Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton is at like 42%. Obama won 51%. So yes, she's underperforming him in almost every voting group. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NKingofDC more villages — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The ratio of articles about Puerto Rican voters changing Florida to The Villages changing Florida is way off https://t.co/38x4Fdfz1c — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We don't know by how much. But we know it's Trump. https://t.co/yY4eIf3AR6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing Kander (MO-SEN D cand.) has going for him compared to some other Ds is that he's actually a good candidate https://t.co/pAnzKHG21T — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro https://t.co/aCOU7YurEJ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Free hot take: sympathy surge from the news she got sick https://t.co/1DboLH9K35 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(though it would presumably pose a problem for the panel going forward) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It'd be fun if the LAT had some reporter talk to the 5 black voters in their panel driving these swings https://t.co/b6oOazVjuB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten neverrrrrrr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten sept 10 was like 5 days ago — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rickhasen ...but seriously that's how it works at a lot of places — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@brianefallon @mmurraypolitics can't or won't — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@yeselson @AlanIAbramowitz agree;but that's how several cbs polls reported it this year. idk about this one specifically--seems likely — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AlanIAbramowitz again, it almost certainly includes Hispanic whites. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mmurraypolitics @SeanTrende yeah, he has plenty of performance risks--i just mean in terms of the way people perceive his performance — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think this is the best thing going for him in the debate. I think a big challenge could be the silent audience https://t.co/COtl153CIg — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SeanTrende: I absolutely believe this. https://t.co/vt5iWlU7P4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One underrated/obvious reason why the blue and red states both seem closer: 20% of voters are undecided/third party! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

She should really thank the engineers, computer scientists, and medical technicians who got her ready so quickly https://t.co/Y81guxas1o — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yeah basically (also, i have a job) https://t.co/GvcLbTzCqS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I applauded the UMW poll for showing this, but there's no defense of basically *only* including self-reported 12 vt https://t.co/vxeOXxN7Bq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@markjstephenson @jon_m_rob @UpshotNYT would like to see GOP data firms start presenting papers, writing dissertations, going to conf. etc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @nickgourevitch: You will save yourself a lot of stress over the next 2 months if you accept that there will be volatility in the public… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemjb @AlanIAbramowitz idkabout this poll, but in my experience cbs includes Hispanic whites as white — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kanova @CNN they did poll people under 35; they just don't report the results for subgroups with amargin of error > 8.5 or so — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten does he have ads on the 90s tv shows? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

True story: I hadn't heard of Dr. Oz until approximately 24 hours ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ryanedens17 it's because they don't report subgroups with a margin of error > 8.5% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Best argument against the partisan non-response theory is that Obama's approval rating in Florida/Ohio is pretty reasonable in the CNN poll — PolitiTweet.org