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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Easy way to look at post-debate polls: Trump probably needs all of PA/NC/FL PA: C+10, C+9, C+4 FL: C+5, C+4, C+2, C+1 NC: C+6, C+3, C+2, C+1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Clinton+10 in Pennsylvania, per Monmouth. Lucy seen in possession of Football — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@morningmoneyben true — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
This strikes me as the least interesting part of this election. https://t.co/qhQOAwJJZV — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
White voters without a degree are around 45% of registered voters. This race wouldn't be close if Clinton was merely doing as well as Obama — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
There are more whites w/o a degree than any other group and they have disproportionate influence in battlegrounds https://t.co/ykCyJ5saxP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@NickRiccardi clinton did — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@Mark4124NH yeah, it's colorado — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
But it's not obvious, at least not yet, whether it's helping Clinton so much in the white working class Midwest--like Ohio, Wisc., or Iowa — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The surge in Dem enthusiasm is helping Clinton in diverse FL and NC, where Clinton is ahead in every postdebate poll https://t.co/cNMSlT28nc — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Clinton surges with Dem. enthusiasm, but Trump's gains with white working class voters are intact… https://t.co/KlLpC49E3z — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Clinton +6 in North Carolina, per new Elon poll. Cooper+4 and Senate tied https://t.co/rfMXeJOgWt — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @AlecMacGillis: Between the overt racial stuff and the upper-crust tax avoidance, Trump seems like a Dem plant to draw out everything it… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Well, there goes the nicest thing I had to say about Trump's polling today https://t.co/WOvvllBQlp — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
It's amazing that this is a jaw dropper https://t.co/ssu1F1KHMM — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The relationship between Google searches and Hispanic population has subsided. Now the top 5: SC, NC, PA, VA, CO https://t.co/9MECuqJvnC — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@ForecasterEnten that would be my vote, but we'll find out — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
It'll be interesting to see whether the polls that were better for Clinton in Sept.--NBC/WSJ, Marist, ABC/Post, GfK, Monmouth--show a bounce — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
We've mainly heard from national pollsters that had the race tied or Trump ahead pre-debate. Mean reversion v. bounce = a question. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Clinton has a 4 pt lead in the first CBS poll post-debate. It was tied before. Clinton+6 in the head-to-head. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @nycsouthpaw: Marketwatch put together a graph of how Trump's stock did against the rest of the stock market. https://t.co/S3JzDzDcSe ht… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In October of 2012, the Dems widened their voter registration advantage by a whole point! That won't happen at September's reg pace. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Net change in registration is not my favorite measure (purges, party changes can obscure new registrants, though it's safer near a election) — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Sept. 2012, net-reg change in Nevada was 65k, D 47, R 22. Sept 2016, net-reg change in Nevada was 52k, D 34, R 23 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
New Nevada voter registration gives Democrats a 5.6 point edge, with new registrations running a bit behind 2012 pace (esp among Dems) — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
I believe this is the first Democratic active voter registration advantage in Colorado in decades https://t.co/NTuMXSEFOU — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@Julian_A_Cox https://t.co/gXsAPjmgR8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
My favorite kind of lefty election theft conspiracist is the kind that thinks Clinton will lose the general, despite stealing the primary! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@debralous @jpodhoretz complexity varies from poll to poll. some simple 1 question. others 7. ultimately, it's about what respondents say. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@jpodhoretz no, most public polls are based on self-reported vote intention. if people say they'll vote, they're likely. — PolitiTweet.org
