Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@JMCFRAVA the number of registered white voters in GA increased by 63.5k. but that was just 43% of the 147k increase — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen no — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Georgia voter registration: 10/1: White 57.2, Black 29.9 9/1: White 57.6, Black 29.6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@pyngbld not really relevant in ohio — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ForecasterEnten: Not an encouraging poll for Democrats Senate hopes https://t.co/8alabiCCQc Bayh's lead down to uno. (Same poll +4 last… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Suffolk has Clinton+2 in New Hampshire, maybe Trump's best poll result of the week. Ayotte+6 https://t.co/1wkzTTjY7E — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Matthew back to Category 4. Winds now at 140mph, up from 125 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@chrislhayes they've foresworn horserace polling this cycle, perhaps in no small part because they appear to be terrible at it — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten yes. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Who are the participants at the town hall debate? Undecided voters selected by... Gallup. Infuriating. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@TCAESQ44 they're bad firms working with bad data: they don't call voters on cell phones. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm sorry, Trump fans. But Rasmussen, Gravis and Emerson polls just aren't up to standard. Don't kid yourself. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The last two days of state polls make it seem like Clinton may have opened an even larger lead than it initially seemed. We'll see — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

UNF and Upshot/Siena poll have very similar electorates. Key difference: Clinton+27 with NPA and 37% of whites, we had +15 iirc and 31%. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@allahpundit also fair. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The UNF poll--a good one--shows Clinton+3 in Florida two-way, +7 in the two-way https://t.co/CZJV3jpC8z — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm *not* thankful that the Mariners missed the playoffs, again. But idk if I could handle the election, hurricane *and* playoff baseball — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DecisionDeskHQ nice — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DecisionDeskHQ where are you getting 10/5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject (w 2012 vt history, of course) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject that catalist n = post-2012 file, not current — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject yeah, though i don't think definitional stuff is at issue in ohio, where it's mainly white/black — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AnimalFarmMag @CJBear71 yes, and i was referring to working class whites — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AnimalFarmMag @CJBear71 take an average; the post-debate national polls don't show much change — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CJBear71 which helps explain why clinton is underperforming among white working class voters: obama wasn't as weak as thought — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CJBear71 true — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CJBear71 different issue--that's about adding white voters who don't vote. i'm just saying there are more white voters who do — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CJBear71 https://t.co/SAemQ2pnXQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of Dem-leaning analysts would declare that these Dem Ohio polls are skewed for being too white, based on exits. Bad idea. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Why do I point this out? In public/media, exit poll electorate is often the standard. In polling/academia? Not so much. — PolitiTweet.org