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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Polls of white voters, 2012: Likely vtrs: Obama 38.7, Romney 55.5, RV, not likely: Obama 45.5, Romney 38.4 Unregistered: Obama 56, Romney 29 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Pre-election polls in 2012, by LV/RV: Likely voters: Obama 48, Romney 46 Unlikely RVs: Obama 55, Romney 29 Unregistered: Obama 62, Romney 21 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@USMexSpain number of people — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ChrisDeMuthJr where do you think it's headed — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hispanic voters in pre-election polls pf RVs: 2012: Obama 66, Romney 25 2008: Obama 65, McCain 26 2004: Kerry 53, Bush 37 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Fyodor32768 @Taniel idk, not much room https://t.co/g3SjakHAle — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Black voters in pre-election polls 2012: Obama 92, Romney 3 (n=1881) 2008: Obama 92, McCain 2 (n=1986) 2004: Kerry 82, Bush 9 (n=1113) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MrNoPC2016 @Oooooo_Donna i post things that change the way i think about something; can't promise anything. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MrNoPC2016 @Oooooo_Donna they don't — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite i think we have enough from yougov at this point--in both states and nationally--to think it's an unusually strong showing — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite yougov hasn't been that favorable to her fwiw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@allahpundit that's all adults, not RVs, fwiw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This, for comparison, is the percent of all adults with at least a college degree https://t.co/Q7lDc97DwN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Percent of white adults with at least a college degree, by county https://t.co/8hmlX47v8Z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Why Trump struggles in Virginia, yet holds up surprisingly well in Nevada https://t.co/DOCwIjOPdI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DCCyclone @conorsen polls use census, not exits. lots of reason to think exits are off. https://t.co/2KbBPrB29Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@vasukiv virtually none — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PCalith basically none — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Clinton campaign has been spending a lot of money in Nevada, especially given how small it is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DCCyclone @conorsen nope — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen fewer white college educated romney voters here than any battleground, and probably fewer nonwhite voters than thought — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton+12 in VA, +2 in Nevada, and Trump+2 in Arizona in newest YouGov/CBS battleground tracker https://t.co/gZPTr5nd7f — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Was there an LV number for the 4-way race in the ABC/Post poll? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Morning Consult is Clinton+9, up from Clinton+3 immediately after the DNC. Consistent with theory that more is at play than the bounce — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Maybe the most telling, to me: just 28 percent are "comfortable" with the idea of Trump as president. 50% say it makes them "very anxious." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton+8 in new ABC/Post poll, 50-42. Kind of interesting: voters prefer experience over an outsider, 58-39 https://t.co/2T3rNWhnS8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@eddie2003PRT 96 was closest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you're younger than age 50, you haven't voted in a presidential race where the margin of victory was more than 10 pts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The poll showing Clinton up 4 pts in Florida now looks like one of her weakest results of the week. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2016 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Glossophiliac75 no, though we're still leading them more in ppp per capita than we're leading them in basketball — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2016 Hibernated