Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @aseitzwald: "Statistical analyses used to detect fraud in elections held in 3rd-world nations...detected fraud in California resulting… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @aseitzwald: The site asks Elder supporters to sign a petition demanding a special session of CA legislature to investigate "the twisted… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @aseitzwald: NEW: Larry Elder's campaign is promoting a website that claims the recall is over, Newsom won, and they found voter fraud t… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @fmanjoo: the best part is how she is deeply engaged in her own research — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @AsteadWesley: if only trinadad had hipaa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

i am not a doctor. for qualified armchair twitter diagnoses, please see a medical professional. but...… https://t.co/48Hh0QvClT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fun fact: George W. Bush's approval rating was at 49 percent in the 2003 California recall exit poll — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @dhopkins1776: The survey of incoming Harvard students below certainly reinforces this @Nate_Cohn point from this recent NYT piece that… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @daveweigel: Final LAT poll of recall from Berkeley/IGS find “no” with all the momentum. Trend since July… No: 60% (+10) Yes: 39% (-8)… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @databyler: Trutherism lost some salience in the Obama Era, but then something weird happen. But in 2016ish, something weird happened:… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @databyler: Trutherism was clearly a thing in the direct aftermath of 9/11 -- news reports about people believing, books coming out, pro… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini john kerry doesn't really agree with you — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, the huge gains in female college attendance, along with the emergence of the gender gap, is a relevant factor in long term (like 50+year) Dem gains among college grads (though not necessarily in edu polarization, since there's also a gender gap among non-col voters) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One of the more interesting and recurring questions about education today was about the gender gap, which I avoided in part because the evidence is pretty murky. That said, the balance of evidence suggests Biden won white male college graduates https://t.co/BHdGrFrkaY — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fairly clear movement in the California recall as we head into the final stretch. In the month after July 20, every poll showed Remove within 8. Since then, every poll but one has shown Keep ahead by at least 8 points. YouGov shows an 8 pt shift https://t.co/Nf7mjXBPiF https://t.co/72JwP6Q714 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@EScrimshaw because the article is correct. the same trend--rising higher education, decline of the old industrial working class--is occurring throughout the postindustrial world — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The mechanisms at play are interesting, since there's relatively little evidence that college attendance makes people more liberal. But at the same time, it's basically impossible to imagine the modern left without the university, whether it's 60s New Left or ideas like CRT today — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a slight contrast, consider this very good piece from @edsall today, which tells the familiar tale of the rise of postmaterialist values without really talking about the role of rising educational attainment in shaping the content of postmaterialism https://t.co/puUBD0cC5m — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a lot of ways, this article retreads a fairly well-established and uncontested history. But there is a twist here that I'd like to make explicit: it centers the rise of four-year college as the driving and explanatory force behind the rise of edu/cultural polarization — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

https://t.co/8oCYCChJT1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@grumpsterdoe Denver city limits — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I say that in part because I thought Colorado had one of the more obvious map blueprints for a human? (this one ex. of the general blueprint; exact execution varies on your exact balance btwn Latino representation, splitting jurisdictional lines, partisan balance, and so on) https://t.co/8adEwYxlEn — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

What an odd map. Almost feels more like the map you'd get out of an algorithm than one drawn by a human https://t.co/xFGd4CLqe1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JayCostTWS Though even if you did preserve states, this is a particularly thoughtless take — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BenjySarlin @NewmanChicago @LPDonovan it dropped 6 pts since a poll in july--but the RCP avg shows much of the drop occurring before katrina, and so it's hard to see any discontinuity in the trend. to me, the trend+issue make it seem like iraq, gas prices, etc. were the overriding factors. reverse w biden https://t.co/Bc0FfCQIr2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BenjySarlin @NewmanChicago @LPDonovan https://t.co/6Kot7qxqEk — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BenjySarlin @NewmanChicago @LPDonovan I don't really agree with that fwiw. even that nbc poll has him at 48% approval on katrina and the average showed no real discontinuity https://t.co/UaaHMQIOp9 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@philipaklein @chrislhayes fair — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NewmanChicago @BenjySarlin @LPDonovan i meant 8/05 but the point holds--there's no discontinuity in his ratings at that time — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BenjySarlin @LPDonovan trying to make his weak ratings today mainly a reflection of covid/economy/natural state seems very different than trying to assert that bush's ratings in 9/06 were mainly about iraq/social security, even if katrina reenforced that narrative — PolitiTweet.org