Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@StraleyStrong well, not to her campaign. making up for it with massive contribs to joint committees — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Half as many people donated the Clinton campaign in Sept. than OFA in Sept. 2012. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@electionsmith do you know what the inactive turnout rate in 2012 was — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@derekwillis do your numbers line up w @electionsmith on all rvs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Less than Obama+DNC's $181m in 2012 https://t.co/n9Mp5XQUW4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@electionsmith @Liverpotlian are those the numbers on the sept. cd for active/all rv? (haven't loaded it yet) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take away from new NC/FL data: New voter reg. following demographic trends (more young, nonwhite d-leaners), perhaps w more Hispanics — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @electionsmith: In FL, newly registered from Aug 1-Sept 1 2016: White: 50.8% Black: 13.4% Hispanic: 20.8% Rep: 24.8% Dem: 34.2% NPA: 3… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@chrislhayes it's decent for clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonathancobync yes, that's what my comment referred to — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

By party registration: Dem 31, Rep 23, Unaffiliated 45 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

By age: 18-25 39% 26-40 27% 41-65 26% >66 7% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

New voters in NC since 8/13: White 57 Black 20 Hispanic 5 (tho 40% left H/L ? blank) Other 6 Unknown 12 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jon_m_rob @davidshor i was looking at census tract w the state polls, state w national polls — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Kuraaiiyaa ah, true. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Kuraaiiyaa there hasn't been a post-NC poll — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jon_m_rob @davidshor mm; also i've mainly looked at indiv. level data on this, controls probably make a difference — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Kuraaiiyaa i believe that there have only been 2 live interview polls showing T > +2 the *whole year* — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jon_m_rob @davidshor i haven't explored that issue exhaustively, but that's not my interpretation from what i've seen — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

South Carolina poll (pre-debate) had Trump+4. Notable bc it's consistent with Clinton advantage in North Carolina https://t.co/Kgewb3bLzQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten that certainly wouldn't be unusual, historically, though idk if that was true outside of fox — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Not yet much evidence of a big swing in favorability ratings, per Gallup https://t.co/mriR59ZJFB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @JohnJHarwood: Eric Trump called it courageous https://t.co/g7dXmavPy7 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @michikokakutani: To reduce recidivism rates, give prisoners more books. https://t.co/lkBhlEGM4z via @qz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @carolynryan: "She's nasty but I can be nastier"- Donald Trump on Hillary Clinton https://t.co/74SO21zrxI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fox has Clinton in third place among white men without a degree https://t.co/vquCsuvu9Q — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

New Fox poll shows Clinton gains, but mainly from LV screen https://t.co/3T7pX24ybA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RE: Clinton bounce: OTOH, it brought polls to long-term average, seems sustainable OTOH, bounces often fade https://t.co/w0mbjSKYRp — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mbfierman @reesetheone1 lol — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton's lead grows post-debate; it's good news for her no matter how you cut it https://t.co/w0mbjSKYRp — PolitiTweet.org