Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Emma_Hurt: Outstanding absentee ballots that we know of: DeKalb: 17,902 Henry: 9,078 Cobb: 5896 Chatham: 5318 Fulton: 5294 Gwinnett: 5… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, anyone know any catchy fiddle tunes about Georgia? Asking for a friend... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Twitter won’t unflag tonight’s “I’ve seen enough” tweets, I might have to get out my fiddle and hit record, and that would just be an unfortunate outcome for everyone. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s actually a way to try to inform the public of what’s actually going on, but thanks. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It is unrealistic: the first special election of the Trump era was actually to fill Mike Pompeo's #KS04 on April 11, 2017. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

p.s. Feel free to slap a label on this one, @Twitter. I'm going to bed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. Lauren "Bubba" McDonald, Jr. (R) wins reelection to GA's Public Service Commission, defeating Daniel Blackman (D). Republicans avoid a total Dem sweep. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Perdue's narrower defeat is especially bitter for Republicans, considering that runoff was for a six-year term, whereas Warnock will need to run again in 2022. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These racial turnout differentials weren't Alabama '17 levels, but Black runoff turnout was phenomenal and the Trump base just couldn't keep up. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I understand the desire to wait until every vote is reported, but these aren't "nail biters" or "dead heats." #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: Whitfield Co., where Trump held his pre-election rally, turned out at just 86.1% of November levels. The state as a whole is on track to exceed 89% of November levels. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's worth reflecting on a huge reason Dems swept Georgia this year: the Biden coalition is mainly African-Americans & suburban whites - two huge GA blocs. Trump made big inroads w/ Hispanics, but there just aren't very many Hispanic voters in GA. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If there's one possible consolation prize for Republicans, Lauren "Bubba" McDonald, Jr. (R) is leading Daniel Blackman (D) 51%-49% in the runoff for Public Service Commissioner District 4. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's not yet assured Ossoff's victory will end up outside GA's 0.5% recount threshold, but it's likely. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. Jon Ossoff (D) defeats Sen. David Perdue (R) in GA's other Senate runoff. #GASEN Democrats win control of the Senate. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, that's a dismal performance for Perdue in Newton Co. (southern ATL burbs). Trump lost it by 10.9, Perdue just lost it by 15.4. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Boom. That Newton Co. outstanding batch I've been talking about just came in, and Ossoff pulls within 437 votes of Perdue statewide. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Warnock's victory is pretty clearly going to wind up outside of Georgia's 0.5% recount threshold. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problems for Perdue are 1) Biden won by 0.24, so Perdue has to overperform Trump on balance to begin with 2) Ossoff's overperformances are more a bit larger and broader than Perdue's. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here are the pro-Perdue margin swings vs. Trump '20 so far in counties that look near fully reported (10k+ vote counties only): 1. Oconee +4.5 2. Greene +3.5 3. Fayette +2.2 4. Glynn +1.8 5. Cherokee +1.8 6. Hall +1.8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A lot of the coverage of GA's Senate races has focused on the wealthier northern ATL suburbs, but if both Dems win tonight, they'll have the much more African-American southern ATL suburbs to thank. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're getting down to bits and pieces, but I'd still rather be Ossoff than Perdue. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: with latest DeKalb & Bartow updates, Perdue's lead over Ossoff cut to ~20k. There's still quite a bit of DeKalb left to go, and it ought to be enough to inch Ossoff ahead. Stay tuned... #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here are the big pro-Ossoff margin swings vs. Biden '20 so far in counties that look near fully reported (10k+ vote counties only): 1. Clayton +6.1 2. Liberty +5.0 3. Rockdale +4.2 4. Douglas +3.9 5. Baldwin +2.7 6. Paulding +2.1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Overall, it "augurs" (as @Nate_Cohn would say) for an Ossoff advantage at the end of the day. But it's not in territory where it's assured yet, in my view. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The bottom line in Ossoff/Perdue: Perdue is outperforming Trump in suburbs w/ lots of country club type Rs (no surprise). But he's underperforming Trump in heavily Black areas, where there's a slight but significant drop-off in White turnout relative to Black turnout. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, there's no reason to believe DeKalb's heavily Black precincts will be behaving much differently from Clayton's once all votes are tallied. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: DeKalb County (and all Georgia counties) posted the exact number of in-person early votes long before election day. They eve… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's tempting to put it this way: Perdue/Loeffler embrace of Trump in the runoff phase of #GASEN may have alienated suburban Biden/R (Nov.) ticket-splitters, and it's not clear it did as much to drive up turnout in deep red rural GA. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Clayton Co. (suburban ATL, 69% Black) is at 89.7% of its November turnout: Warnock +77.0 Ossoff +76.8 Biden (Nov.) +70.9 Republicans just aren't getting a comparable overperformance vs. '20 prez anywhere. That's the story. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org