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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One other IL rumor I've heard: Reps. Bill Foster (D) #IL11 and Lauren Underwood (D) #IL14 semi-swapping districts, with Foster picking up FermiLab's particle accelerator (Batavia) and DeKalb (NIU), and Underwood taking Bolingbrook & Joliet. Both would get Biden 10%+ districts. https://t.co/vg3IkT3GIe — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One other IL rumor I've heard: Reps. Bill Foster (D) and Lauren Underwood (D) semi-swapping districts, with Foster picking up DeKalb (NIU) and FermiLab's particle accelerator (Batavia) and Underwood taking Bolingbrook & Joliet. Both would get double-digit Biden districts. https://t.co/6Tc0Kdy8ws — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For a full rundown of what's at play, be sure to subscribe to @CookPolitical and read our state-by-state preview series. https://t.co/ithFvApcGo https://t.co/iYz4wJnUFd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Finally, Dems could draw one heavily D seat in southern IL instead of two weak ones, fixing a strategic error they made in 2011. They could stuff East St. Louis, Alton and Belleville into Davis (R)'s #IL13, converting it from Trump +4 to Biden +10 - perhaps dooming his career. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To marginally shore up Bustos, Dems might get replace rural Trump counties in #IL17's southern end (Fulton, Warren, Henderson and Tazewell) with a lot more of Rockford and its suburbs. That would move #IL17 from Trump +1 in '16/'20 to Clinton/Biden +1 - not huge, but helpful. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In the map above (right), 13/17 districts would have voted for Clinton *and* Biden by 10%+, up from 10/18 under the current lines. Underwood's #IL14 could lose Lake/McHenry counties and pick up DeKalb, Aurora, Elgin or Bolingbrook, moving it from Trump +4 in '16 to Clinton +10. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The Republican most likely to get eliminated? You guessed it: #IL16 Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R), one of just 10 House Rs to vote for impeachment. Not only is his district geographically easy to chop up, but many Dems figure he'd lose a primary to a pro-Trump candidate anyway. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Illinois Dems are likely to have three main map objectives: 1) Eliminate one of the five downstate GOP seats to account for the state's loss 2) Protect all 13 Dem incumbents, including vulnerable Reps. Lauren Underwood (D) & Cheri Bustos (D) 3) Finally beat Rep. Rodney Davis (R) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ILLINOIS: has the potential to be Dems' biggest redistricting weapon of the cycle. Once again, it's losing a seat. But Dems could replace the current 13D-5R map (left) with a 14D-3R map (right) - and they might need to to have any chance of holding the House majority. https://t.co/WnLY0lHL5J — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @dannowicki: BREAKING: "Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick won't seek reelection: 'I'm sort of term-limiting myself.'" #AZ02 (via @ronaldjhansen) http… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Who’s ready for my redistricting preview of Illinois, where creative cartography is a time-honored pastime? Arriving at @CookPolitical in the morning...stay tuned. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
True story: my mom actually told me the other day that they were planning on naming me Nathan all along, but switched to David at the last minute (Nathan became my middle name) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Because we're clearly cooler than the Nates — PolitiTweet.org
V @Vitrosphere
@Redistrict Dave Wasserman, Dave Bradlee, Dave Leip, why so many Daves?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectionBabe I am seriously scouting out DC locations for this future dive bar. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you want to engage as a citizen in this high-stakes process, do yourself a favor: follow @davesredist, take their video tutorials & familiarize yourself with the app. For the first time, you'll be on a level tech playing field w/ top decision-makers. https://t.co/tLA5Wq9TCc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In its latest update, DRA has enabled 2020 geographies to be split down to the census block level, allowing *anyone* to draw maps suitable for submission to commissions and state legislatures. This is a truly historic breakthrough for a free, top-notch redistricting app. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And, it's an indispensable tool for me and @CookPolitical as we continue to roll out our 43-state 2022 redistricting preview series. If you're wondering how I/others draw these maps, @davesredist is it. https://t.co/nUvUJDFONB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Personally, I've found @davesredist to be the most feature-rich: it has a wealth of election data for all 50 states and updated geographies with 2018 population estimates. In 2018, @FiveThirtyEight and I used it to create the Atlas of Redistricting. https://t.co/wXjtqxlFYi — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There are now several commendable free web-based apps available, including DRA, DistrictBuilder and Districtr. All required an absolute ton of work to build, and redistricting nerds are lucky each has helped democratize mapping technology. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For decades, advanced redistricting technology was the domain of political insiders who could afford to pay for prohibitively expensive software. The public couldn't draft maps that met legal standards. But that's rapidly changing. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
THREAD: Dave's Redistricting App (pioneered by Seattle programmer Dave Bradlee) has always been my favorite redistricting app, hands down. And just when I thought it couldn't get better, it has. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave's Redistricting @davesredist
Dave's Redistricting Releases 2020 Census Shapes and Enables Block-Level Districts. Press release at… https://t.co/o32Rxp4GW7
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@JosephSzymanski I can! — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectProject Look, I've seen enough. Promote your app on your own timeline, and I'll share my opinions on mine...it's not an arms race. Nerds are lucky to have all these options. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectProject I'll 100% hide replies of people jumping on others' threads just to promote their own subpar products — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectProject It's a nice app, but it's actually way behind. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Really exciting news on the redistricting front coming tomorrow - a breakthrough that will democratize mapping technology. Stay tuned. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@RRHElections You mean like this? https://t.co/jVsaREepqm — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I view this latter option as less likely, though. At the warp speed metro ATL is moving towards Dems, a 10R-4D map could erode quickly & possibly even backfire on Rs. What's more, it could be vulnerable to a racial gerrymandering lawsuit for overly packing Black voters. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There's also an outside chance Rs could attempt an even more aggressive gerrymander, targeting *both* #GA06 and #GA07 for a 10R-4D map. In the scenario below, 10/14 districts would've voted for Trump by 15%+ points in 2020 - even though GA as a whole went for Biden. https://t.co/8Nkf2gsb8e — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In the scenario above, McBath/Bourdeaux would have to face off in a primary for political survival. #GA07 and every other R district in the northern part of the state would have voted for Trump by 20%+ in 2020. Rs would easily gain one seat towards the House majority. BUT... — PolitiTweet.org