Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @JohnJHarwood: wow https://t.co/h174KVar1F — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Adorably_Nerdy great predictors — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@trumwill no, 88 was better for the incumbent party; 00 was worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@bazarovturg it is — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a lot that I didn't write because the nominee was Trump. One is that the fundamentals are not great when there isn't an incumbent — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The two biggest in-sample errors for most fundamental-based models? 1988 and 2000: incumbent party seeks reelection with popular president — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@EdAsante77 @politico @tom_rando my guess is that booing would proceed grudging respect if they had a serious and sustained message — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@EdAsante77 @politico @tom_rando yeah, exactly — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Republican Party would be really well served but even winning 10% of the black vote. Trying might help. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@VanWagoner stupid, I guess — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@tom_rando the "clearest appeal to the African American community" in decades would occur in a black community/to a black audience — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

He can build on it speaking in a place that's more than 1% black next time https://t.co/j6PeM4tsfB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten @allahpundit +1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(all of that supposed he lost PA, btw). If he lost Florida, then it's even harder — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If Trump can't sweep the big four, then he needs to sweep the little three, NV/NH/IA for 269 tie. He'd need the little fourth (ME-2) for 270 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

He probably has to win all four of these states to win. https://t.co/cEctZOWBWf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @BCAppelbaum: This is quite a clarification. https://t.co/v8bDiJzysN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well then at least drive west to Allentown https://t.co/HOJZzDQCLv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So why is he in Fairfield, Conn.? https://t.co/AuFXZobc8o — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I feel like this was overdue https://t.co/Rky5osBMWh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Despite all his woes, Trump ratings haven't gotten much worse. His ceiling is hardening more than floor dropping out https://t.co/ToYmGYqlnD — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Still no sign of attenuation in Clinton's lead. I think it's fair to say Clinton received a real convention "bump," not a "bounce" — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @AshleyRParker: NEWS: Roger Ailes to advise Trump in advance of debates. @maggieNYT and I report. https://t.co/b3eVwLqAQP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @songadaymann: ♫ Harry Enten Is Looking For A Girlfriend ♫ cc @ForecasterEnten @NateSilver538 @jodyavirgan @ClareMalone https://t.co/M… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Trump below 40 in Va. Apparently the plea to bring factory jobs back to Loudoun didn't resonate https://t.co/hoWtbdINS5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton right now: 💅 https://t.co/fZqjYnhQ7h — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten I'm just going to drop this one — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten to be fair, he was a democrat — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @thomaswright08: On vacation. Does anyone have a transcript of Trump's foreign policy speech in the original Russian. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Have they checked whether there are more Democrats than Republicans in their polls?!? https://t.co/bzUKN4OHAX — PolitiTweet.org