Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But Catalist, Dem voter file vendor, also had 2012 electorate at 86/11. https://t.co/l1kX2xdq1k — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Two recent polls of Ohio by Dem firms (White/Black%): TargetSmart: 86/11 Anzalone/List/Grove: 84/11 -- CPS '12: 83/13 Exits '12: 78/15.4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@woflwaffle @timmycurtis they did it in early september, too. https://t.co/aPbSjSXqsZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@woflwaffle @timmycurtis yeah, no one ever does that... and they didn't in the prior poll. so... — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@baseballot count me really skeptical — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Especially since the firm is consulting for Blunt.... https://t.co/SXHYRO4m7K — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I thought it was very interesting that the latest Remington Research (R) poll didn't include the Senate race....... https://t.co/9bTKlSwQZS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trying to figure out how private and public polls are different? This gives you a bit of a sense https://t.co/FBEbATaqng — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This doesn't usually end well. https://t.co/ONVTYqAzmv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Really excited for when Trump starts talking about the Hurricane, and it's *all* about the mar-a-lago — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Makes you wonder https://t.co/MAE0sFS10P — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The models/markets are in as much agreement as they have been in weeks https://t.co/azJ4KHIYDT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

SurveyUSA has Clinton up 13 points in NM, 46-33, with Johnson getting 14 percent. Other polls have shown closer race, Johnson much stronger — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@akaashkolluri @Dchinni @mmurraypolitics yes, that's closer, since they run right to the DET city line and include inner bubrs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Dchinni @mmurraypolitics no, that's not analagous. philadelphia is coterminous with philadelphia county and col/cin/cle are not — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DavidLauter @mmurraypolitics that's my view; i was just addressing the more specific thought about pa w large urban suburbs v. ohio not — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mmurraypolitics it's not like those cities are far smaller than places where we know trump is struggling, like milwaukee — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mmurraypolitics idk. it depends on how you define and think about it. there's a lot of around cleveland/columbus/cincinnati. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mmurraypolitics i don't know whether i agree with that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Gore struggled in a lot of rural white areas and had a Nader problem, but was strong in affluent areas/FL. Reminiscent of Clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Last time the OH-PA gap was this wide was in 2000--which has some interesting similarities to 2016 in terms of political geography — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @aseitzwald: Tough competition for VP debate. https://t.co/O086FfOE5J — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Emerging Republican Majority (1969) is a winner of the 2016 election — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hurricane Matthew could make a direct hit on the Mar-a-lago, which is right on the beach. Just saying. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@c3t1p99 @EsotericCD caucuses — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm surprised there isn't more discussion around "whip out the Mexican thing again." I thought that was going to be the post debate thing — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ZekeJMiller: Tapper providing an on-air disclaimer about Kaine’s Richmond ties re the CNN focus group. Couldn’t they have picked a diff… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Feels sort of like the last debate in that the final half hour really got out of hand for Pence — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I've gone back to processing PA precincts, tbh https://t.co/rI44MxSBJz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Wow, already 45 min? I guess my main thought is that Pence has been the better debater/speaker but Kaine's been the better surrogate. ud idk — PolitiTweet.org