Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton+5 in the 4 way, +8 in the 2-way among likely voters, per new ABC/Post poll https://t.co/dHEEgWNRb5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a lot here, but I'd like to draw attention to the link--which is just a wikipedia on neoconservatism lol https://t.co/z06E3eAAp1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The context: live Election Day modeling from Slate. https://t.co/A4GXPlClvy — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Really glad Slate is going to give us this on Election Day, but presumably with vastly worse data https://t.co/lJ2GiXTp05 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite @Neal_Inman sorry, i should be clearer--that's just change in the margin between d/total vote - r/total vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite @Neal_Inman that's just change in two-party margin — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite @Neal_Inman i'd say clinton did https://t.co/Mq748rxt21 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite here's the northeast 2000 to 2012 swing https://t.co/0FqIQOchxa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite staten island, Plymouth, Mass. (look at town map, for ex of monmouth w/l pattern) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite idk off hand, but a lot of the white catholic coastal northeast follows that trendline — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject are they making calls? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@willcooling i don't know if it would have — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Atmanne @alecshea for ex: she said that systemic racism was a problem in her convention speech. obama never did something like that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@alecshea she's far to the left on obama '12 on college, health care, race, etc., i don't think her issue w left is about her platform — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten this is a great day — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton has largely failed to sway young left-leaners w policy. Their main problem is personal. Wonder whether this helps credibility there — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kkondik Clinton has been running against his supporters (see alt right speech). Idk whether this is big news if she hadn't said "half" — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @NoahCRothman: In speeches, spots, and through surrogates, Clinton camp has made Trump's most unsavory supporters an issue. Is the gaffe… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Never saw this https://t.co/vYWI8HzPuj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I guess Clinton took wishy washy compromise stance on the intraleft debate on econ anxiety v racism as explainer of Trump. Classic Clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Will Clinton apologize for "basket of deplorables" or do some version of stick by it. IDK — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I agree with this https://t.co/PkDU4b0nNT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Is the main controversy over saying half of Trump supporters are racist, or calling them irredeemable? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Bitter Bubba visits HRC campaign office in PA, notes to volunteers Colin Powell had priv email device “It was alright until… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro i remember them, even — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrendanNyhan @jon_m_rob @hjghassell @b_schaffner idk if i'm going to write it up though — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

IE: by chance a CCES MS sample can be 50% whitecol. Can't really happen if the WaPo/SurveyMonkey / MorningConsult method is properly applied — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The SurveyMonkey data is weighted state by state. The Morning Consult data uses MRP, which is basically weight by state. CCES does not — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The comparison between the Morning Consult/SurveyMonkey state data and the natl weighted CCES is not quite right https://t.co/vIhtsBW49g — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @williamjordann: Giving legacy status to descendants of Georgetown's slaves, % approve White 35% Black 70% https://t.co/UWb2NybVyi ht… — PolitiTweet.org