Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@armandodkos it's against unskewing. i'm just pointing out that there's not even anything to unskew with the right baseline — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mlow29 lol it's 1 poll — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@armandodkos it would be a huge mistake not to accept it. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemjb @chucktodd @RonBrownstein i'm trying to highlight that there's not even anything to unskew if you use the census, like CNN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So no, if you think the numbers in the CNN poll are *actually* for Clinton, you're wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

CNN poll, like all major natl polls, is weighted to match the Census. It's basically impossible to get the exit elect. with that starting pt — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

CNN poll, unskewed (by white edu, nonwhite) to match: CPS 12: Clinton 44 Trump 45 Exits 12: Clinton 46 Trump 42 @chucktodd @RonBrownstein — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

NBC's unskewing effort, fwiw, is the logical next step from all of the flawed pre-election poll to exit poll comparisons — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There it is. https://t.co/CcYOp0kKFs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TrumpWontWin because they thought obama was on their side, romney wasn't. now think trump is, clinton's bought — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@allahpundit just saw it on TV. couldn't take my phone out fast enough! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Honestly, nothing about this election would make sense to me if it weren't for this https://t.co/SAemQ27N6i — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The key to making sense of this election: there are more white, nocol, older voters than many assume https://t.co/SAemQ27N6i — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The exit poll findings for education are facially irreconcilable with the Census: exits indicate more col+ vtrs than Census says live in USA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

MSNBC has this big "adjusted" graphic, showing Clinton+4 in the CNN poll with the 2012 electorate, vs. T+2 in the actual poll — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think @chucktodd just unskewed the CNN poll to match 2012 exits, which, if I'm interpreting right, is a bad idea — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite evangelical christians, would be the argument — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I guess he saw the CNN poll https://t.co/9zJI30uT2y — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @koblin: Most of Roger Ailes' quotes in the Gretchen Carlson suit were taken straight from recordings https://t.co/IrJ31qTkED https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @danmericaCNN: Clinton jokes, "I believe I have created so many jobs in the sort of conspiracy theory machine factory." https://t.co/oSS… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PoliticsReid: News: Senate Majority PAC canceling ~$3m in OH SEN ads between 9/20-10/10. Story TK. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The CNN RV number--Clinton+3/2--is reasonable given the balance of polls. The LV gap is a different story, but it always is. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @danmericaCNN: Trump and Clinton's planes. Together in Cleveland. https://t.co/VDw0wOytzU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Is the Clinton plane bigger and classier than the Trump plane? Or is the Trump plane bigger and classier? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Textbook application of "Sad!" https://t.co/HnP0ZwgyYd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Sci_Phile: The movement of birds during the large Oklahoma quake https://t.co/7ZcUXKdyHO — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Did the Trump camp ever indicate how much they raised in August? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it's odd that they'd invest in Virginia over Wisconsin or even Maine https://t.co/VcGANzsgUW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically: if there's a state Clinton wins on field muscle, it would be NC--given size, data quality, close race https://t.co/VCoXbutMFa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And North Carolina is a state where the data quality is very high--makes it even easier for Clinton to organize https://t.co/VCoXbutMFa — PolitiTweet.org