has lagged behind the suburbs, so it would make some sense for the current 7th & 8th CDs to be merged, leaving both Fischbach & Emmer in #MN06. This map would be 4D-3R (vs. 4D-4R), but Rep. Angie Craig (D)'s #MN02 would still be highly competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JerrySlackhouse There's an unfollow button — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Minnesota is slated to lose a district, and if there's a stalemate in the divided legislature, here's one possibility for a court-drawn map: Reps. Tom Emmer (R) and Michelle Fischbach (R) thrown together in a new #MN06. https://t.co/B2FEZQp8o2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also: based on these estimates, it's possible the pandemic will allow Alabama to keep its 7th seat and cost New York its 26th seat, which would be a small blow to Dems. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Would be the first time *ever* California has lost a seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With the benefit of a month to reflect on what transpired down-ballot, I wrote up five takeaways from our 2020 House forecast - and three resolutions for 2021 and beyond. New @CookPolitical: https://t.co/k5jZMgYiZk https://t.co/jCucIg8k9j — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: our top 36 facts about the 2020 elections. https://t.co/o3zcdATsdm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: #IA02 News: Rita Hart (D) lays out why she should have been the certified winner, claiming 22 legally cast ballots were no… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Passaic city, NJ (71% Hispanic): 2016: Clinton 75%, Trump 23% 2020: Biden 62%, Trump 37% Perth Amboy, NJ (78% Hispanic): 2016: Clinton 82%, Trump 16% 2020: Biden 72%, Trump 28% Paterson, NJ (58% Hispanic): 2016: Clinton 90%, Trump 9% 2020: Biden 80%, Trump 19% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: there were four municipalities in New Jersey that swung against Trump more than any county in the country... 1. Sea Girt, NJ - 19.7 pts 2. Loch Arbour, NJ - 19.1 pts 3. Allenhurst, NJ - 17.4 pts 4. Bloomsbury, NJ - 16.9 pts — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the largest swing in Virginia? In 2000, Buchanan Co. voted for Al Gore by 19.1 points. This year, it voted for Trump by 67.6 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Times change: in 2000, Fairfax Co., VA voted for George W. Bush. In 2020, it voted for Biden by 41.9 points. — PolitiTweet.org