Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excellent redistricting state of play by @allymutnick. https://t.co/JM9GVgiVsp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I can’t decide what’s more reprehensible about the 1-800-Kars4Kids commercial: that it offers no real info on where the proceeds are going, or that none of the kids are actually playing their instruments. Either way, I’ve seen enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, this reconfigured #NY11 would've voted for Biden by ~10% overall in '20 despite Staten Island voting for Trump by 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hmm, how would Staten Island feel about being in the same district as Park Slope, Cobble Hill and Carroll Gardens? There's a chance we could find out in 2022... #NY11 https://t.co/u9VwgRdJv7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@EvanFer34070238 12th has moved to Upstate — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, even though it's a Dem gerrymander, it could make a lot of NYC districts more compact: #NY14 and #NY06 would be entirely within Queens, #NY10 and #NY13 would be entirely within Manhattan. #NY08 and #NY09 would be entirely within Brooklyn. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: I see a lot of convos today about Marjorie Taylor Greene's past controversial comments, thanks to @CNN & @mmfa McCarthy t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jbarro Yup, the green #NY02 (Massapequa, Smithtown, Lake Grove, parts of Islip) went for Trump by probably 15 points. Garbarino/Zeldin would have to fight over it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NYC closeup: majority-minority districts would be preserved for... #NY05 Meeks (D), #NY06 Meng (D) #NY07 Velazquez (D) #NY08 Jeffries (D) #NY09 Clarke (D) #NY13 Espaillat (D) #NY14 Ocasio-Cortez (D) #NY15 Torres (D) #NY16 Bowman (D) https://t.co/GpZicmVZq8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In this scenario, Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D)'s "Silk Stocking" #NY12 would be eliminated (she's 74 and nearly lost her last primary, so could retire). The Upper East Side would be given to Rep. Jerry Nadler (D)'s #NY10 and Astoria/Greenpoint would go to AOC's #NY14. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NYC/Long Island: Dems could endanger Rep. Lee Zeldin (R) by adding Dem parts of Babylon/Islip to #NY01 and Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) by adding Park Slope/Red Hook to Staten Island's #NY11. Under the hypothetical below, both go from Trump CDs to double digit Biden CDs. https://t.co/88gkPGrGJV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, longtime NY observers will recall that state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D)'s dad, late Rep. Maurice Hinchey (D), represented a very similar Ithaca/Binghamton/Ulster district back in the 1990s/2000s. The theory: her last name would carry a lot of appeal in the #NY12 above. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One other feature of this play for Upstate: Dems would put Rep. John Katko (R)'s home in Camillus in a Syracuse-less #NY24 (purple), but keep it winnable for themselves in case Katko retires/loses a primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Upstate: under the scenario (above) I've heard floated... 1. #NY27 Jacobs (R) would be axed 2. A safe new Syracuse/Utica #NY22 for Anthony Brindisi (D) 3. A new Ithaca/Kingston district, #NY12, for state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D) 4. All current Dem incumbents get Biden +10 seats — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New York is poised to lose a seat. But if Dems end up drawing the map, it could be their biggest weapon of the redistricting cycle. They could merge Stefanik/Tenney (if Tenney's lead holds in #NY22) and severely threaten other Rs, converting a 19D-8R map into 23D-3R (below). https://t.co/zEnqOnxhd9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few indispensable resources as the 2021 redistricting cycle unfolds: - @_justinlevitt_ 's All About Redistricting: https://t.co/fWkzKQLbQP - @NCSLorg: https://t.co/U4qjPHdRvr - @ballotpedia: https://t.co/fg4RcK7twk I'd also highly recommend @davesredist app for DIY mapping. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Had Democrats not sued to overturn GOP-drawn maps in FL/NC/PA/VA the past few years, they wouldn't still be in the House majority today. But Republicans could conceivably gain enough seats from 2021 redistricting *alone* to erase Dems' thin House majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Five big differences vs. 2011 redistricting cycle: - Dems much better prepared and GOP less dominant - New commissions in CO/MI/VA and to lesser extent NY/OH/UT - New post-Shelby VRA implications - Heightened public/court scrutiny - Voters even more geographically pre-sorted https://t.co/U8Z2Fva7nU — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: our first (2,500+ word) look at the 2021 redistricting cycle, kicking off in just a few months, is now available to @CookPolitical subscribers. https://t.co/slLuru6HVk https://t.co/469HNq1ufq — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Who's ready for my 2021 redistricting overview? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Plus, there's a decent chance Republicans will eliminate Ryan's House district (#OH13) in redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@abgin1 Sorry, but D+6.54 =/= D+7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nathanlgonzales: If he can't run again, he has no use for the Republican Party. And he'll lose interest in backing primary challengers… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The inaugural was exciting and all, but who's ready for my first 2021 redistricting overview coming out in the next week? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Never have five decades of trudging the state party fundraising dinner circuit paid off quite like today (h/t @PoliticsReid). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@MindGrapes007 "Battle for the soul of the nation" was a good primary message. "Build back better" was a better general election message. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If I had to guess, however, I'd bet this helps Tenney (R), who is already in the lead by 29 votes. There's a reason Brindisi's legal camp wanted only 69 additional ballots counted, not 1,028+. We'll see. #NY22 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: an additional 1,028+ ballots in #NY22 is a game changer, but not yet clear who benefits. If they're more like other E-Day votes, Tenney (R). If more like other newer registrants, perhaps Brindisi (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Less than a year ago, plenty of pundits were writing Joe Biden off after he placed fourth in Iowa and fifth in New Hampshire. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

https://t.co/wYMBMJny9C — PolitiTweet.org