Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @hillhulse: Turns out Speaker Boehner is indeed enjoying Kansas primary night. Just received this from former staffer! https://t.co/hIzm… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DLeonhardt @HotlineJosh though you can imagine the mcauliffe response, where everyone seems pleasantly surprised, esp if econ picks up — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ElectProject: This is how democracy dies. And I'm looking at you on the left, too, who spout this nonsense https://t.co/mUzwUcVAWH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ryanhawl extremely tight screen on vote history basically kept out all irregular voters — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@hanroman black voters were 21.4% in the 2014 midterm. that's the floor — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This SurveyUSA poll of NC in Mar. is one of the worst of the entire cycle: just 14% black (should be >= 22). https://t.co/mOyRd4qf8L — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

-_- https://t.co/kGy18I3U4s — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @nytpolitics: GOP congressman decides to back Clinton: “I think Trump is a national embarrassment." https://t.co/kiNWHHB9qS https://t.co… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @RyanLizza: This could be the exit ramp McCain and Ryan are looking for. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @mateagold: BREAKING: Trump tells @PhilipRucker he won't support Paul Ryan, John McCain in upcoming Republican primaries https://t.co/D… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TheSuburbsGuy that's a pretty big grain — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @TheSuburbsGuy: .@Nate_Cohn The largest grain of salt being that this same poll had Clilnton+4 in late June: https://t.co/7l3apFchOq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Cinton+3 in an Arizona IVR poll seems at least noteworthy, with iceburg sized grains of salt https://t.co/rmbu1j4juL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Her favorability rating among Dems is now at 78-20, up from 71-25 last week https://t.co/tEvzVkequE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton bounce cut her favorability rating deficit in half, according to Gallup data. She's at 43-53, up from 37-58 https://t.co/tEvzVkequE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton gets a big bounce--erasing Trump's and putting her back where she was before the FBI https://t.co/S6rsqKpAn2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob that's pretty funny — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob is it? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RonBrownstein it's a direct comparison. it requires no trust about which is right-- just knowing they're different — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jjsimonetti exits tend to be more diverse and better educated than polls; as a consequence they show Ds doing worse among whites, well-educ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RonBrownstein shouldn't ignore, but direct comp = better. here's what pre-election RV polls showed four years ago https://t.co/B7bLG4Ql9m — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RonBrownstein that's because exits and pre-election polls can't really be compared like that--always implies bigger D gains among subgroups — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RonBrownstein you were comparing vote shares-- clinton 52 v obama 51. but your subgroup comparisons implied a far greater shift — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Alex_Roarty no, he's showing clinton's *share of the vote* -- 52 in the 1 on 1 match-up, v 51 in '12. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yet the poll shows Clinton doing just 1 pt better than Obama. Pre-election polls aren't very comparable to exits https://t.co/II0g8BUtfz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MajorCBS: First House GOPer to declare for @HillaryClinton is @RepRichardHanna of NY's 22nd District https://t.co/54tK0wbwJN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @surveyusa: @DKElections We haven't polled Utah since June -- can't tell if that's a mistaken reference to our 35/35 tie from them or a… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Which state (where Clinton isn't airing ads) does Clinton have her best chance to win? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rarohla hey, he got 33.3 in 1996--almost enough this year! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Something I caught a few days ago but kind of brushed off: Bill Clinton to campaign in Utah on Aug 11. https://t.co/DB0s2KeGmw — PolitiTweet.org